RSO Staff Picks: Week 9

Updated: April 21st 2015

Week 8 Results

1t. Wendkos – 12 points = 12-3
1t. Papson – 12 points = 10-5 + 2 fantasy wins (+1 Sleepers, +1 Stars)
3t. Goodwin – 11 points = 11-4
3t. Wendell – 11 points = 10-5 + 1 fantasy win (+1 Busts)

Wendkos with a solid 12-3 week, but unfortunately didn’t get his fantasy picks in on time, so that’s all he got. Papson had an average week with picks, but nailed the Colt McCoy sleeper pick and his starts all did well, so he picked up 2 bonus points. Goodwin had a quietly solid week, and Wendell picked up a respectable 11 points as well to stay in the lead overall. The season-long race is still tight, with only 8 points separating first and last at the mid-way point:

Overall Standings

1. Wendell91 points = 82-38 + 9 fantasy wins (+2 Sleepers, +2 Busts, +5 Stars)
2. Wendkos85 points = 78-42 + 7 fantasy wins (+1 Stars, +3 Busts, +3 Sleepers)
3. Goodwin84 points = 82-38 + 2 fantasy wins (+ 2 Stars)
4. Papson82 points = 76-44 + 6 fantasy wins (+2 Busts, +3 Sleepers, +1 Stars)

Week 9 NFL Game Picks

Game 1. Wendell 2. Wendkos 3. Goodwin 4. Papson

NO @ CAR

TB @ CLE

ARI @ DAL

PHI @ HOU

NYJ @ KC

JAX @ CIN

SD @ MIA

WSH @ MIN

STL @ SF

DEN @ NE

OAK @ SEA

BAL @ PIT

IND @ NYG

Week 9 Fantasy Picks

WendellThursday Night:
Sleeper: T. Cadet
Bust: G. Olsen
Star: D. Brees

Sunday:
Sleeper: D. Robinson
Bust: D. Murray
Star: M. Lynch

Monday:
Sleeper: L. Donnell
Bust: T.Y. Hilton
Star: A. Bradshaw

WendkosThursday Night:
Sleeper: J. Cotchery
Bust: M. Colston
Star: C. Newton

Sunday:
Sleeper: B. Hoyer
Bust: C. Palmer
Star: C. Kaepernick

Monday:
Sleeper: O. Beckham
Bust: R. Wayne
Star: A. Luck

GoodwinThursday Night:
Sleeper: T. Cadet
Bust: D. Brees
Star: C. Newton

Sunday:
Sleeper: J. Reed
Bust: J. Maclin
Star: M. Lynch

Monday:
Sleeper: D. Moncrief
Bust: A. Bradshaw
Star: T.Y. Hilton

PapsonThursday Night:
Sleeper: D. Williams
Bust: M. Ingram
Star: J. Graham

Sunday:
Sleeper: T. Bridgewater
Bust: P. Manning
Star: 49ers D/ST

Monday:
Sleeper: H. Nicks
Bust: E. Manning
Star: A. Luck

How an Expert Writer Got to 8-0

Updated: February 19th 2015

EDITOR’S NOTE:  This week’s column is being written by Leo Howell, who is 8-0 in the Reality Sports Online/numberFire Writer’s League. Leo is an NFL and fantasy football writer for RotoGrinders, numberFire and Bucs Nation. He has played fantasy football for as long as he can remember, and has been playing daily fantasy sports since 2012. This is his first year playing in a Reality Sports Online league. He can be found on Twitter at @LeoHowell8

Here is his undefeated team:

Starters

SLOT PLAYER POS Salary PRK START %
QB Bridgewater, Teddy MIN QB $1,103,912 31 7.7
RB Charles, Jamaal KC  RB $31,850,000 13 87.2
RB Murray, DeMarco DAL  RB $16,660,000 1 89.7
WR Brown, Antonio PIT  WR $15,666,667 1 87.2
WR Baldwin, Doug SEA  WR $312,500 50 41.8
TE Harbor, Clay JAC  TE $312,500 22 10.6
PK Tucker, Justin BAL  PK $1,000,000 2 70.3
DST Team Defense, DET  DST $406,250 2 41.4
FLEX Bell, Joique DET  RB $9,000,000 27 71.4
FLEX Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR $11,000,000 17 58.2

Bench

SLOT PLAYER POS Salary PRK START %
QB Cutler, Jay CHI  QB $5,000,000 5 46.5
QB Stafford, Matthew DET  QB $4,900,000 11 60.1
RB Ivory, Chris NYJ  RB $3,000,000 12 50.9
RB Vereen, Shane NE  RB $9,400,000 17 67.0
WR Robinson, Allen JAC  WR $804,659 31 24.2
WR Wright, Kendall TEN  WR $6,000,000 29 46.2
WR Evans, Mike TB  WR $5,453,058 53 27.8
TE Rudolph, Kyle MIN  TE $1,760,000 44 5.1
PK Hauschka, Steven SEA  PK $500,000 17 44.7
DST Team Defense, ARI DST $1,000,000 11 37.0

 

I’ve always sucked at auction drafts.

I love the idea of being able to pick any possible combination of players, and not being bound to rounds or any other set picking order. But I always wind up making a huge mistake or getting impatient during an auction draft, and it burns me.

This isn’t something I’m proud of admitting, but it’s true. But even after making a pretty big mistake in the numberFire Reality Sports Online auction draft, I’m sitting pretty atop the league as the lone undefeated.

Let’s get the bad news out of the way first. On draft day, I overspent at the quarterback position. I’m a pretty firm believer in the “Late Round QB” method for drafting, and feel as though QB is a very deep and replaceable position. But when Matthew Stafford went as cheap as he did, I had to pick him up.

However, I said the same thing about Jay Cutler, and wound up with both NFC North quarterbacks on my roster. Combined with Teddy Bridgewater, who I got via the rookie draft, I now had more QB assets than I could ever need in a league with only 10 teams.

Now for the good news: I was able to follow my strategy for this league perfectly on auction day, apart from the error at quarterback. My plan was to invest my multi-year contracts on players that are likely to maintain value over the long-haul, while using two-year deals to soften the cap blow for my big ticket players.

The two-year deals given to DeMarco Murray and Jamaal Charles allowed me to roster both of these “first-round” backs at reasonable costs, while long-term deals with Shane Vereen and Antonio Brown provide volume in the passing game at two positions over the next three years.

My four-year contract went to Kyle Rudolph at an obscenely low price, but Clay Harbor has been filling in for the Vikings tight end due to injury.

Cheap pickups like Chris Ivory and free agents like Doug Baldwin have also played a role in my rise to the top of this league, but building a solid foundation of backs and receivers (who I have locked up for the next year, at least) was the plan all along.

It feels weird to even discuss my strategy for this league as if it’s a blueprint for success, because had my running back money gone to Adrian Peterson instead of DeMarco Murray, or my wide receiver money gone to A.J. Green instead of Antonio Brown, I wouldn’t be undefeated right now.

The real path to success, especially in a league that ties you to your players with a contract mechanic like Reality Sports Online, is to have a combination of luck and planning. Lay out a plan to get out of bad decisions, and hope for the best when investing heavily in a great player.

My decision to sign Rudolph long-term was based on my reluctance to use a four-year deal on any player I’d have to pay a good chunk of my cap to. I was protecting myself from myself by going with youth and upside with a longer contract. I could have signed Charles to a three or four year deal for less money, but that would lock me into a contract with a running back with an injury history.

Even if you think you’re going to make all the right moves, take a moment to consider how you could get out of those decisions if everything falls apart. Plan for the future, play devil’s advocate with your own picks, and get a little lucky… that’s how you can wind up at the top of a Reality Sports Online league against a bunch of your nerdy, fantasy football loving friends.

RSO Staff Picks: Week 8

Updated: April 21st 2015

Week 7 Results

1. Wendkos – 14 points = 13-2 + 1 fantasy wins (+1 sleepers)
2. Wendell – 11 points = 9-7 + 2 fantasy wins (+1 busts, +1 stars)
3t. Papson – 10 points = 10-5
3t. Goodwin – 10 points = 10-5

Wendkos makes a move! Wendell struggles with games but makes up for it with fantasy picks. Papson and Goodwin tie for third with a decent week.

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 72-33 + 7 fantasy wins (+2 Sleepers, +1 Busts, +5 Stars) = 79 points
2t. Wendkos – 66-39 + 7 fantasy wins (+1 Stars, +3 Busts, +3 Sleepers) = 73 points
2t. Goodwin – 71-34 + 2 fantasy wins (+ 2 Stars) = 73 points
3. Papson – 66-39 + 4 fantasy wins (+2 Busts, +2 Sleepers) = 70 points

Week 8 NFL Game Picks

Game 1. Wendell 2t. Wendkos 2t. Goodwin 3. Papson

SD @ DEN

DET @ ATL

STL @ KC

HOU @ TEN

MIN @ TB

SEA @ CAR

BAL @ CIN

MIA @ JAX

CHI @ NE

BUF @ NYJ

PHI @ ARI

OAK @ CLE

IND @ PIT

GB @ NO

WSH @ DAL

Week 8 Fantasy Picks

WendellThursday Night:
Sleeper: R. Hillman
Bust: B. Oliver
Star: P. Manning

Sunday:
Sleeper: K. Orton
Bust: J. Cutler
Star: J. Nelson

Monday:
Sleeper: Dallas D/ST
Bust: A. Morris
Star: T. Romo

GoodwinThursday Night:
Sleeper: Broncos D/ST
Bust: A. Gates
Star: D. Thomas

Sunday:
Sleeper: D. Baldwin
Bust: J. Flacco
Star: J. Jones

Monday:
Sleeper: G. Escobar
Bust: A. Morris
Star: D. Bryant

PapsonThursday Night:
Sleeper: C.J. Anderson
Bust: R. Hillman
Star: A. Gates

Sunday:
Sleeper: L. Blount
Bust: A. Ellington
Star: D. Brees

Monday:
Sleeper: C. McCoy
Bust: D. Murray
Star: P. Garcon

WendkosNO PICKS.

RSO Staff Picks: Week 7

Updated: April 21st 2015

Week 6 Results

1. Papson – 12-3 + 1 fantasy wins (+ 1 Sleepers)
2. Wendell – 12-3
3. Goodwin – 10-5 + 1 fantasy wins (+ 1 Busts)
4. Wendkos – 9-6 + 1 fantasy wins (+1 Stars)

Wendkos with a rough week, and Papson overtakes overall him with a winning set of picks. Wendell maintains his spot on top, and Goodwin is sneaking close behind. Lots of similar picks this week, so it’s going to get weird… or not.

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 63-27 + 5 fantasy wins (+2 Sleepers, +4 Stars) = 68 points
2. Goodwin – 61-29 + 2 fantasy wins (+ 2 Stars) = 63 points
3. Papson – 56-34 + 4 fantasy wins (+2 Busts, +2 Sleepers) = 60 points
4. Wendkos – 53-37 + 6 fantasy wins (+1 Stars, +3 Busts, +2 Sleepers) = 59 points

Week 7 NFL Game Picks

Game 1. Wendell 2. Goodwin 3. Papson 4. Wendkos

NYJ @ NE

ATL @ BAL

TEN @ WSH

SEA @ STL

CLE @ JAX

CIN @ IND

MIN @ BUF

MIA @ CHI

NO @ DET

CAR @ GB

KC @ SD

ARI @ OAK

NYG @ DAL

SF @ DEN

HOU @ PIT

Week 7 Fantasy Picks

WendellThursday Night:
Sleeper: B. LaFell
Bust: E. Decker
Star: T. Brady

Sunday:
Sleeper: D. Allen
Bust: M. Lynch
Star: D. Murray

Monday:
Sleeper: M. Wheaton
Bust: D. Hopkins
Star: L. Bell

GoodwinThursday Night:
Sleeper: B. Bolden
Bust: C. Johnson
Star: R. Gronk

Sunday:
Sleeper: B. Hoyer
Bust: T.Y. Hilton
Star: J. Thomas

Monday:
Sleeper: M. Wheaton
Bust: L. Bell
Star: J.J. Watt

PapsonThursday Night:
Sleeper: T. Wright
Bust: E. Decker
Star: Pats D/ST

Sunday:
Sleeper: B. Watson
Bust: D. Jackson
Star: A. Rodgers

Monday:
Sleeper: R. Fitzpatrick
Bust: L. Bell
Star: A. Brown

WendkosThursday Night:
Sleeper: T. Wright
Bust: G. Smith
Star: T. Brady

Sunday:
Sleeper: J. McKinnon
Bust: P. Rivers
Star: A. Luck

Monday:
Sleeper: D. Hopkins
Bust: Big Ben
Star: Houston D/ST

RSO Staff Picks: Week 6

Updated: April 21st 2015

Week 5 Results

1. Goodwin – 14-1 + 0 fantasy wins
2. Papson – 13-2 + 1 fantasy wins (+1 Sleepers)
3. Wendell – 12-3 + 1 fantasy wins (+1 Stars)
4. Wendkos – 11-4 + 1 fantasy wins (+1 Busts)

Goodwin dominated the game picks in an easy week. Everyone performed pretty well, so expect week 6 to be a bloodbath. How we stand:

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 51-24 + 5 fantasy wins (+2 Sleepers, +4 Stars) = 56 points
2. Goodwin – 51-24 + 1 fantasy wins (+ 1 Stars) = 52 points
3. Wendkos – 44-31 + 5 fantasy wins (+3 Busts, +2 Sleepers) = 49 points
4. Papson – 44-31 + 4 fantasy wins (+2 Busts, +1 Sleepers) = 48 points

Week 6 NFL Game Picks

Game 1. Wendell 2. Goodwin 3. Wendkos 4. Papson

IND @ HOU

JAX @ TEN

BAL @ TB

DEN @ NYJ

DET @ MIN

NE @ BUF

CAR @ CIN

PIT @ CLE

GB @ MIA

SD @ OAK

CHI @ ATL

DAL @ SEA

WSH @ ARI

NYG @ PHI

SF @ STL

Week 6 Fantasy Picks

WendellThursday Night:
Sleeper: A. Bradshaw
Bust: Arian Foster
Star: Andrew Luck

Sunday:
Sleeper: O. Beckham
Bust: Demarco Murray
Star: Matt Forte

Monday:
Sleeper: S. Johnson
Bust: Austin Davis
Star: Colin Kaepernick

GoodwinThursday Night:
Sleeper: Texans D/ST
Bust: Reggie Wayne
Star: Arian Foster

Sunday:
Sleeper: Branden Oliver
Bust: Matthew Stafford
Star: Philip Rivers

Monday:
Sleeper: Brian Quick
Bust: Zac Stacy
Star: Colin Kaepernick

WendkosThursday Night:
Sleeper: DeA. Hopkins
Bust: Reggie Wayne
Star: Arian Foster

Sunday:
Sleeper: Branden Oliver
Bust: DeMarco Murray
Star: Jay Cutler

Monday:
Sleeper: Carlos Hyde
Bust: Austin Davis
Star: Colin Kaepernick

PapsonThursday Night:
Sleeper: Hakeem Nicks
Bust: Texans Defense
Star: Arian Foster

Sunday:
Sleeper: Ronnie Brown
Bust: Matt Stafford
Star: Marshawn Lynch

Monday:
Sleeper: Brandon Lloyd
Bust: Zac Stacy
Star: Anquan Boldin

RSO Staff Picks: Week 5

Updated: April 21st 2015

Week 4 Results

1. Wendkos – 9-3 + 2 fantasy wins (+1 Sleepers, +1 Busts)
2. Wendell – 8-4 + 1 fantasy wins (+1 Stars)
3t. Goodwin – 8-4 + 0 fantasy wins
3t. Papson – 8-4 + 0 fantasy wins

Wendkos guaranteed victory prior to week 4, and he somehow managed to follow through. His sleeper picks of Larry Donnell and Matt Asiata locked up that category, and busts by Doug Martin and Tom Brady helped gain him another point. Wendell still managed to finish a close second and maintains the overall lead. The two Matts, Goodwin and Papson, were not only nominal twins, but tied for last place too.

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 39-21 + 4 fantasy wins (+2 Sleepers, +3 Stars) = 43 points
2. Goodwin – 37-23 + 1 fantasy wins (+ 1 Stars) = 38 points
3. Wendkos – 33-27 + 4 fantasy wins (+2 Busts, +2 Sleepers) = 37 points
4. Papson – 31-29 + 2 fantasy wins (+2 Busts) = 33 points

Week 5 NFL Game Picks

Game 1. Wendell 2. Goodwin 3. Wendkos 4. Papson

MIN @ GB

CHI @ CAR

CLE @ TEN

STL @ PHI

ATL @ NYG

TB @ NO

HOU @ DAL

BUF @ DET

BAL @ IND

PIT @ JAX

ARI @ DEN

KC @ SF

NYJ @ SD

CIN @ NE

SEA @ WSH

Week 5 Thursday Fantasy Picks

Category Wendell Goodwin Wendkos Papson
Sleeper Jerick McKinnon Greg Jennings Jerick McKinnon Christian Ponder
Bust Eddie Lacy Matt Asiata Matt Asiata Matt Asiata
Star Aaron Rodgers Aaron Rodgers Aaron Rodgers Jordy Nelson

Week 5 Sunday Fantasy Picks

Category Wendell Goodwin Wendkos Papson
Sleeper Brandin Cooks Allen Robinson Donald Brown Kyle Orton
Bust Andrew Luck Matt Ryan Eli Manning Matt Ryan
Star Drew Brees Calvin Johnson Jimmy Graham Zac Stacy

Week 5 Monday Fantasy Picks

Category Wendell Goodwin Wendkos Papson
Sleeper Kirk Cousins Doug Baldwin Niles Paul Andrew Roberts
Bust Alfred Morris DeSean Jackson Alfred Morris Alfred Morris
Star Russell Wilson Marshawn Lynch Percy Harvin Percy Harvin