RSO Staff Picks: Week 16

Updated: December 24th 2015

111214-rivers-cp

Week 15 Results

1t. Papson – 11-5 + FantasyDraft Win

1t. Wendell – 11-5

1t. English – 11-5

4. Goodwin – 10-6

Pretty even week from the guys with Papson, Wendell and English going 11-5 and Goodwin going 10-6. Stafford’s performance on MNF gives Pappy the FantasyDraft win. Only two weeks to go!

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 145-80 + 5 fantasy wins (Week 4, 8, 10, 11 & 12)

2. Goodwin – 143-82 + 2 fantasy wins (Week 2, 9 & 14)

3. English – 138-87 + 4 fantasy wins (Week 1, 3, 5 & 7)

4. Papson – 138-87 + 3 fantasy wins (Week 6, 13 & 15)

Wendell extends his lead over Goody to 2 games. With only 2 weeks to go, it is highly unlikely now that anyone wins the season long crown besides Wendell or Goody. It is worth noting that Wendell trails only Chris Mortensen of ESPN in picks for the year (ESPN Standings Here) and all four RSO Staffers stack up well against the ESPN “Experts”. Another week of great games are on the slate for this week. Here is what the guys have for Week 15:

NFL Game Picks

Game Wendell Papson Goodwin English

SD @ OAK

raiders raiders raiders raiders

WAS @ PHI

eagles eagles eagles redskins

NE @ NYJ

patriots patriots patriots patriots

HOU @ TEN

texans texans texans texans

CLV @ KC

chiefs chiefs chiefs chiefs

IND @ MIA

colts dolphins colts colts

SF @ DET

lions lions lions lions

DAL @ BUF

cowboys bills bills bills

CHI @ TB

bucs bucs bucs bucs

CAR @ ATL

falcons panthers panthers panthers

PIT @ BAL

steelers steelers steelers steelers

JAX @ NO

saints jaguars jaguars jaguars

STL @ SEA

seahawks seahawks seahawks seahawks

GB @ ARI

packers cardinals packers cardinals

NYG @ MIN

vikings vikings vikings vikings

CIN @ DEN

broncos broncos broncos broncos

FantasyDraft Lineups

RSO has truly enjoyed partnering this season with FantasyDraft, the official daily fantasy partner of Reality Sports Online. For week 16, we are doing a $10 entry 20-person Contest. Up for grapes is $180 in prize money ($54 to 1st place) plus the entrant who finishes 1st overall also wins a free team on RSO for 2016 and free entry into FantasyDraft’s Week 17 Run & Gun Contest.  This Contest is first come first serve and is limited to only 20 entrants, so sign up now!

**It should be noted that as a resident of New York, Stephen will not be able to actually participate in the contests due to the NY Attorney General’s recent ruling, but he is still competing with the other staffers internally and therefore his lineup is shown below. Here are the lineups of all our guys below (good luck to everyone who plays):

Stephen Wendell

Screen Shot 2015-12-24 at 11.43.14 AM

Kyle English

Week16DailyKyle

Matt Goodwin 

Goodwin

Matt Papson

Papson

Ups and Downs of the RSO Playoffs

Updated: December 24th 2015

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They say it is sometimes better to be lucky than good. To win Reality Sports Online league titles, it seems like you have to be a bit of both. Hit on your rookie draft picks, don’t spend big dollars on busts and get your multi-year deals right, don’t have player injuries and then have it all align in the playoffs.

So, after being in my main league for three years and the Writers League for two years, I can honestly say I haven’t won a championship and am still after that holy grail. As someone who is their own worst critic, and who writes strategy pieces for the website, that makes me feel like a little bit of a fraud. I know I’m beating myself up on this, but let me share my two league circumstances with you this year.

I welcome any of you who suffered a similar loss to Tweet me or contact me as some form of therapy. I have writing about this experience as my therapy, so let me be the one you vent to after reading this if you are in the same boat as me.

First, I’ll start with my Writers League with folks who I write with at Reality Sports Online and numberFire mainly (some have moved onto other sites like Rotoworld and ESPN). I finished 11-2 in the regular season with the highest scoring team by far. That earned me the #2 seed and a matchup against my friend @GrahamBarfield, the #3 seed in the league, while 12-1 #1 Seed @LeoHowell8 played upstart first-year owner and Baylor Law Professor and late summer league addition #4 seed (brought in via Twitter to compete against writers) @RoryRyan in the other playoff matchup.

Buoyed all season by a Tom Brady/Rob Gronkowski stack, Devonta Freeman and Eric Decker, my team was stacked and I have most of these players (and Todd Gurley, Demaryius Thomas) for several more years. In round one however, I went into Monday Night Football with a 16 point lead and Graham having Lamar Miller remaining. Miller scored two touchdowns by halftime and my highest-scoring team in the league (and second highest among 10 teams that week) was toast.

On the other side, Howell, who has lost exactly two regular season games in two years in the league, put up a dud and lost to Ryan, who inherited one of the worst teams in the league mid-summer, was awarded T.Y. Hilton by the league on a two year, $40.0 million contract and left to his own devices to turn the rest around. He slid into the playoffs behind some good moves and then, wouldn’t you know it, won the whole thing while Howell and I put up very high totals in the third place game.

Rory Ryan Shocks the Writers League

Basically, Ryan capitalized on being healthy and opportunistic,  and a few solid moves. Here’s his summary of what lead to his success (in his words):

“As I looked around the locker room before the championship match, I decided we needed to do something unusual. We went around the room and introduced ourselves–as six of the ten starters were waiver-wire pickups. As I drove my family back from the Polar Express train ride during Monday’s finale, I kept getting SiriusXM updates that were good. Then better. Then — victory. To say the team I inherited was in “rebuilding mode” would be an understatement. But we were able to scrape out just enough wins and ride a whole lot of luck to the title. “

“Although (to quote Nuke Laloosh) “winning is like . . . so much better than losing,” the year was great either way. As I told folks on social media, it was fun playing against the guys whose advice I use when setting my lineups in other leagues. And the RSO format really does make even traditional dynasty leagues seem primitive. The contracts, waivers, salary cap, etc., make up the way fantasy ought to be played. “
“The opportunity to play this format against these guys was too much to pass up — despite my (formerly) firm rules against not playing in leagues with kickers, defenses (if I can help it), and true decimal scoring. But I’m still looking forward to next year, where hopefully my roster will be slightly more settled. “

“So what was my strategy? When I entered the auction, there were few (no) stars and plenty of money. So prices were inflated. I went after some grinders who I’d always feel OK inserting into the lineup: Jonathan Stewart, Frank Gore, and Doug Martin (didn’t get him). But I spent little money. Instead, I saved most of my cap room, knowing that injuries and sleepers would emerge, and I would have the big bankroll. DeAngelo Williams, Danny Amendola, Antonio Gates, Dion Lewis, and Zach Miller all played important roles during the season.

“As for the future — we will see if my strategy works. Since there were no stars to lock down, I went after a group of guys who I thought were more talented than their projections, hoping that at least one of them ends up in an ideal situation. The prices are low enough that hitting 1/3 and cutting the other two will more than pay for itself in savings, despite the cap penalty, as I’ll avoid waiting for the player to demonstrate the market value. So, Golden Tate, Torrey Smith, and Markus Wheaton — please answer the phone if the Patriots call.”

A Rivalry Is Continued in Reality Sports Online

Let me set the stage for you a bit with some history. My best friend since our freshman year at Miami University, @MarkPesavento and I have been in fantasy football leagues together since 1996. He is my biggest rival and our fantasy matchups have quite a history of craziness as you can imagine for anyone playing against each other for that long. Since he works in sports and I don’t, there is an extra layer of who is the smarter football mind is between the two of us.

With that in mind, Mark and I left an ESPN keeper league a few years ago in search of something bigger, something more challenging that was fully customizable. As part of his work at the time, he discovered Reality Sports Online and we’ve been hooked ever since. Together we are co-commissioners of the Not Quite Gentlemen’s League, a super-customized PPR league with 12 teams and lineups consisting of only one required running back, three flex positions, and where turnovers are heavily punished (-5 points for interceptions, fumbles) and the 5th and 6th playoff seeds are determined solely based on total points scored.
RSO Co-Founder and Chief Operating Office Stephen Wendell is now in our league too, which adds to the competitiveness. Pesavento finished first overall at 11-2 with the highest point total (he won the league in 2014), newcomer Wendell finished 9-5 and was the #2 seed. I was the second highest scoring team, but finished 7-6 and got the #5 overall seed.

My high-scoring team proved no fluke in the opening round of the playoffs, winning 321.54-179.99 and a Week 15 rematch with Pesavento, who I was 0-2 against on the season, loomed.

Setting the Stage-Week 12

First, though, let me take you back to Week 12 where Pesavento and I squared off in an epic battle. He staked to an early lead behind Odell Beckham Jr., Philip Rivers, and Spencer Ware that seemed insurmountable at the time. Then late in the late games, my quarterback Russell Wilson hooked up with Doug Baldwin for an 80 yard touchdown, en route to a 72 point fantasy performance.

I was close going into the Sunday night game where I had Rob Gronkowski and the Patriots DST to his Broncos DST. Behind a Gronk touchdown and subsequent Gronk-spike and an inteception by the Patriots D, I staked out to a fairly decent lead (like 20 points). As the clock turned to the 4th quarter, I instant messaged Pesavento saying this game seems like it is over.

And then the collapse happened. The Patriots muffed a punt, Denver’s running game started picking up steam and the Patriots were bleeding out yardage allowed and points scored. The game was getting much closer. All I needed was another Gronk catch and I’d be fine.

Then Gronk got called for offensive pass interference on a big catch that was nullified. A few plays later, then he was carted off with a knee injury. So my happiness of likely winning the game turned into losing my key league advantage (and someone I’d like to franchise tag on a good deal for 2016) for the season, and potentially this game as well.

The Broncos scored to take the lead and all I then needed (while I was frantically worried about Gronk’s health for the rest of the season) was the game not to go to overtime. Well, we all know Stephen Gostkowski is fantasy gold and the game went to overtime. In overtime, as long as the Broncos didn’t score a touchdown, I’d win.

I think you know the rest. C.J. Anderson scored on a 48 yard touchdown scamper to end the game and Pesavento beat me by .25 points, continuing a series of close calls in recent match-ups.

The Worst Possible Way To Lose?

Heading into the Week 15 playoff matchup of the two highest scoring teams in the league, Pesavento was favored, yet he had some of his best players with tough matchups (Beckham Jr vs CAR, Antonio Brown vs. DEN DST, DEN DST at PIT) while mine on paper seemed favorable (A.J. Green @SF, Wilson vs. CLE, Devonta Freeman @JAX, Gronkowski vs. TEN, NE DST vs. TEN).

I staked out to a decent lead as Beckham Jr. didn’t have any catches through three well-documented quarters vs. shutdown corner Josh Norman. While I was watching on the NFL Game Mix (8 games at once on a not so-huge TV on DirecTV), I noticed that things were getting super chippy and was waiting for OBJ to get ejected by referee Terry McAulay’s crew for the punches thrown and the cheap shots.

I usually don’t get “holier than though” watching football, but by the time the Giants started their comeback and OBJ started racking up fantasy points I was on my high-horse and stark-raving mad that Beckham Jr. hadn’t been tossed. Heck, I’ve been tossed from rec-league basketball games for way less.

However, his Alshon Jeffery only had one catch for 10 yards and a touchdown, my Patriots DST had a good game and I was hanging in with him heading into Wilson’s huge matchup against my hometown Browns. Knowing that Wilson was hot and the Browns defense is porous, I knew Russ would deliver for me.

What I wasn’t prepared for was Brown scoring 70 points against his Broncos DST. So as the Steelers/Broncos game wore down and I was hoping the Broncos would give up more points, I was hoping that another player would score the final touchdown of this game. Unfortunately, that didn’t happen and when Ben Roethlisberger threw an egregious interception on a terrible pass to his Denver defense right before the two minute warning that I coined the “Class of 1998 Miami University Fantasy Football Scholarship”, I knew that 5 points for the Broncos would loom large.

And as Brown caught another ball, I found myself down 15 points heading into Monday Night Football where it was my Golden Tate vs. his Tim Hightower for the right to survive and advance. Tate was coming off his best game of the season and was facing the porous Saints secondary. Hightower was coming off a solid game. Game flow seemed to favor Tate, but I figured the 15 points would loom too large for Tate to overcome.
As the game started and Tate scored two early touchdowns I found myself up in the game. Hightower scored right before half, but the play was called back on a lineman failing to report. The two of us went crazy over IM the remainder of the game.

At one point, unsolicited my wife and 5 year old son and 1 year old daughter started chanting “Golden Tate, Golden Tate!” pleading for him to get the ball when the Lions were on offense. It was super cute to see my daughter who talks but doesn’t know too many words saying this.

I was clinging to a slight lead and game flow took Hightower out of the game mostly. As I watched the Lions fumble away a few possessions that Tate could’ve had opportunities and the Lions DST unable to force punts to Tate as the returner (we get punt return yards for individual players in our league), I knew this was going to come down to the wire.

With five minutes left and me clinging to an ironic .26 point lead (basically the Week 12 margin of defeat), I paced around knowing that if Hightower got one more carry I would lose. I made it basically to the end of the game where the Lions were running out the clock unscathed. Alas, they didn’t have the ability to run off the entire clock and in came Matt Prater to kick a chip-shot field goal to end the game. Prater then missed, and I knew anything could happen.

The Saints had a few plays left and surely would be setting up for a Hail Mary after gaining a little bit of yardage. Initially seeing C.J. Spiller as the receiving back in the game, I figured I was fine. On a play with 14 seconds left, Drew Brees looked and pump faked at Hightower, but threw elsewhere. With six seconds left to go, folks in my league (including Pesavento) were congratulating me on the win.

Talk about Dewey vs. Truman. The last play should have been a Hail Mary. Instead, Brees decided to pad his completion percentage and throw a dump-off to Hightower. The yardage didn’t matter-I had lost after overcoming a deficit, in another crushing close defeat to Pesavento. Again on the last play of the game.
I wish this writing was fiction and not fact. I had seemingly overcome some poor performances by Green, T.Y. Hilton (who I started over Danny Woodhead based on recent history, Matt Hasselback starting, and Hilton’s history against Houston). I think back to all the dynamics of the matchup- Beckham not getting ejected and missing a for sure deep touchdown early in the game, two straight fade routes to Gronk in the end zone late in the Patriots/Titans game that came up just short, pass interference calls covering my Randall Cobb in the end zone, the Broncos late interception, and finally Hightower’s catch with the Saints down 8 points on the last play of the last game of the week, and I realize that the Reality Sports Online holy grail is a temptress. I easily could have lost by 50 points, won by 20 points or won by .26 points, but instead I lost by a few points and now wish Pesavento good luck in the finals (without Beckham and potentially Jeffery) while I play Wendell for third-place this week.

Only a combination of luck, health, and solid roster moves will result in winning this thing and I hope that my championship window with the same core I have locked up through 2016 will bring me better results next year. There’s always next year.

Please feel free to reach out to me with similar stories, start/sit questions for your big week 16 championship, or to call me a fraud via Twitter @Mattgoody2.

RSO Staff Picks: Week 15

Updated: December 19th 2015

85

Week 14 Results

1. Papson – 13-3

2t. Wendell – 11-5

2t. Goodwin – 11-5 + FantasyDraft Win

4. English – 10-6

Papson has another solid week of games going 13-3! Goody was equally impressive on FantasyDraft, finishing 1st overall with nearly 200 points. Only three weeks to go!

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 134-75 + 5 fantasy wins (Week 4, 8, 10, 11 & 12)

2. Goodwin – 133-76 + 2 fantasy wins (Week 2, 9 & 14)

3. English – 127-82 + 4 fantasy wins (Week 1, 3, 5 & 7)

4. Papson – 127-82 + 2 fantasy wins (Week 6 & 13)

Wendell stays in the lead over Goody by 1 game as they both go 11-5. Pappy gains 2 games on the lead and is now tied with English due his 10-6 week. Still, with 3 weeks to go, English and Papson will have to gain some serious ground this week to have a chance at catching Goodwin and Wendell. Another week of great games are on the slate for this week. Here is what the guys have for Week 15:

NFL Game Picks

Game Wendell Papson Goodwin English

TB @ STL

NYJ @ DAL

jets jets jets jets

CHI @ MIN

vikings vikings vikings vikings

ATL @ JAX

falcons falcons jaguars jaguars

HOU @ IND

texans texans colts texans

CAR @ NYG

panthers panthers giants panthers

TEN @ NE

patriots patriots patriots patriots

BUF @ WAS

bills bills redskins redskins

KC @ BLT

chiefs chiefs chiefs chiefs

CLV @ SEA

seahawks seahawks seahawks seahawks

GB @ OAK

packers packers packers packers

DEN @ PIT

steelers steelers steelers

MIA @ SD

dolphins chargers dolphins dolphins

CIN @ SF

bengals 49ers bengals bengals

ARZ @ PHI

eagles eagles cardinals cardinals

DET @ NO

saints saints saints saints

FantasyDraft Lineups

RSO has truly enjoyed partnering this season with FantasyDraft, the official daily fantasy partner of Reality Sports Online. We are switching some things up again this week now that most of you are sadly out of the playoffs in your RSO leagues, and we are doing another $5 entry 30-person Contest this week. Up for grabs is $135 in prize money ($32 to 1st place) plus for the entrant who finishes 1st overall, he also wins (1) a free league on RSO for 2016 and (2) free entry into FantasyDraft’s Week 16 Run & Gun Contest.  This Contest is first come first serve and is limited to only 30 entrants, so sign up now!

**It should be noted that as a resident of New York, Stephen will not be able to actually participate in the contests due to the NY Attorney General’s recent ruling, but he is still competing with the other staffers internally and therefore his lineup is shown below. Here are the lineups of all our guys below (good luck to everyone who plays):

Stephen Wendell

CSW

Kyle English

Week15DailyKyle

Matt Goodwin 

Goodwin

Matt Papson

Papson

RSO Staff Picks: Week 14

Updated: December 10th 2015

FitzPalmerSamePageMAIN

Week 13 Results

1. Papson – 10-6 + FantasyDraft Win

2t. Wendell – 10-6

2t. Goodwin – 10-6

4. English – 7-9

Mr. Matt Papson takes the week by virtue of his impressive 200+ point performance FantasyDraft win and his 10-6 record. Wendell and Goodwin also finished 10-6 and English has another down week going 7-9.

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 123-70 + 5 fantasy wins (Week 4, 8, 10, 11 & 12)

2. Goodwin – 122-71 + 2 fantasy wins (Week 2 & 9)

3. English – 117-76 + 4 fantasy wins (Week 1, 3, 5 & 7)

4. Papson – 114-79 + 2 fantasy wins (Week 6 & 13)

Wendell stays in the lead over Goody by 1 game. English drops now 6 games behind the leader while Papson remains 9 games back. With only 4 weeks to go, it looks like it is coming down to a 2 horse race for the season long crown, but there is still just enough time for a big shakeup if Wendell or Goody has an off week.  Some great games on the slate for this week. Here is what the guys have for Week 14:

NFL Game Picks

Game Wendell Papson Goodwin English

MIN @ ARI

cardinals cardinals cardinals cardinals

BUF @ PHI

eagles eagles eagles bills

SF @ CLV

49ers 49ers browns 49ers

DET @ STL

lions lions lions lions

NO @ TB

saints

TEN @ NYJ

jets jets jets jets

PIT @ CIN

steelers steelers bengals bengals

IND @ JAX

jaguars jaguars colts colts

SD @ KC

chiefs chiefs chiefs chiefs

WAS @ CHI

redskins

ATL @ CAR

panthers panthers panthers panthers

SEA @ BLT

seahawks seahawks seahawks seahawks

OAK @ DEN

DAL @ GB

packers packers packers packers

NE @ HOU

patriots patriots patriots patriots

NYG @ MIA

giants giants giants giants

FantasyDraft Lineups

RSO has truly enjoyed partnering this season with FantasyDraft, the official daily fantasy partner of Reality Sports Online. We are switching some things up this week now that many of you are sadly out of the playoffs in your RSO leagues, and we are doing one $5 entry 40-person Contest. Up for grabs is $180 in prize money ($36 to 1st place) plus for the entrant who finishes 1st overall, he also wins (1) a free league on RSO for 2016 and (2) free entry into FantasyDraft’s Week 15 $20 Run & Gun Contest.  This Contest is first come first serve and is limited to only 40 entrants, so sign up now!

**It should be noted that as a resident of New York, Stephen will not be able to actually participate in the contests due to the NY Attorney General’s recent ruling, but he is still competing with the other staffers internally and therefore his lineup is shown below. Matt was the winner last week, but there will not be an RSOEXPERT this week since we are switching up the contest format. Nevertheless, here are the lineups of all our guys below (good luck to everyone who plays):

Stephen Wendell

CSW

Kyle English

Week14DailyKyle

Matt Goodwin 

Goodwin

Matt Papson

Screen Shot 2015-12-10 at 10.55.32 AM

RSO Staff Picks: Week 13

Updated: December 10th 2015

10700531

Week 12 Results

1. Wendell – 11-5 + FantasyDraft Win

2t. English – 10-6

2t. Goodwin – 10-6

4. Papson – 8-8

Just another dominant week from Wendell as he scoops both the picks and the FantasyDraft Win (his team finished 1st out of 50 total entries in the FreeRoll). Solid weeks from Goodwin and English keep them close to the lead, but an ill-timed mediocre week from Papson may have put an end to his chances for the season long crown. Wendell is now in the outright lead on picks and FantasyDraft wins after he took down the crown for a third straight week. We are at the final turn of the season and it is still a very tight race and it looks like it is going to be a very tight race as we head down the stretch.

Overall Standings

1. Wendell – 113-64 + 5 fantasy wins (Week 4, 8, 10, 11 & 12)

2. Goodwin – 112-65 + 2 fantasy wins (Week 2 & 9)

3. English – 110-67 + 4 fantasy wins (Week 1, 3, 5 & 7)

4. Papson – 104-73 + 1 fantasy win (Week 6)

Wendell takes a 1 game outright lead over Goody, but not much movement this week. Pappy has a lot of ground to make up over the final 5 weeks and will have to go out on a limb and pick some big time upsets correctly to claw his way back closer to the lead. As for FantasyDraft Wins, it seems as though Wendell has taken the NY Attorney General ruling personally, as his team has amounted the most points for 3 straight weeks since the AG’s ruling, including a 1st overall finish last week. It may be time to start paying attention to his lineup…or he could be due for a big time down week. Here is what the guys have for Week 13:

NFL Game Picks

Game Wendell Papson Goodwin English

GB @ DET

packers packers packers packers

NYJ @ NYG

ARZ @ STL

cardinals cardinals cardinals cardinals

ATL @ TB

falcons falcons falcons

SEA @ MIN

seahawks seahawks seahawks

HOU @ BUF

texans

BLT @ MIA

ravens ravens

CIN @ CLV

bengals bengals bengals

JAX @ TEN

jaguars jaguars jaguars

SF @ CHI

DEN @ SD

KC @ OAK

chiefs chiefs chiefs chiefs

PHI @ NE

patriots patriots patriots patriots

CAR @ NO

panthers panthers panthers panthers

IND @ PIT

DAL @ WAS

FantasyDraft Lineups

RSO is partnering this season with FantasyDraft, the official daily fantasy partner of Reality Sports Online. By now, you should know the drill. Below are the contests we have going this week (note that next week we will be having a bigger Week 14 Contest with some great prizes up for grabs):

  1. Weekly FreeRoll offering $250 in prizes and a free ticket into FantasyDraft’s $5 Wishbone Contest next week for anyone who beats the “RSOEXPERT”. Also, the top finisher will receive free entry into the RSO Big Week 14 Contest. There are only 50 slots and it is first come first serve, so sign up now!
  2. $10 entry 50/50 Beat the Expert Contest where the top 10 places get $18 in real cash and for anyone who can beat RSOEXPERT, a free entry into the Week 14 $5 Entry Wishbone Contest. Also, the top finisher will receive free entry into the RSO Big Week 14 Contest. There are only 20 slots for this contest, so check it out now!

It should be noted that as a resident of New York, Stephen will not be able to actually participate in the contests due to the NY Attorney General’s recent ruling, but he is still competing with the other staffers internally and therefore his lineup is shown below. Additionally, since his lineup keeps winning each week, he is also serving as the de fact RSOEXPERT (at least until one of the other guys can dethrone him). Here are our staff’s lineups for this week (as mentioned, Wendell’s lineup is again the RSOEXPERT lineup for the week):

Stephen Wendell (RSOEXPERT for Week 13)

CSW

Kyle English

Week13DailyKyle

Matt Goodwin 

Goodwin

Matt Papson

Screen Shot 2015-12-09 at 11.44.18 PM