Changing of the Guard

Updated: December 4th 2016

Hopefully, everyone’s waistbands held up on Thanksgiving and you kept all your fingers and toes if you were brave enough to go out on Black Friday. The NFL has its own dark day where feelings are hurt and human dignity can sometimes be called into question. I am referring to the “Black Monday”, a day when coaches are released following the final week 17 games. For those of you who follow hockey hopefully any coaches who are released are left with a little more dignity than Coach Gerard Gallant of the Florida Panthers. Yikes.

Regardless, there will be at least one head coach, if not multiple, that will not be with their current teams in 2016. Others might narrowly avoid the guillotine but will be on thin ice for next season. I have pulled together a list of four coaches that I think should be let go in the next month, two that could be let go and three others who could be surprise cuts either this year or next.

Guys Who Gotta Go

John Fox, Jeff Fisher, Chuck Pagano, Gus Bradley

John FoxJohn Fox – The writing has been on the wall for a couple of weeks now and it looks like both he and Jay Cutler have worn out their welcome in Chicago. Management seems content with letting them as well as Alshon Jeffrey and starting fresh with a new crew. A new coach should be welcomed but there is a lot of work to do on both sides of the ball before anything fantasy relevant returns to the windy city. It’s a real knock on Jordan Howard who looked like he could be a decent player if there was enough around him.

 

Jeff-FisherJeff Fisher – Why does this guy still have a job!? For those who have read my articles in the past know I don’t hold back on Fisher and his questionable coaching status. He was almost given an extension early in the season but that seems to have been pulled off the table with their recent slide. Unlike Howard’s outlook with a coaching change, there can only be good things that can happen to Todd Gurley’s value with Fisher removed. Ideally, GM Les Snead should look to bring in a coach who is defensive minded and focuses on controlling the clock and running the ball on offense.

**Editor’s note Fisher and Snead have been given contract extensions which can only suggest that the Rams are okay with presenting their fans a mediocre product. If you have Todd Gurley you should be selling him before the start of next season.**

 

Chuck PaganoChuck Pagano – Some thought that Chuck wasn’t going to make it through last season but he was given a second chance to work things out with GM Ryan Grigson. The team still has no offensive line to protect their hundred million dollar QB and their defense is suspect at best. Unless the Colts make a miraculous playoff run this season I don’t see how Pagano and potentially Grigson keep their jobs heading into 2017. Hopefully, the new regime comes in and invests more into protecting their QB before his career becomes a “ya but” legacy.

 

Gus Bradley – When people said they expected Allen Robinson to regress from 2015 I have a hard time believing that they meant this bad. He has been a ghost for most of this season and borders on droppable in a redraft. Blake Bortles himself has dropped from his top 5 fantasy season last year but maybe this is just numbers returning to the average. However, the reason Bradley should be gone by season’s end though is the defense and the failure to move forward. The team has been a sleeper to win the AFC South the last two years and Shahid Khan has spent a small country’s GDP on free agents in Bradley’s tenure to try taking advantage of a weak division. Another well below .500 season should be the final straw for Bradley.

Wouldn’t Be Surprised

Marvin Lewis, Mike McCarthy

Marvin LewisMarvin Lewis – It would be sad to see this be the season that Marvin Lewis is finally let go. His recent successes and the strong core of players he has built up over the last 5 years made the Bengals one of the most consistent teams in the AFC. However, without having a playoff win to his record, and given the big of a step back this season it may finally be the time to remove the second-longest tenured coach in the league. A change of coaches shouldn’t hurt the value of the Bengal’s players but there could be growing pains next year with a new style of offense to learn, something Dalton has had the benefit of avoiding thus far in his career.

Mike McCarthy – Similar to Lewis McCarthy has been one of the most successful coaches over his time in Green Bay, but not all jobs are judged evenly. Title Town expects Super Bowl contenders and the Packers are far from that this year. The return of Jordy Nelson proved that there still isn’t something right in the clubhouse and it may come down to a coaching change to try and liven up the team. With Aaron Rodgers in town, the team would still be considered “in the hunt” for 2017 but they have serious rebuilding work everywhere else if they want Rodgers to ever wear the belt again.

Surprising but Understandable

John Harbaugh, Sean Payton, Mike McCoy

John HarbaughJohn Harbaugh – Four years removed from a Super Bowl victory and the Ravens have fallen out of the elite class in the AFC. Last year was a huge disappointment and this year, while the record might not be that bad, it isn’t up to the standards of what they are expected to do year in and year out. The offensive coordinator was let go earlier this season and it hasn’t improved in recent weeks. He’s likely to keep his job with a chance still at the playoffs but maybe it is time to move on to the next phase. The Ravens could turn out to be in a year what the Bears are now, a team with minimal talent and a mediocre QB that is leeching all the cap space.

Sean PaytonSean Payton – What a ride it would be since 2005 with a top 10 offense year after year and a Super Bowl trophy to hold high. But the defense has been historically bad for years now and it likely isn’t going to be fixed before Drew Brees is gone in what everyone expects to be next season. Brees moving on would likely force the team to look to start fresh with their coaching staff too and would be a fitting end to the Payton-Brees Era in New Orleans.

Mike McCoyMike McCoy – The Chargers this season read like a heart monitor and for many of its fans they may have had to be hooked up to one. With so many puzzling losses early in this season, failing to capitalize on Phillip Rivers in his prime the last couple years and the looming move to Los Angeles next year the Chargers could be looking to make a splash move.

Who do you think will be let go this season? Let me know @naandrews19.

Post-Season Additions

Updated: December 4th 2016

My post-season player addition strategy tends to revolve around buying players who have good chances of landing in a better situation next season whether through increased opportunity or superior supporting casts. These players also typically have small odds of ending up in worse situations which means their value is unlikely to diminish.  While injured players were prime candidates for buys early in the fantasy season, most owners who have stuck with them into the offseason are not looking to sell.  You can certainly start acquiring players prior to the offseason but trade deadlines and playoff considerations come into play.

Josh Doctson/Jamison Crowder, WRs, Washington Redskins

Washington might lose both current receivers Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson to free agency this off-season. This leaves many targets available next season on a high volume, high efficiency passing attack that is currently seventh in pass attempts and fourth in yards per attempt.  Kirk Cousins appears probable to stay in Washington adding stability to the Washington passing game.  You will want a piece of this receiving core on your fantasy team.   Doctson could come at a discount in your league as he lost most of 2016 to ongoing Achilles issues but remember he was a first round NFL pick for a reason.  The former TCU star displayed incredible leaping ability in college and a rare ability to make highlight-reel catches look routine.  Crowder unexpectedly accumulated top-30 receiving numbers in receptions, yards, and touchdowns this season.  He provides lightning-fast quickness and is electric with the ball in his hands.  He provides a buying opportunity in many leagues due to a bias many have against small receivers and his modest draft pedigree.  Take advantage where possible of a player who is a perfect fit for the Washington offense.

Michael Floyd, WR, Arizona Cardinals

The Arizona Cardinals might be the most disappointing team in the NFL, particularly on the offensive side where the passing game is a wreck. Poor pass protection and a deteriorating Carson Palmer have rendered most passes, except for short underneath routes to primarily David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald, completely ineffective.  Not one of Arizona’s explosive deep threats including Floyd, John Brown, Jaron Brown, or J.J. Nelson has produced much this year when on the field (they rarely have been on the field due to numerous injuries).  The question becomes: did all of these receivers suddenly become less talented or has Carson Palmer’s performance taken a dive?  Game tape confirms Palmer’s ineffectiveness as the primary cause for the deep receiver’s lack of production.  All of this means Floyd likely moves on from Arizona after the season.  Wide receivers drafted in the first round of the NFL with twelve 100+ yard receiving games on their resume rarely hit free agency.  Floyd has a powerful NFL frame at 6’-3”, 220 lbs and routine dominates at the point of attack.  He drops the ball too often and sometimes loses interested which makes for a maddening inconsistent player.  Many fantasy owners have given up on Floyd due to his inconsistent nature which presents a low cost buying opportunity.  You will not find a player with more demonstrated upside at such a small price than Floyd right now.  He could be an incredible bargain in the right situation next season and his low price entails minimal risk.

Andre Ellington, RB, Arizona Cardinals

There is not much in the way of running backs I am targeting this offseason with a deep running back rookie class coming in full of players with two and three down potential.  Ellington, however, is one of the few backs I am targeting for 2017.  He profiles as a passing down back at his next stop in the league which separates him from most of the incoming class.  Many in the NFL consider Ellington as one of the better receivers at the running back position with smooth route running, reliable hands, and the ability to line up out wide.  Ellington also has shown big play ability any time he touches the ball with tremendous straight line speed and smooth agility.  His strength in the receiving game will be valued by a lot of teams this offseason.  A landing spot like San Diego would be ideal for Ellington (if the Chargers do not re-sign Danny Woodhead) where he would be limited to 10-15 touches per game with extensive work catching passes out of the backfield.  Some fantasy owners will not see much value in a backup running back as his role in the Arizona offense is essentially zero with the emergence of David Johnson.  There is plenty of upside and value available with Ellington, particularly in deeper leagues, even with limited touches.

Paxton Lynch, QB, Denver Broncos

Lynch is the only rookie quarterback drafted in the first round of last year’s NFL draft who has not assumed control of the starting QB spot on his team. He will soon.  Trevor Siemian has played well for a late round pick and should be a quality backup in the league for years to come.  Siemian shows good command of the offense with good decision making and seemingly never gets rattled.  Many of his mistakes come from a lack of arm strength and accuracy which doom his long-term prospects as an NFL starter.  Despite this, there are some out there who believe Siemian is the answer for Denver.  Lynch, on the other hand, has an abundance of physical gifts which could eventually turn Lynch into a fantasy all-star.  The former Memphis star shows a lot of athleticism for someone so tall (6’-7”) with loads of functional mobility and agility.  He does not have a cannon arm but there is enough strength to make all the requisite throws.  Lynch is more of a buy for 2QB/superflex leagues rather than 1QB leagues.

Hunter Henry, TE, San Diego Chargers

I mentioned Henry in my last post.  Henry was the first tight end taken in last year’s NFL draft and has lived up to the billing.  He displayed great route running and reliable hands when given the opportunity as the starting tight end for San Diego.  I am always willing to invest in skilled receiving tight ends on high efficiency offenses that have shown a propensity of using the position in the red zone.  Antonio Gates, a probable future hall of famer, looks like he is on his last legs and is likely to retire after the season.  Your fellow league mates may have forgotten how well Henry played when Gates missed time early in the season which could present a buying opportunity.


Bio: Bernard Faller has degrees in engineering and economics.  He currently lives in Las Vegas and enjoys athletics, poker, and fantasy football in his free time.  Send your questions and comments (both good and bad) on Twitter @BernardFaller1.

Week 13 FantasyDraft Advice

Updated: December 1st 2016

Week 13 of the NFL season is upon us and what better way to complement yearly leagues than by playing daily leagues as well? Assuming your opponent’s team is stacked and you’re fighting a losing battle, DFS is a way to still monetize your football knowledge on a lost week in yearly leagues. However, there is a bit of a strategy difference due to the weekly salary cap. In this article, fantasy expert Ricky Sanders will walk you through the thought process of putting together the best possible FantasyDraft DFS lineup for the upcoming weekend slate:

Drew Brees, Saints, $14,300 – Over the course of the last four weeks, the Lions have allowed the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing QBs so Drew Brees is not worth using, right? Wrong. Analyzing the schedule provides an adequate explanation as to why this has occurred because the Lions have played the Texans, the Vikings twice and the Jaguars during that span. In other words, their overall sample size is a lot more telling and overall they have allowed the fifth most fantasy points per game to the position. At home this season, Drew Brees has thrown for at least 300 yards and three TDs in all but one game (against the Seahawks). Vegas is projecting this game as the highest over/under of the weekend but I am projecting even more than that. Last year, there was a game between the Giants and Saints in the Super Dome that finished 52-49 and the QBs combined for 13 TD passes. This has all the makings of a similar kind of shootout so stacking this game is not only recommended but it is necessary. Failing to use Brees is cash is passing on a 28 fantasy point floor in this elite matchup in an elite environment.

Theo Riddick, Lions, $11,000 – One player from this game is clearly not enough as the Lions are destined to hold their own in this game as well. As a whole, the New Orleans defense is allowing the seventh most yards from scrimmage of any team this year (370.5) and the third most points per game (27.9). Most importantly in terms of matchup, the Saints rank dead last in Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted value over average (DVOA) metric against opposing backs in the passing game and Theo Riddick is arguably the best receiving back in the game. Regardless of score, the Lions will need to keep throwing to either try or out-score the Saints if they are ahead or attempt to play catch-up from behind. Regardless, there should be a heavy dose of Riddick whose skill set (led all RBs in receptions last year) is quite conducive to FantasyDraft’s PPR scoring format. Despite not receiving the typical allotment of touches for a true workhorse, he is a fantastic play in all formats this week.

Jeremy Hill, Bengals, $8,500 – On paper, this matchup for the Bengals is awfully similar to the team they faced last week. Both the Ravens and Eagles excel in terms of rushing defense and defending opposing TEs but are susceptible to opposing WRs. In fact, the Ravens actually ranked first in DVOA in both rushing defense and against TEs in the passing game heading into the Week 12 tilt against the Bengals. When all said and done, Jeremy Hill exploited the defense via the passing game as he caught a career-high six passes for 61 yards. It was the most yards he had gained via the air since Week 4 of his 2014 rookie season so clearly the injury to Giovani Bernard is leading to an uptick in targets. If so, this makes him a complete back and still just too darn cheap for that sort of volume…even against another formidable opponent. He had a mediocre week last week and still finished with 14-plus fantasy points and it is certainly possible that he finds the end zone on any given week. He is a great way to counteract the expensive price tag of Brees and still have money to spend elsewhere.

Willie Snead, Saints, $10,100 – How much exposure is too much exposure to the Lions/Saints game? There probably is no such thing this week as I obviously expect this game to result in an extreme shootout. All Saints WRs are in play but none are better values than Willie Snead at less than the average cost of a roster spot. The Lions’ top corner, Darius Slay, has graded as Pro Football Focus’ sixth best cover corner this year and he will likely mostly draw the matchup against Michael Thomas. Additionally, Brandin Cooks did not receive one target last week so his role is certainly volatile. If spending up on Brees, salary relief is necessary elsewhere, so Snead is the perfect combination of value and upside in this elite matchup; he has been targeted at least seven times in four of his last five games and has caught at least three passes in every game during that span. When the Saints faced a Broncos team that possessed a solid group of corners, Snead took over and ended up scoring two TDs. Against a Lions group of corners playing excellent football recently, it would not be surprising to see a similar result in this one.

Greg Olsen, Panthers, $9,600 – Looking back at previous meetings against the same team is not a strategy I generally employ but Greg Olsen’s history against the Seahawks is too substantial to overlook. Last year, facing a Seahawks defense with most of the same personnel, Olsen erupted for 8-134-1 in their regular season meeting and 6-77-1 when they met again in the playoffs. The Panthers’ offensive line is sort of a mess this season, as is their offense as a whole, but Cam Newton would be foolish not to look to his security blanket early and often in this matchup. The Seahawks still rank 18th in TE DVOA this year and it is still clearly one of the few areas of vulnerability to the defense. With Olsen’s price tag sinking to probably as low as it will ever get, now is the correct time to buy his stock.


Ricky Sanders is a fantasy sports expert with over 15 years of playing experience. After starting several freelance fantasy sports blogs, Ricky moved up in the fantasy industry when he joined Going9 Baseball. He wrote fantasy baseball content and had a weekly radio spot on the site’s SiriusXM Satellite Radio show. Shortly thereafter, in early 2013, Ricky joined RotoExperts as a three-sport fantasy contributor, eventually becoming one of the site’s lead basketball writers. While writing for RotoExperts, Ricky was introduced to daily fantasy sports and immediately fell in love. With help from some of his mentors, some of the best DFS players in the world, he honed his skills and became the daily fantasy expert he is today. When RotoExperts created a daily-focused website called DailyRoto.com, Ricky was brought on to FantasyDraft as one of the main contributors. He still makes frequent appearances on the RotoExperts SiriusXM Radio show and on the FNTSY Sports Television Network, talking daily fantasy sports. He also continues to write for a few DFS content sites: FanVice, RotoCurve and Daily Fantasy Cafe. Ricky is a proud and active member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. Don’t hesitate to contact Ricky with questions on Twitter @RSandersDFS.

RSO Staff Picks: Week 13

Updated: December 1st 2016

Week 12 Results

1. Wendell 13-3

2. English – 11-5

3. Papson – 9-7

Overall Standings

1. Papson – 109-66-2

2. Wendell – 104-71-2

3. English – 100-75-2

Finally! Even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and again. I went an incredible 13-3 last week and hit on the games I needed to in order to gain ground on Papson, who went 9-7. It was the type of week I needed to try to get back in the season long race, as I now sit only 5 games back of the lead. Should be a very exciting final 5 weeks. The Cowboys kick us off tonight as they travel to Minnesota in hopes of beating the Vikes and essentially clinching a playoff spot…what an amazing season it has been for Dak and the Boys. Here are our picks for tonight’s game plus the rest of the week (note Pappy and I only differ on the TNF and the MNF games so not much room to gain ground this week):

NFL Game Picks

Game Wendell Papson English

DAL @ MIN

KC @ ATL

SF @ CHI

PHI @ CIN

HOU @ GB

LA @ NE

patriots patriots patriots

DET @ NO

DEN @ JAX

broncos broncos broncos

MIA @ BAL

BUF @ OAK

WAS @ ARI

NYG @ PIT

TB @ SD

CAR @ SEA

IND @ NYJ

Cash Out: Players to Sell

Updated: December 4th 2016

Though many leagues’ trade deadlines are fast approaching or may have already passed, now’s a great time to get a head start on your plans for the 2017 season. Each year, I spend time during the last few weeks of the season to evaluate my team’s outlook for the next season to determine my off-season strategy and am ready to act as soon as league trading opens.  Strategically, I prefer off-season to in-season trading because trades often revolve around filling needs and replacing injured players during a particular season.  Off-season deals are instead often based on differing opinions on specific players’ values and/or the long-term plans of the two teams involved. In this late season edition of Cash Out, I’ll explain which players I’m actively looking to sell before the 2017 season.

Davante Adams WR GBAdams has proved many wrong this year, including me. He’s gone from one of the least efficient receivers in the NFL to being one of Aaron Rodgers‘ favorite targets in 2016, especially with added usage out of the backfield. His ADP has skyrocketed this season, which makes now a great time to sell as I’m not fully buying into him producing at this level moving forward. Assuming his ADP climbs into the 25-40 range this off-season, I would target an early 2017 1st or 2018 1st.

o DLF Nov ADP: 65th
o Advice: Trade for an early 2017 or 2018 1st round pick

Nelson Agholor WR PHI – Take whatever you can get. If someone is dangling a 2035 3rd round pick, take it. Per Scott Barrett on Twitter, Agholor is Pro Football Focus’ worst-graded receiver for the second year in a row.  Time to move on as he may not be in the NFL much longer.

o DLF Nov ADP: 171st
o Advice: Trade for a future 3rd round pick or release to clear up the roster spot

Jordan Matthews WR PHI – As someone who watches every snap of every Eagles game, I don’t understand the love for him in the dynasty football community.  While he’s been productive since entering the league, he’s not nearly as explosive as similarly ranked receivers.  He may have a Marques Colston-like career out of the slot, but I don’t ever see Matthews being a WR1 in fantasy and would definitely sell if I was offered value that matched his current ADP.

o DLF Nov ADP: 23rd
o Advice: Trade for a 1st and 2nd round pick

Laquon Treadwell WR MIN – Concerning is not a strong enough adjective to describe Treadwell‘s 2016 season.  Unable to see the field on a Vikings team that heavily features Cordarrelle Patterson and Adam Thielen, Treadwell‘s value among many in the dynasty fantasy community has fallen dramatically since the season started.  For as miserable of a season as he’s having, he’s still the 49th overall player in DLF’s November ADP.  I’m still intrigued with him as a prospect, but would definitely sell if I could find an owner that valued him as worthy of a 5th round start up pick.

o DLF Nov ADP: 49th
o Advice: Trade for a future 1st round pick

Dez Bryant WR DAL – Regardless of whether or not my team is contending, I would look to move Dez Bryant this off-season if I could land a top 25 player in return.  While I expect him to have several more years of WR1/WR2 production, I always aim to sell aging WRs before their value plummets immensely.  We’re seeing this start to happen in 2016 with Demaryius Thomas and Brandon Marshall.  I’d rather take a step back in 2017 production to get a player who’s value should remain more stable for the next 3-4 years.

o DLF Nov ADP: 16th
o Advice: Trade for a top 25 dynasty asset or 2 1st round picks

Which of these players are you also selling?  Let me know @DaveSanders_RSO on Twitter!


Bio: An avid fan of all things NFL, Dave has been playing fantasy football since 1999.  Though Dave participates in all types of fantasy football including redraft and daily, he prefers keeper and dynasty leagues as talent evaluation and scouting are integral components of each.  Follow him on Twitter @DaveSanders_RSO

Open the Wallet: Players to Buy

Updated: December 4th 2016

Though many leagues’ trade deadlines are fast approaching or may have already passed, now’s a great time to get a head start on your plans for the 2017 season. Each year, I spend time during the last few weeks of the season to evaluate my team’s outlook for the next season to determine my off-season strategy and am ready to act as soon as league trading opens.  Strategically, I prefer off-season to in-season trading because trades often revolve around filling needs and replacing injured players during a particular season.  Off-season deals are instead often based on differing opinions on specific players’ values and/or the long-term plans of the two teams involved. In this late season edition of Open the Wallet, I’ll explain which players I’m actively looking to buy before the 2017 season.

Spencer Ware RB KCJamaal Charles‘ days as the lead RB in Kansas City are long gone and Ware appears ready to carry the torch.  His impressive combination of speed with the power to punish defenders renders him nearly match-up proof on a conservative offense, centered around the running game.  This year he’s also proved to be a weapon in the passing game, best exemplified by ranking second in yards per route run (2.35) through Week 8 per Pro Football Focus.

o DLF Nov ADP: 55th
o Advice: Trade a mid-2017 1st round pick to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $15 million per season in RSO.

CJ Prosise RB SEA – In just a few games, Prosise has already carved out a role in one of the league’s best offenses. Though he’s out for the remainder of 2016, CJ has shown that his natural pass catching skills have translated from his days at Notre Dame. He’s a top 20 PPR RB entering 2017, with a chance at reaching the top 10 by season’s end.

o DLF Nov ADP: 99th
o Advice: Trade a mid/late 2017 1st round pick to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $8 million per year in RSO.

Donte Moncrief WR IND – One of the 20 best dynasty assets, all Moncrief does is score touchdowns – 9TDs in his last 12 games with Andrew Luck, per Matthew Berry.  Expected to play much of his career with Andrew Luck, the yardage will come and he should inch closer to the tier of elite WRs. The price to acquire him will be high, but this is the last chance to buy before he becomes untouchable.

o DLF Nov ADP: 22nd
o Advice: Trade two 1st round picks to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $15 million per year in RSO.

Carson Wentz QB PHI – The Eagles offense and Wentz faltering the past few weeks creates a buying opportunity. Carson Wentz likely never will have worse skill position talent than he does right now. Improving the offense should be the first off-season priority of aggressive GM Howie Roseman as the Eagles severely lack reliable targets, let alone skilled playmakers.

o DLF Nov ADP: 148th
o Advice: Trade late 2017 1st round pick to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $4 million per on multi-year deal in a 1QB RSO league; $12 million per year on a multi-year in a Superflex or 2qb RSO league.

Kenneth Dixon RB BAL – If you’ve read much of my work this year, you’ve likely noticed that I favor RBs that are involved in the passing game. Less of their value is reliant on weekly TD scoring and their usage is likely to be more consistent as they don’t get lose playing time during games with negative game flow. Dixon was one of my favorite RBs draft in 2016.  A MCL injury slowed his NFL debut, but it only appears a matter of time before he takes over the Baltimore backfield.  In Week 11, Dixon nearly saw the field as much as Terrance West (West 24 snaps, Dixon 21 snaps per Nathan Jahnke of PFF).

o DLF Nov ADP: 96th
o Advice: Trade late 2017 1st to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $8 million per year for multiple years in RSO.

Sammy Watkins WR BUF – If you’re willing to stomach the risk of injuries throughout his career, the payoff could be huge. I bought low two months ago in a standard dynasty league, trading Julio Jones for Watkins and 2 late 1st round picks.  Like everyone else I’ve made plenty of trades that didn’t work out as planned this year, but I’ll certainly consider this a success should Watkins return to his 2015 form later this year.  Tyrod Taylor has put together a solid season for the second year in a row, likely establishing himself as the long-term solution at QB in Buffalo. I’ll bet on Watkins undeniable talent, hope he stays healthy, and watch as their offense opens up with their best player back on the field.

o DLF Nov ADP: 17th
o Advice: Trade two 1st round picks to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $14 million per season.

Tyler Lockett WR SEA – Trust the talent. With the ball in his hands, Tyler Lockett‘s elusive reputation has followed him from Kansas State to the NFL. Largely considered a disappointment in 2016, Lockett‘s talent should lead to more opportunities in 2017 and 2018. Over the past two weeks, he’s had two of his three best games on the season as a healthy Russell Wilson has regained late-2015 form. It’s also important to keep in mind that while we never root for injuries, the loss of either Doug Baldwin or Jimmy Graham for an extended period of time would clear the path for increased usage. I’d consider him a good buy if his owner is less optimistic about his future.

o DLF Nov ADP: 73rd
o Advice: Trade a 2nd round pick to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $5 million per year if signed for multiple years in RSO.

Ladarius Green TE PIT – Likely an afterthought after missing the Steelers’ first 8 games, Green has a chance to emerge as a reliable target for Pittsburgh in 2017. Martavis Bryant is expected to return next year, though that’s far from guaranteed as Karlos Williams reminded us last week. If Green puts it all together – a question fantasy players have been asking for years now – he has the top 5 TE potential. If he doesn’t, the cost to acquire him likely wasn’t enough to severely set you back.

o DLF Nov ADP: 170th
o Advice: Trade an early 3rd round pick to acquire in standard dynasty; Good value at $1.5 million for 2017.

Which of these players are you also targeting in trades? Let me know @DaveSanders_RSO on Twitter!


Bio: An avid fan of all things NFL, Dave has been playing fantasy football since 1999.  Though Dave participates in all types of fantasy football including redraft and daily, he prefers keeper and dynasty leagues as talent evaluation and scouting are integral components of each.  Follow him on Twitter @DaveSanders_RSO