Week 7 Street FA Report

Updated: October 19th 2017

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Byes: LIONS, TEXANS

Add of the Week

Orleans Darkwa, RB – NYG (Owned 28%)

Week 6: 21 Car/117 yards, 1 Rec/13 yards

An RB target a couple of weeks ago I felt that Darkwa needed to be featured again due to his low increase in ownership. The Giants are hurting at WR, as evident by Eli Manning only attempting 19 passes on Sunday Night, which means they will be using the run game more throughout the season. There was a spike in interest for Wayne Gallman when he had a decent game in week 5 but Darkwa more than doubled his touches last week (21:9) suggesting that he will, in fact, be the primary option. Though there may not be another 100 yard game for Darkwa he should continue to see the bulk of run plays and offers a goal-line touchdown upside.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $3,000,000

QB Add

C.J. Beathard, QB – SF (Owned 9%)

Week 6: 19 for 36, 245 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 Car/14 yards

If you lost Aaron Rodgers you definitely are experiencing the Monday blues.  But the season goes on and you may need to find a new QB to either start or have as your bye week filler. If you were uninspired by Brett Hundley and his three-interception game last week here is a fresh new face to acquire. C.J. Beathard, a 3rd round rookie from Iowa, took over for Brian Hoyer last week and had an okay game in relief with almost 250 yards passing along with a touchdown and an interception. Similar to Hoyer, Beathard doesn’t possess a cannon arm but rather uses short, quick timing routes for high completion percentages to move the ball. Having a player like Pierre Garcon who is a target monster along with Matt Breida out of the backfield should give Beathard a strong security blanket for these types of passes. With all young QBs there will likely be a capped upside but if he can be mobile enough to add a couple of runs each week (he had 14 yards rushing last week) he could be a comfortable QB2.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 ($1,500,000 in Superflex/2QB)

WR Add

Bennie Fowler, WR – DEN (Owned 20%)

Week 6: 3 Rec/21 yards

Like the Giants, the Broncos have recently been ravaged by injuries to their receiver’s group. While we don’t know the full extent of each players’ injury Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, and rookie Isaiah McKenzie all left week 6’s game for at least a period of time. In the case of the latter two, they did not return and their injuries could be more serious. This means that Bennie Fowler could be in line to step into the WR2 role next week and beyond. He has had opportunities in the offense with 17 targets the last three weeks even with Thomas and Sanders playing ahead of him. He also scored two touchdowns in the season opener. At worst he should be added till we learn more about how severe the injuries those around him have. He could become a valuable flex option for desperate teams.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

TE Adds

Jonnu Smith, TE – TEN (Owned 31%)

Week 6: 1 Rec/10 yards

Jonnu Smith has quietly had a decent start to his career and is pushing forward this year’s class of superb rookie tight ends. Unfortunately for him and the Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota missed the last game and a half, limiting the offense’s production. Mariota will be back healthier for week 7 which should boost the appeal of Smith moving forward. Similar to some of my previous listings this could be an even better pickup if you don’t have a clear candidate for your resign as Smith is likely to overtake Delaine Walker as the featured TE sooner rather than later. For the remainder of 2017, he has a touchdown opportunity upside each week and could see his target numbers increase as he becomes more familiar with the offense.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Aldrick Robinson, WR – SF (Owned 3%)

Week 6: 2 Rec/66 yards, 1 TD

Sometimes it just feels better to bet on the 9:1 horse because when they hit it’s just oh so sweet. That would be the case with adding Aldrick Robinson who has only played 38% of snaps this season for the 49ers. Still, with the backup QB starting now sometimes it’s the second-team receivers that have the better rapport with them. While already discussed that C.J. Beathard is more of a short, quick route passer it doesn’t mean that he won’t have a few opportunities to look deep, especially if defenses are focusing more on stopping Carlos Hyde and the underneath routes. In no given week will Robinson be a safe play but if you liked to have DeSean Jackson back in the day when he was going for a 60-yard touchdown every other week this might be your type of boom/bust sleeper.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Slicing ’17 Rookie Class into 12 Tiers

Updated: July 23rd 2017

According to a recent poll on our RSO Twitter feed, about 50% of RSO leagues have not yet conducted their rookie drafts.  As you’re continuing your preparation, I’m here to provide my tiered rankings of the top 50 rookies.  Navigating three to four rounds of a rookie draft isn’t easy.  My tiers are designed to help you know when to buy or sell so you can accumulate the best possible rookie class, at great value!

So let’s begin…

Tier 1

1. Corey Davis WR TEN

While Corey Davis may not be quite the same level of prospect as recent 1.01/1.02 picks Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, and Todd Gurley, he’s undoubtedly the best prospect in this class and the only receiver I’m willing to bet will be a true NFL #1.  Putting my money where my mouth is, I already have 3 shares and am aiming for more.

Tier 2

2. Joe Mixon RB CIN
3. Christian McCaffrey RB CAR
4. Leonard Fournette RB JAX

To say you can’t go wrong with picks 2, 3, and 4 would be inaccurate. In a few years, all three will have differing values. But at this point, the margins between each are razor-thin.

Consistent with my general strategy, I’m going to often choose the most talented player regardless of their potential non-talent-related downfalls such as injury history, off-the-field issues, etc. I’ll take Joe Mixon at 2.  He’s the only RB in this class that I believe truly has an elite RB1 ceiling. My rankings 3rd and 4th ranked players differ depending on your scoring system. PPR -> Christian McCaffrey. Standard -> Leonard Fournette.

Tier 3

5. Dalvin Cook RB MIN

While a sub-10th percentile SPARQ score terrifies me, Dalvin Cook‘s college tape tells a different story. I firmly believe that he’s the most talented back on the Minnesota Vikings and it isn’t remotely close. How soon he will earn playing time may be another story. He will need to improve drastically in pass-protection and ball security to earn playing time.

After the 1.05 pick, this draft class falls off a cliff. If you’re slated to pick 6th or later in the first round of a rookie draft this year, I’d advise shopping that pick for help now or 2018/2019 picks.

Tier 4

6. Mike Williams WR LAC

Back injuries are scary. Back injuries are especially scary when learning a NFL playbook for this first time, getting acclimated to a NFL playbook, and completing for playing time among a crowded group of talented receivers. Even if he fully recovers from this injury in time for the season, he’s unlikely to contribute in a meaningful way this season. Still my 1.06, I’d only make that pick if I’ve exhausted every trade possible without coming to an agreement. If Mike Williams struggles for playing time, but appears healthy when on the field, he might be a buy-low target at the trade deadline or during the 2018 off-season

For more info on his injury and the potential need for surgery if the non-surgical route doesn’t work, I’d recommend listening to the AUDIBLE LIVE! Podcast from June 8th as Jene Bramel (@JeneBramel on Twitter) provides great insight.

Tier 5

7. Alvin Kamara RB NO
8. John Ross WR CIN
9. David Njoku TE CLE
10. Evan Engram TE NYG
11. Samaje Perine RB WAS
12. O.J. Howard TE TB
13. Kareem Hunt RB KC

Even if he doesn’t develop as an inside runner, Alvin Kamara will still be a very productive pass-catching back in the NFL. The Saints offense is very RB friendly and neither Adrian Peterson or Mark Ingram are locks for the Saints’ 2018 roster.

Love John Ross‘ talent, but hate the landing spot. Andy Dalton isn’t the ideal QB for him, especially behind a poor offensive line that may force them to focus on getting the ball out of his hands quickly.

My tight end rankings are based on my belief in their long-term upside. Love David Njoku‘s talent and his situation isn’t as bad as many believe, especially with the release of Gary Barnidge. Evan Engram should settle in as a big slot receiver, though classified as a TE, for the Giants once they release he can’t handle the typical blocking duties of an in-line TE.

O.J. Howard likely will end up as the best NFL TE, but I’m worried that his talent as a blocker may limit his fantasy potential.

Samaje Perine doesn’t feel like a 1st rounder to me.  I would do everything possible to trade the 1.11 pick for a random 2018 1st. He was graded by many as a late 2nd or early 3rd round pick dynasty rookie pick, but has catapulted into the 1st round due to his promising landing spot in Washington. Betting on him to the next Jordan Howard is dangerous. Barring that type of breakout, I expect Washington to be in play for signing a free agent or drafting a top RB prospect in 2018.

Rounding out this tier is Kareem Hunt – a running back who dazzled on tape, but disappointed at the NFL combine. Joining a Spencer Ware in the Kansas City backfield, many believe Hunt will overtake Ware for the majority of carries by mid-season. I believe this is far from a lock and would expect Ware to lead KC in carries this year, by a 2:1 ratio.

Tier 6

14. JuJu Smith-Schuster WR PIT
15. Chris Godwin WR TB
16. Carlos Henderson WR DEN
17. James Conner RB PIT
18. Zay Jones WR BUF
19. Curtis Samuel WR CAR

Higher on Carlos Henderson than most, I love his ability after the catch. It’s also worth mentioning that aging receivers Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders aren’t long-term barriers to playing time in Denver.

Tier 7

20. Taywan Taylor WR TEN
21. D’Onte Foreman RB HOU
22. Jeremy McNichols RB TB

Loved Taywan Taylor pre-draft and couldn’t have hoped for a much better landing spot.  Great target in the late 2nd or early 3rd round of your draft.

Tier 8

23. Melvin Mack RB IND
24. Kenny Galladay WR DET
25. ArDarius Stewart WR NYJ
26. Gerald Everett TE LAR
27. Joe Williams RB SF
28. Josh Reynolds WR LAR
29. Chad Williams WR ARI

This group includes several recent ADP risers: Kenny Galladay, ArDarius Stewart, Joe Williams, and Chad Williams. In each of my drafts, I want to land several players from this tier.

Tier 10

30. Jamaal Williams RB GB
31. Aaron Jones RB GB
32. Patrick Mahomes QB KC

In both redraft and dynasty, Ty Montgomery is the back I want in Green Bay though it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Packers drafted 3 running backs. If everything breaks right for either rookie back, Williams and Jones could be featured in one of the NFL’s best offenses. That alone makes them solid values in the 3rd round.

If early rookie drafts are any indication, I’m going to be heavily invested in Patrick Mahomes. While he’ll need to be more consistent to succeed at the next level, I can’t help but drool at his raw ability. His landing spot, under Andy Reid’s tutelage, could not be better. Let’s not forget that Andy Reid used to be criticized during his Eagles days for passing too much.  Mahomes will be put into position to not only succeed, but also develop into a QB1 in fantasy.

Tier 11

33. Cooper Kupp WR LAR
34. Wayne Gallman RB NYG
35. Amara Dorboh WR SEA
36. Deshaun Watson QB HOU
37. Adam Shaheen TE CHI
38. DeShone Kizer QB CLE
39. Mitchell Trubisky QB CHI

Tier 12

40. Ishmael Zamora WR OAK
41. Jonnu Smith TE TEN
42. Josh Malone WR CIN
43. Jehu Chessen WR KC
44. Chad Kelly QB DEN
45. Dede Westbrook WR JAX

Tier 13

46. Shelton Gibson WR PHI
47. Jake Butt TE DEN

48. Elijah McGuire RB NYJ
49. Brian Hill RB ATL
50. Donnel Pumphrey RB PHI


Bio: An avid fan of all things NFL, Dave has been playing fantasy football since 1999.  Though Dave participates in all types of fantasy football including redraft and daily, he prefers dynasty and keeper leagues as talent evaluation and scouting are integral components of each.  Follow him on Twitter @DaveSanders_RSO