Week 12 Injury Impact

Updated: November 30th 2018

No one likes injuries but they happen and we must deal with them.  Week 12 saw a number of injury related and other news items relevant for many fantasy teams.  These injuries come at exactly the wrong team for many as the fantasy playoffs are about to start in most RSO leagues.  Let’s examine a few of the most fantasy relevant injuries, their probable replacements, and impacts on fellow teammates.

Injury News

Melvin Gordon

No injury has a bigger impact on fantasy teams than Gordon’s MCL sprain.  Gordon is irreplaceable as a top-5 fantasy running back.  He likely misses at least the next two games and could easily be done for the fantasy year including great matchups against Cincinnati and Kansas City to start the fantasy playoffs in weeks 14 and 15.

Who’s up next?  Austin Ekeler dominated snaps in week 7 with Gordon injured.   Expect more of the same for as long as Gordon is out with rookie Justin Jackson mixing in a little more this time around.  Jackson actually out-rushed Ekeler in week 12 after Gordon left but those touches were with the Chargers blowing out the helpless Cardinals while Ekeler caught a team-high 10 receptions.  Los Angeles might lean more on MVP-candidate Phillip Rivers while Gordon is out which could mean target increases for Chargers receivers including Keenan Allen.

Jack Doyle

Doyle suffered a season-ending kidney injury in Sunday’s game finishing an injury-plagued year.  Doyle was a top-10 PPR tight end with heavy volume when playing but struggled staying on the field in 2018.  The Indianapolis run game takes a hit as Doyle was also among the top blocking tight ends in the league.

Who’s up next?  The biggest beneficiary is fellow tight end Eric Ebron.  Ebron averaged 10 targets per game during Doyle’s previous five game absence.  Do not expect quite that kind of workload as Andrew Luck’s top wide receiver, T.Y. Hilton, also missed some time during Doyle’s exit.  It does not matter.  Ebron already amassed 11 touchdowns in just 11 games playing limited snaps as a passing down player with Doyle for significant time.  He jumps to a top-tier, set-it-and-forget-it fantasy tight end to finish the year as Andrew Luck’s primary endzone threat.  Mo Alie-Cox, Ryan Hewitt, and Erik Swoope all missed last week’s game but one could become marginally fantasy relevant moving forward as the second tight end in this powerful offense.  Indianapolis faces one of the most fantasy friendly schedules for tight ends of any team going forward. Other receivers, including Hilton, could see increased volume as well.

Marvin Jones, Jr.

The hope of Jones returning ended when Detroit put Jones on injured reserve this week.  The rest of season looked relatively bright for Jones once Golden Tate was traded to Philadelphia with Jones and Kenny Golladay forming a dynamic twosome at wide receiver for the Lions.  That is now on hold until 2019.

Who’s up next?  The move solidifies Golladay at the top of the receiving pecking order in Detroit.  The biggest boost goes to Bruce Ellington who has seen 16 targets in the two games missed by Jones.  There should be enough volume for both to remain relevant the rest of season but things could look ugly at times.  Detroit faces an uninspiring fantasy playoff schedule for receivers including Minnesota and Buffalo.

Andy Dalton

The “Red-Rifle” is done for the season after a disappointing 2018.  Dalton was no more than a low-end starter in 2QB and superflex leagues so his missing of the rest of year after injuring his thumb will not have a big impact in most fantasy leagues.

Who’s up next?  It is unlikely the backup to Dalton will be fantasy relevant considering Dalton’s ineffectiveness in this offense.  Jeff Driskell replaces Dalton as the Bengals starting quarterback.  He displays some impressive athletic traits so you might see more running from the new quarterback but you can safely avoid him in most leagues.  The real impact will be felt on Bengals receivers where weekly volatility and uncertainty increases with a backup quarterback in.  Tyler Boyd and even A.J. Green, when he returns, become higher-risk weekly plays.

Jeff Heuerman

Heuerman was beginning to see his role expand in the Broncos offense after injuries decimated Denver’s tight end core this year.  He also joins the sinking ship after being ruled out for the season.  They will drag bodies from free agency to fill roster spots at this point.

Who’s up next?  This is another situation where you are likely only concerned in deeper leagues.  Matt LaCosse was the only tight end left for Denver after Heuerman’s loss and, while not an exciting option, he provides some intrigue.  Denver tight ends have seen no less than 7 targets over the last four games.  The Broncos also have what should be an easy finishing schedule with games against all sub-.500 teams to end the fantasy season.  The loss of Heuerman likely means more work for starting wide receivers Emmanuel Sanders and Courtland Sutton to go along with a continued heavy reliance on the run game.

Other News

Rex Burkhead

New England recently activated Burkhead from injured reserve adding some chaos in the Patriots backfield.  We do not know what role Burkhead will play when he returns but he and now-Titan Dion Lewis formed a dynamic one-two punch when healthy last season.  The real loser, from a fantasy perspective, could be James White.  White has been outstanding this season as an RB1 in fantasy playing without Burkhead and rookie Sony Michel at times.  White was used primarily as just a passing down back last season with Burkhead and Lewis playing.  That would severely limit his fantasy potential if he moves to that role again to finish the season.

Blake Bortles

The Jaguars benched Bortles for the second, and possibly final, time last week setting the stage for a Cody Kessler end to the year at starting quarterback for Jacksonville.  He is not much of an option except for the deepest of fantasy leagues.  Kessler showed some decent play starting for Cleveland in 2016, however, and does not have a particularly tough schedule going forward.  The switch should not impact Jacksonville receivers negatively as the volume was so low with Bortles.

Bio:  Bernard Faller has degrees in engineering and economics.  He currently lives in Las Vegas and enjoys athletics, poker, and fantasy football in his free time.  Send your questions and comments (both good and bad) on Twitter @BernardFaller1.

More Analysis by Bernard Faller

The Watch List: 2018 Conference Championship Previews

Updated: November 30th 2018

Welcome to The Watch List, a resource to help RSO owners identify the players and matchups from the college game that deserve your attention.  To view my weekly picks and observations, follow me on Twitter @robertfcowper.  Check back throughout the season as The Watch List will continue to update you on who is fantasy relevant and worth your draft capital next year. 

It’s been awhile, dear readers.  My apologies for the long lay-off between articles, you can blame my now-wife for that!  College football was a welcome, albeit infrequent, reprieve from our ever-encompassing wedding duties, but I was just not able to find the time to sit down and put flesh to keyboard.  What better time to get back into the swing than the week of conference championships!  For each matchup, I present a draft-eligible name you should know as well as my take and prediction.

MAC: Northern Illinois (7-5) vs Buffalo (10-2), 7:00pm Friday on ESPN2

  • Draft Eligible Player to Watch:
    • Anthony Johnson, WR, Buffalo:  Johnson was one of my top prospects heading into the 2019 season.  He was shortly derailed by a hamstring injury but is back in the fold now.  Johnson’s numbers have been disappointing (45-820-9) compared to last season (76-1,356-14).  The explanation is likely the injury plus the fact that the Bulls are averaging nearly 60 yards per game more rushing this season.  Johnson has the ability to dominate lesser, in size and skill, defenders.  Whether his skills are dominant enough for the NFL remains to be seen but I think he has a shot at being a mid-rounder if he shows out in the last two games.
  • Prediction:  Buffalo -4.  Buffalo’s closest win this season was by seven over Temple and Eastern Michigan (two other bowl teams), so when they win they usually win big.  The Bulls have more potential NFL talent on both sides of the ball (don’t forget about QB Tyree Jackson and LB Khalil Hodge) so I don’t expect this to be particularly close.

PAC-12: #17 Utah (9-3) vs #11 Washington (9-3), 8:00pm Friday on FOX

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Myles Gaskin, RB, Washington: #DraftTwitter seems to hate Gaskin. I don’t think he’s the next coming of Saquon Barkley but the hate has probably gone too far. You can nitpick and say he’s not very big (5110/193) or could be more involved as a receiver (53 combined receptions over the last three seasons). However, it’s hard to argue with somebody who has 5,131 career rushing yards which is 18th best in the NCAA dating back to the 1950s. He’s the first back in PAC-12 history to rush for 1,000+ yards in four plus seasons. I’d like to see him more decisive hitting the hole but he does have good feet that are always moving. He has enough speed and power to be an every-down back in college but his NFL role will be more limited.
  • Prediction:  Utah +5.  This one feels like a trap game for casual bettors (myself included).  Washington is a big name in recent college football seasons and will get attention.  Utah is without its best pro prospect in RB Zack Moss but I’d still expect them to keep it close.  They’ve scored 35+ in seven of their last eight games so the offense can score.  Washington was favored in six of their last seven and lost to the spread in five of those contests.

Big 12: #5 Oklahoma (11-1) vs #14 Texas (9-3), 12:00pm Saturday on ABC

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma: Brown is a dynamo.  Despite his diminutive size (5110/168) he often lines up outside and instead uses motion and his route running ability to avoid contact and get open.  Once he has the ball in his hands it’s nearly impossible to catch him.  Brown was quiet through the middle part of the season but he exploded last week against West Virginia for 11-243-2.  The emergence of Tyreek Hill as a viable NFL receiver is going to help boost Brown’s stock.  He won’t be a first rounder but I feel pretty confident that a team will fall in love enough to reach for him on Day Two.
  • Prediction:  Texas +7.5.  The Sooners won their last four games by a total of just 24 points, while they were favored by a combined 73.5.  Their defense has appeared to be a liability this season and that is borne out in the stats: their defense is dead last in the conference in points and total yards.  I would take OU straight up but Texas with the points.

Sun Belt: Louisiana-Lafayette (7-5) at Appalachian State (9-2), 12:00pm on ESPN

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Clifton Duck, CB, Appalachian State: Duck had a strong freshmen and sophomore seasons with a combined 11 interceptions, 14 passes defended and 107 tackles. His numbers decreased this season (1-4-44), so this really feels like scraping the bottom of the barrel!  (Unfortunately, the best prospect on either team is hurt and out for the season, ‘Neer RB Jalin Moore.  Moore is good in pass protection and was on his way to a third consecutive 1,000 yard season before dislocating his ankle.  If he’s not fully recovered to take part in the draft process, a team is going to get a bargain.)
  • Prediction:  Appalachian State -18.  This one is a rematch from October which App State won 27-17.  The Mountaineers lost their succeeding game but rebounded with four wins to end the season, including three big wins (two pushes, one cover).  I admit that part of this pick may be name recognition more than anything else but if I had to pick against the spread I would take App State to cover.

C-USA: Middle Tennessee (8-4) at UAB (9-3), 1:30pm on CBSSN

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Brent Stockstill, QB, Middle Tennessee: It feels like Stockstill has been a Blue Raider for most of my adult life.  He grayshirted in 2013 then redshirted in 2014.  In 2015 he started 13 games but then missed chunks of 2016 and 2017 due to injury.  He’s stayed on the field thus far in 2018.  The positive vibes continue with his stat logs: he is completing 71.1% of his passes, has improved his rate stats and has a career low of interceptions (6).  Stockstill throws with good touch but his accuracy is inconsistent.  His age and injury history likely make him a priority UDFA but in such a weak quarterback class, who knows?
  • Prediction:  UAB +1.5.  I was very surprised to see the Blazers as a home underdog in this one.  They are 6-0 at home this season (5-1 ATS).  A big part of that line may be the uncertainty surrounding RB Spencer Brown’s availability (996-15).  I’ll take the gamble that he plays.  He’s just a sophomore and not yet draft eligible so there’s some incentive to shine in a big game, and throw down a few bucks on UAB with the points.

AAC: #8 UCF (11-0) vs Memphis (8-4), 3:30pm on ABC

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Darrell Henderson, RB, Memphis:  Henderson led a dominant Tigers rushing attack this season.  His regular season totals ended at: 1,699 yards, 19 TDs, 8.6 yards per carry, 17 receptions, 286 yards  and 3 TDs.  That’s impressive even before you consider that he’s splitting touches with Patrick Taylor (894-14) and Tony Pollard (398-5).  Henderson measures in at 5090/200 and yet runs with an upright, downhill style.  You can feel his momentum when he’s on the move.  He may be too small for an every down role in the NFL but he runs with a physicality that belies his height and that will endear him to his teammates.
  • Prediction:  Memphis +3.  It’s hard to write the narrative for this game right now.  Does UCF rebound and battle for their fallen quarterback?  Or do they collapse with a backup signal caller under center?  Considering their last matchup was a 31-30 victory for UCF, I’ll take Memphis and the points here because I think McKenzie Milton is worth way more than a few points.  (I do hope I am wrong on this one though because I am wishing for CFP mayhem.)

SEC: #1 Alabama (12-0) vs #4 Georgia (11-1), 4:00pm on CBS

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Irv Smith, TE, Alabama: This game is obviously chock full of pro talent so why am I highlighting a tight end? Because you’ve probably missed Irv Smith’s ascension amidst the Alabaman domination this season. I am here to tell you that he should be on your radar as a potential rookie draft target for 2019. Smith has a good 35-613-7 line thus far, despite inconsistent production (five games with 2 or less receptions). In three of those games he managed to score a touchdown so he can still be a difference maker without a high target share. He’s listed at 6040/241 and has the speed to be a matchup nightmare for linebackers. If he shows consistency in Alabama’s biggest games, we’ll see his draft stock skyrocket. While your friends are waxing poetic about Tua and Quinnen, you can drop some knowledge about Irv, who will factor into next year’s rookie draft.
  • Prediction:  Alabama -13. ‘Bama has covered big numbers in its last five SEC games. The only one in the last six games that they didn’t cover was -53.5 against doormat foe Citadel. I see no reason to believe that the Tide won’t roll again. They are just too talented all over the field, probably the most talented team I’ve ever seen.

Mountain West: #25 Fresno State (10-2) at #22 Boise State (10-2), 7:45pm on ESPN

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Brett Rypien, QB, Boise State:  Rypien is a name that you should monitor closely throughout the draft process.  The 2019 quarterback class is weak so it’s possible that somebody like Rypien emerges to become a first rounder just by virtue of scarcity.  He has average size at 6020/202.  He shows good pocket presence and above average short and medium accuracy.  He needs to show more consistency with his mechanics because he often lets himself throw off-platform, off-balance or with his feet unset.  In a previous film study, I noted that Rypien does not feel blindside pressure well which will be a problem in the NFL.  He’s probably a Day Two guy with the potential to land higher if teams are desperate.
  • Prediction:  Fresno State +2.5.  I’ve almost convinced myself that Fresno will win this one straight up because I’ve followed them closely this year after I stacked QB Marcus McMaryion and WR KeeSean Johnson in my college fantasy league.  So I’ll have to take the points.  The Bulldogs have lost their last three ATS but before that were on a seven game winning streak.  Bonus tidbit: the last four games for both teams went under (including their November 9 matchup).

Big Ten: #6 Ohio State (11-1) vs #21 Northwestern (8-4), 8:00pm on FOX

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State:  Haskins is a fast-rising redshirt sophomore who got his chance to lead Ohio State this season after JT Barrett’s graduation.  Haskins checks in at 6030/220 but I think that might be a slight exaggeration.  He’s not small but he does lack elite size.  He’s not a burner as a runner but he’s recently shown that he can be effective and clutch in short yardage situations.  It’s hard to find fault when looking at his statistics because he’s setting numerous Ohio State and Big Ten records.  He topped 4,000 yards (4,081) and has tossed 42 TDs to just 7 INTs.  His rating (171.7) and completion percentage (69.0%) are phenomenal.  Haskins has seen a meteoric rise to his draft stock, in fact, The Draft Network now projects him as QB2 in the 2019 eligible class.
  • Prediction:  Ohio State -14.  As a Michigan fan, it was particularly hard to watch the 62-39 drubbing last weekend.  I’m a firm believer in rooting for the team that beats you (if you’re going to lose, it might as well be to the eventual champion) so I’ll be all-in on the Buckeyes.  Northwestern has a top third defense in the conference but their weak spot is against the pass (ranked 11th) so they will not be able to slow Haskins enough to keep it close.

ACC: #2 Clemson (12-0) vs Pitt (7-5), 8:00pm on ABC

  • Draft Eligible Players to Watch:
    • The Entire Defensive Line, Clemson:  There are so many “brand name” players on the Clemson defense that it would be impossible to single one of them out.  The fact that their biggest offensive stars are underclassmen (QB Trevor Lawrence, RB Travis Etienne and WR Tee Higgins) also helps concentrate focus on the defense.  Clelin Ferrell has distanced himself as the best prospect on the line with 10.5 sacks this season.  Interior linemen Dexter Lawrence and Christian Wilkins are a dynamic duo who both feature rare combinations of size and athleticism (notably they have a combined 3 rushing TDs this season).  Austin Bryant, playing fourth fiddle, would probably be the defensive leader for most teams (19 career sacks and 116 career tackles).
  • Prediction:  Clemson -26.5.  What a snoozer in the 8:00pm window, I bet ABC is not happy.  Clemson is only 6-6 ATS this season while Pitt is 8-4 but I won’t let that sway my thinking.  I’ll be okay with losing this one if Clemson doesn’t cover but my gut tells me they run up the score to prove that they belong in the conversation with Alabama.  Give the points and switch the channel.

Lines and betting stats courtesy of OddsShark.com, as of 11/27.

Notes: In an effort to standardize the description of key positional traits, I frequently use the following adjectives: elite, good, above average, average, below average, poor.  My experimental grading system uses a Madden-like approach by weighting position relevant traits on a 100-point scale; bonus or negative points are awarded based on production, size, injury history and character.  Heights listed are using a notation common among scouts where the first digit corresponds to the feet, the next two digits correspond to the inches and the fourth digit corresponds to the fraction, in eighths.  So, somebody measuring 5’11” and 3/8 would be 5113.  This is helpful when trying to sort players by height.  When watching film for a player, I typically pick two games.  When time permits, I may add a third game. If game film is not available I will search for highlight reels, but keep in mind these are the best plays that player had so they really need to jump off the screen. I do not necessarily want to watch games where they did very well or very poorly as that may not be a great illustration of their true ability. If possible, when comparing players at the same position I also like to watch film against common opponents. Full disclosure, I am not watching film of every single game any player plays, instead I am looking for a representative sample.  There are a lot of analysts out there who have a deeper depth of knowledge about certain players but I pride myself in a wide breadth of knowledge about many players.  When researching college players I use a number of resources, I would recommend bookmarking the below sites…

  • Stats: espn.com, sports-reference.com, cfbstats.com, herosports.com, fcs.football, foxsports.com, mcubed.net
  • Recruiting: 247Sports.com, espn.com, sbnation.com, rivals.com
  • Film: 2019 NFL Draft Database by Mark Jarvis, youtube.com (but be wary of highlight only reels)
  • Draft info and mocks: draftcountdown.com, draftscout.com, walterfootball.com, mattwaldmanrsp.com, draftek.com, thedraftnetwork.com
  • Draft history: drafthistory.com
  • Combine info: pro-football-reference.com, espn.com, nflcombineresults.com
  • Season preview magazines: Phil Steele, Lindy’s, Street and Smith’s, Athlon Sports
  • Podcasts: ESPN’s First Draft, Strong as Steele with Phil Steele, The Audible by Football Guys (specifically episodes w/ Matt Waldman), UTH Dynasty, Draft Dudes, 247Sports College Football, College Fantasy Football: On Campus, Underdog Pawdcast, Saturday 2 Sunday, Locked on NFL Draft
  • Logos & Player Media Photos: collegepressbox.com, the media home for FWAA members
  • Odds & Gambling Stats: oddsshark.com

Robert F. Cowper is a freelance writer who lives in New Jersey.  He is a proud member of the Football Writers Association of America and the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.  Robert works as a recreation professional, specializing in youth sports, when he isn’t acting as commissioner for his many fantasy sports leagues.

More Analysis by Bob Cowper

Week 13 Street FA Report

Updated: November 28th 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Justin Jackson, RB – LAC (Owned 18%)

Week 12: 7 Car/57 yards

It was a tough week for Melvin Gordon owners who were happy to see him play in what was likely a crucial week 12 game and even put up two touchdowns to help out their weekly scoring. Unfortunately, he injured his MCL and despite his “week-to-week” designation he’s realistically going to miss most if not all of the fantasy playoffs. In his place, Austin Ekeler is the likely next man up but he has mostly been used as a receiving back so it is not guaranteed that he becomes a bell-cow. Once Gordon went out rookie running back Justin Jackson had seven (7) carries for almost 60 and fits a more tradition RB role. With a full week of preparation, the Chargers may be able to figure out how they will incorporate Jackson into the offense. He should see his share of carries so he needs to be added in all leagues. It would also be a disservice if I didn’t remind you to add any obvious backup RBs too in case of a similar situation on another team.

Suggested Bid: $10,000,000 (or 80% of your remaining 2018 cap)

WR Adds

Trey Quinn, WR – WAS (Owned 14%)

Week 12: 5 Rec/26 yards, 1 TD

We will have to wait and see the injury report for Washington but either way, Trey Quinn should likely have a role going forward. Colt McCoy is going to be the starting quarterback for the remainder of the season and he is not an aggressive, down the field gunslinger; not that Alex Smith would have been either. This can benefit Quinn who appears to be the primary underneath WR right now in Washington. As a team that is in the middle of a playoff/division race the remaining games for Washington should all be competitive. With the injuries to their offensive line as well it will likely be harder for Adrian Peterson and Kapri Bibbs to gain much in the run game. Quinn should have a safe floor in PPR leagues.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000


Jermaine Kearse, WR – NYJ (Owned 27%)

Week 12: 6 Rec/66 yards, 1 TD

Quincy Enunwa had more receiving yards but Jermaine Kearse was actually the most targeted receiver on the Jets last week with twelve (12). The remaining schedule for the Jets is a difficult one (Tennessee, Buffalo, Houston, Green Bay, New England) which means that it might be hard for them to generate scoring opportunities. Luckily, there’s always garbage time if any of these games become a blowout.  If Sam Darnold comes back this week things may change but for now, Kearse is the primary target in New Jersey and could be a WR5 option for deep leagues.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Jonnu Smith, TE – TEN (Owned 44%)

Week 12: 2 Rec/63 yards, 1 TD

First O.J. Howard goes down and now Jack Doyle is out for the season. As someone who had both and thought he was good at the TE position heading into the playoffs, I’m sure scrambling now. If you are like me or have been using a revolving door of tight ends, then check to see if Jonnu Smith is still available. Since Marcus Mariota’s return from injury, the Tennessee offense has vastly improved making players like Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, and Dion Lewis much more steady fantasy producers. Smith himself has scored a touchdown in three of the past four games making him a staple for Tennessee’s red zone plan. He’s not elite but at least he’s reliable.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Ryan Switzer, WR – PIT (Owned 9%)

Week 12: 6 Rec/ 67 yards, 1 Car/4 yards

The Broncos gave an interesting bit of advice to future opponents of the Pittsburgh Steelers after their upset victory on Sunday. They said that the game plan was to double cover both Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster and let someone else beat them. Now, they did give up a 97-yard touchdown to Juju so clearly it wasn’t a plan that was executed to perfection but still they forced Ben Roethlisberger to look elsewhere which caused several turnovers. If future teams are thinking of using a similar strategy there may be a chance for slot man Ryan Switzer to carve out a role. With games against the Chargers, Patriots, and Saints it likely means that the passing game will continue to be the focal point of Pittsburgh offense as well. Switzer had a season-high six (6) receptions and 67 yards on Sunday because of the coverage and may be needed going forward.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

RSO Staff Picks: Week 12

Updated: November 25th 2018

Week 11 Results

1. English – 6-7

T2. Wendell – 5-8

T2. Papson – 5-8

Overall Standings

1.  English – 103-57-2

2. Papson – 101-59-2

3. Wendell 95-65-2

Hope everyone had a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday! It was a messy week for us picking games last week as there were a ton of tough matchups and extremely close results, culminating with the shootout of the year and one of the most entertaining games in NFL history on Monday night as the Rams and Jared Goff outlasted Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs 54-51 (the combined 105 points were the most ever scored on MNF). We had three games on Thanksgiving as usual this week and Kyle, Matt and I were all on the Bears, Cowboys and Saints so we are a perfect 3-0 to start the week. The rest of our picks for today are below. Enjoy the games!

NFL Game Picks




















More Analysis by Stephen Wendell

Week 12 Street FA Report

Updated: November 22nd 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Byes: Kansas City, Los Angeles Rams

Add of the Week

Gus Edwards, RB – BAL (Owned 2%)

Week 11: 17 Car/115 yards, 1 TD

Surprise, Gus Edwards has become the lead runner in Baltimore coming out of their bye week. He and Lamar Jackson combined for over 230 yards on the ground last week and he out carried Alex Collins 17-7. It was even more shocking as Collins had three (3) attempts on the opening drive, scoring a touchdown, but then had only four (4) the remainder of the game. Either way, Edwards is likely to be involved more moving forward which means that he is a must add while Lamar Jackson is the Ravens’ QB. Jackson’s running ability makes defenses have to give him full attention which should give Gus Edwards plenty of space on read-option plays.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000 – $5,000,000

WR Add

Chris Conley, WR – KC (Owned 12.4%)

Week 11: 7 Rec/74 yards, 2 TD

Let’s preface this by saying Monday night’s game likely would have resulted in you or me having close to 10 PPR points due to the sheer volume of scoring that occurred. Having said that, Chris Conley has been the primary benefactor of plays and games in which Sammy Watkins has been absent, which on an offense as explosive as KC’s that warrants being at least “end of the roster” material. Watkins will have two weeks to heal himself while on their bye week but there’s no guarantee that his foot injury won’t flare up again. KC coaches may look to use Conley down the stretch more if they feel he can be more reliable in the lineup. That’s no guarantee but any uptick in usage would be huge to his fantasy value.

Suggested Bid: $500,000


Marcell Ateman, WR – OAK (Owned 18%)

Week 11: 4 Rec/50 yards

I was going to put Marcell Ateman as my sleeper this week but was surprised to see that savvy RSO owners had already bumped up his ownership to almost a fifth of leagues. Good on you guys and gals. My take last week with Brandon LaFell being a viable waiver add that you could plug and play if in dire need worked out pretty well, just ask RSO podcast host Matt Goody. Unfortunately, he too has been caught by the injury bug and is now out of the lineup. This means that the previously mentioned Marcell Ateman and veteran Seth Roberts are the only two healthy receivers that have any rapport with Derek Carr. Ateman had four (4) catches last week against a fairly strong secondary in Arizona. The Raiders are unlikely to keep up with many of their final six opponents (Baltimore, KC x2, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Denver) which should mean plenty of passing and lots of garbage time points. Treat Ateman like you would have LaFell, a receiver that may have boom/bust value week-to-week but should have a safer target value than other WR2/3s on other teams.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Lance Kendricks, TE – GB (Owned 1.3%)

Week 11: 2 Rec/12 yards

I can’t imagine breaking a thumb and then having to both catch fastballs from Aaron Rodgers as well as block the occasional 250 lbs. linebacker. That’s why I would keep an eye on Packers’ backup tight end Lance Kendricks as a sleeper tight end for the remainder of the season. Jimmy Graham says he will gut out his injury but all it takes is an increase in pain to force him to miss snaps or even future games. Tight end has always been a boom/bust all year for all but a handful of owners and for those hurt by the O.J. Howard news this could be a cheap option to replace some of his production. If Richard Rodgers can have an eight (8) touchdown season in Green Bay, Lance Kendricks can have some upside in the Packers offense.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Bruce Ellington, WR – DET (Owned 6%)

Week 11: 6 Rec/52 yards

After Kenny Golladay, it wasn’t obvious who the number two option in the passing game was going to be for the Lions without Marvin Jones. We got our answer Sunday with Bruce Ellington who saw nine (9) targets and made six (6) catches. The Lions have a quick turnaround with a Thanksgiving matchup on Thursday which might not give enough time for Marvin Jones to get healthy. What’s more is Kerryon Johnson is expected to miss a couple of weeks which means that Theo Riddick may be needed more in the backfield as a traditional runner. This all lends itself to Bruce Ellington being a sneaky play for those missing the production of their Chiefs or Rams receivers. It’s a real risk to start Ellington but the reward could be better than that of some bench receivers you may have available.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

RSO Staff Picks: Week 11

Updated: November 18th 2018

Week 10 Results

T1. Wendell – 9-5

T1. English 9-5

3. Papson – 7-7

Overall Standings

1.  English – 97-50-2

2. Papson – 96-51-2

3. Wendell 90-57-2

Papson stumbles at 7-7 and English takes over the season long lead. I matched Kyle at 9-5 for the week so was not able to make up any ground on him but now sit only 7 games out of first. Packers and Seahawks started the week off with a great game where the Seahawks very much kept their playoff hopes alive by defending home turf against Aaron Rodgers, who continues to look prolific and pedestrian in the same game. A great slate of games this week will provide for some awesome pre-Thanksgiving week action, but all eyes will be on the MNF thriller in LA (moved from Mexico City due to bad turf conditions) as Mahomes and Goff take center stage in what could be a Super Bowl preview. Our picks are below, enjoy the games!

NFL Game Picks


















More Analysis by Stephen Wendell