In collaboration with Jake Kohlhagen’s IDP rankings, RSO contributor Nick Andrews’ provides their offensive rankings heading into the 2023 NFL rookie draft. They also provide insight as to who they believe are some of their under and overrated players in each of the first three (3) rounds. The full set of rankings can be found at the end of this article.

1st Round

Undervalued

Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida

It is hard to find any player that is undervalued in the first round (pre-draft) but if there is one player that has the widest range of outcomes it would be Anthony Richardson. The freak quarterback who has drawn comparisons to Cam Newton for his physical capabilities, the community seems to be completely split on what his functionality at the NFL level will be. Those that believe his passing accuracy will hinder his ability to be productive as a passer have dropped him to be a late first, early second round selection. Those that see the rushing upside as the difference maker have him as a mid-first round selection and in superflex a potential 1.01 option. Every draft room will have different feelings towards Richardson which makes his value very fluid right now. He could end up being a steal in some leagues.

Overvalued

Jalin Hyatt, WR, Tennessee

John Ross, Henry Ruggs, and Tavon Austin. Three (3) receivers who were drafted based on how fast they can run in a straight line. While there have been some successful players that only had one club in the bag but knew how to use it well, weekly “boom-bust” production does not usually create much fantasy value both in trading and in scoring. I cannot see Hyatt being anything more than a third receiver whose primary objective is just to distract the deep coverages to open up the underneath passing game. For a late first or even early second round selection there are other players I would rather look for.

2nd Round

Undervalued

Zach Evans, RB, Mississippi

When the 2023 class was getting early buzz as the class to go out and acquire picks for, Zach Evans was ranked near the top of those prospects. His value has dropped significantly over the last twelve months and now he is being ranked in the late second round. He still has the tools to be an every-down back and could be seen as one those players that we all ask how he fell to the second round in two years in the right system. 

Overvalued

Tyjae Spears, RB, Tulane

Opposite to Zach Evans’ fall, Tyjae Spears has slowly ascended to fringe first round pick in some rankings since January. Spears is a great prospect and while I do not think he will be the “A” in an offense he would be a great compliment in any backfield. Depending on which team drafts him, his value will either come back down to the late second which feels more accurate or he will be drafted to a perceived “open backfield” and the community will push him into the first round like James Cook last year. At the later value I will not have many shares of Spears.

3rd Round

Undervalued

Xavier Hutchinson, WR, Iowa State

Each year I find receivers that are going 25th or higher that I believe should be drafted at the top of the third round. My pre-draft pick for this year’s draft is Xavier Hutchinson who has flown relatively under the radar during the off-season and has not been receiving a lot of pre-draft buzz from the community. Being projected as an early Day 3 selection there is a good chance that Hutchinson finds himself on a tough depth chart to make early contributions to. His skill set however leads me to believe he could become a great complimentary receiver in any offense and with patience could become a consistent contributor in deeper fantasy leagues.

Overvalued

Kendre Miller, RB, TCU

Too many times on film I watched Kendre Miller not have the decision making skills to hit the hole or make a conviction about what he was going to do behind the line of scrimmage. There is something to be said about being a patient runner but in the NFL everything happens faster and if you cannot process the running lanes unless they are wide open there will not be any way he sees playing time over other running backs. There are plenty of other players in the same value range of Miller that I will be taking before he ever makes it far enough to be drafted on my board.

2023 Combined Pre-Draft Rookie Rankings (Offense Only)

Jake’s 2023 Full IDP Pre-Draft Rookie Rankings

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