IDP Start/Sit: Week 4

Updated: September 27th 2023


Here we are. Week 4. Some of us are celebrating our start, others about to panic. Wherever you land in there, let’s take a breath, focus in on week 4, and find some great options for your lineup to get your team heading towards that playoff birth!

Week 3 Recap


Start: Greg Rousseau (1 sack, 1 solo) 👍

Sit: Joe Tryon-Shoyinka (2 solos) 👍


Start: Alex Anzalone (4 solos, 1 assist) 👎

Sit: Nick Bolton (Injured)


Start: Dax Hill (1 sack, 6 solos, 1 assist) 👍

Sit: Kyler Dugger (5 solos, 2 assists, 1 PBU) 👎

Week 1 Starts & Sits

START: Za’Darius Smith, Cleveland Browns, DL46 (ED33)

The Cleveland Browns have one of the best defenses to kick off the 2023 season. While Myles Garrett has been on a tear, Smith has been quite productive in his own right, while it has not fully come through on the box score, yet.

He has 9 pressures and 4 QB hits on 73 pass rush snaps. While this has not netted a sack yet, this matchup in week 4 against the Baltimore Ravens. We targeted the Ravens matchup in week 1 for Will Anderson, and for the same reasons, we are doing it again. Lamar has an average time to throw of 2.82 seconds. This matchup along with Smith’s success winning his matchups up front, with a very strong 27.3% win rate in true pass rush sets. This looks like a great week for Za’Darius to notch his first sack of the season.

SIT: Rashan Gary, Green Bay Packers, DL25 (ED20)

Gary has done an amazing job coming back from a very serious injury last season and has already shown us what we saw in his limited breakout campaign last season before getting hurt. 4 sacks through his first 3 games, how could we “sit” Gary? Well, in comes the Detroit Lions on Thursday night with one of the best offensive lines in the NFL and an offense that appreciates a run/pass balance and focuses on getting the ball out of Goff’s hands (2.56 seconds for his time to throw).

These matchup concerns and a short week for the Packers’ defense could be better and make Gary a bit of a risk to play as a DL2 for me. He is already a limited participant from his own injury, but the potential downgrades across the rest of the defense (Campbell and Jaire) don’t help the overall case either. Gary has the talent to deliver for a lineup still, but I am planning for a bit of down week.

START: Alex Singleton, Denver Broncos, LB48

The “King of Tackle Efficiency” has not worn his crown this year while only logging a slightly above-average tackle efficiency of 13.33%. This week, against the Bears, the Broncos linebackers should find a nice bounce-back game as opposing linebackers have had top-10 performances against the Chicago Bears. Also, Josey Jewell is no guarantee for this matchup either experiencing a groin injury that took him out of week 3.

Singleton has a chance to take the lead role this week against a hapless offense and find a way back on top of the tackle efficiency hill… or at the very least, be a strong top 30 LB play for us in week 4 of our IDP seasons!

SIT: Tremaine Edmunds, Chicago Bears, LB20

Tremaine Edmunds has seen some heat this season from Chicago fans since his big contract this off-season and the lack of a good start from either side of the ball for the Bears. Edmunds has been very effective as a tackler, with one of the best seasons in his career, at 16.04% tackle efficiency. So why bench or fade Edmunds this week?

This comes down to the matchup and opportunity. Edmunds saw his snap count dip a bit last week and with no clear injury or understanding at this time from the coach, this is a little concerning. And for the Denver Broncos, opposing LBs have not fared as well for IDP against them. In fact, they are bottom 5 in points given up to LBs. For these reasons, I am passing on Edmunds as an LB2 this week. 

START: Rudy Ford, Green Bay Packers, DB46 (S43)

Last season, Rudy Ford was an afterthought at the start of the 2022 season. But by the end, and going into 2023, Ford was the presumed starter for a solid Packers defense and has found a way to be successful for IDP in this new role.

He has notched 20 tackles on 212 defensive snaps. Along with 2 PBUs Rudy Ford has a decent start to the IDP season. His alignment and usage have been good, but not great as well. Taking 49.05% of his snaps within the sweet spot (DL, Box, Slot) alignments, he has made the most and gets a team in the Detroit Lions, that are top 10 in scoring for opposing teams’ safeties. And with Sam LaPorta off to a hot start and Goff’s tendency to target inside the numbers, Ford is in line for a much better performance than anticipated for week 4.

SIT: Tyrann Mathieu, New Orleans Saints, DB36 (S35)

Tyrann has played an ideal role with strong alignment in the sweet spot at, 57.9% of his snaps. However, he has had mediocre delivery for IDP with this usage. 12 total tackles on 202 snaps, 1 pass break-up, and only 2 pass rush opportunities. The under-performance for the first 3 weeks has me a bit concerned about his ability to deliver in this next matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Bucs have been a bottom-half IDP scoring team for opposing safeties and looked to have been a bit exposed against the Eagles in week 3. Getting pressure on Mayfield and getting him out of the pocket has led to less success and shorter drives, which can limit our IDP upside as well.

For this week, I am out on Mathieu and I would be wary for the remainder of the season as well.

More Analysis by Jake

Week 4 Street FA Report

Updated: September 26th 2023

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.


Add of the Week

Joshua Palmer, WR, LAC (Owned 64%)

Week 3: 4/Rec 66 yards, 1 TD

When the WR2 for a team that averages over 300 passing yards per game goes down for the season, his replacement easily becomes the AotW player. Joshua Palmer has easily out-snapped the rookie Quentin Johnston through three (3) weeks and until Johnston shows that he will be on the field more, Palmer should be the immediate fill-in for the Mike Williams role. The Chargers also do not appear to be in many low scoring/overwhelmingly favorited types of games so the passing attack should continue to be heavily involved most weeks. Palmer is a Plug-n-play WR4 until Johnston shows otherwise.

Suggested Bid: $5,000,000

RB Add

Trey Sermon, RB, IND (Owned 32%)

Week 3: 5 Car/17 yards, 1 Rec/4 yards

Will Jonathan Taylor be traded between now and the deadline? 50/50. Will Zach Moss be the bell-cow if Taylor is traded? After Week 2 some might have said yes but now, maybe not so fast. Trey Sermon was picked up off the street and played 1/5th of snaps, which does not sound like a lot but for a player to have when Moss carried the ball 30 times, but he likely knew nothing of the playbook and received six (6) touches immediately. Is Sermon a major threat to Moss, probably not, is he the next handcuff to grab a week or two (2) early off the waiver, probably.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

WR Add

Darius Slayton, WR, NYG (Owned 36%)

Week 3: 3 Rec/32 yards

The Giants are not a good offense but their current WR1 is available in two thirds of leagues which is surprising. Darius Slayton has played the highest snap count and seen the highest target share of any Giants wide receiver, Darren Waller has three (3) more targets as their TE1. We are only a few weeks away from the bye-week season so it is best to look ahead to any weeks that your lineups may be down a few receivers and start considering bench depth now.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Taysom Hill, TE?, NOS (Owned 42%)

Week 3: 4 Car/12 yards, 1 Rec/9 yards

If there was ever going to be a week where you started Taysom Hill in your tight end slot it would be the week that Saints’ starting quarterback is likely to be out. Hill is also the Saints’ leading rusher through three (3) weeks which means plenty of snaps for Hill to play all over the field with the additional under center opportunities. Some may call it a scam but like the “tush-push” if the NFL says it is legal, it is legal.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Brandon Johnson, WR, DEN (Owned 17%)

Week 3: 2 Rec/12 yards

The Broncos season could be over before it started and if they start planning ahead for the offseason, likely one of Courtland Sutton or Jerry Jeudy are not in their future. The coaching staff seems to be not ready to turn Marvin Mims into their primary third option for whatever reason at this time and instead has been leaning on second-year receiver Brandon Johnson. The Broncos are never going to be leaning on their running game and so passing opportunities will always be available week in and week out. If either/or of the primary options for Russell Wilson are traded before the deadline the target share can only go up for a player like Johnson.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

IDP Start/Sit: Week 3

Updated: September 20th 2023

IDP Start/Sit: Week 3


We have been looking good on our start decisions, but the sits/fades have not worked out, yet. But as we get more information from what teams are doing and how they want to do it, we will make even better-informed decisions. And let’s start making some of those decisions for week 3.

Week 2 Recap


Start: Khalil Mack (4 solos, 1 assist, 1 sack) 👍

Sit: Quinnen Williams (6 solos) 👎


Start: Azeez Al-Shaair (5 solos, 5 assists) 👍

Sit: De’Vondre Campbell (9 solos, 4 assists) 👎


Start: Jevon Holland (8 solos, 2 assists, 1 PBU) 👍

Sit: Marcus Maye (6 solos, 1 assist) 👎

Week 3 Starts & Sits

START: Gregory Rousseau, Buffalo Bills, DL36 (Edge 26)

Gregory Rousseau is one of those “in-between” players for me. He has the talent, but doesn’t get high-end snap counts, and in doing so, he ends up making the big plays at time that get us excited about his upside but the snap percentages near 60% limited his ability to have a more consistent floor. This week though, he has such a favorable matchup against the Washington Commanders, that I am happy to fire up Rousseau as a strong DL option.

Washington has allowed one of the highest pressure rates at 29% so for this season, and teams have been able to take advantage of that as well, registering a just as impressive, 24% sack conversion rate. Rousseau has been able to produce in the pressure department this season as well, with 6 pressures on 33 pass-rush attempts for a very good, 18.18% pressure rate. This matchup looks like a great one for Rousseau to register his first sack of the season (and maybe more?).

SIT: Joe Tryon-Shoyinka, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, DL35 (Edge 25)

Joe Tryon-Shoyinka was a player I thought had some great “buy-low” value this off-season due to the path to the volume he seemingly had for the Buccaneers for the 2023 season. JTS is in a similar situation he is receiving only 50-60% of the snaps like Rousseau, but he does not have the consistent performances to justify his value.

He is coming off arguably the best game of his career against the Bears, but I would take that with a grain of salt for the time being, as that was a favorable matchup.

Now he gets the Philadelphia Eagles who have one of the lowest numbers in the league for both pressure rate (21%) and sack conversion (6%). The Eagles also showed us their willingness to lean heavily into what is working for them, and if they can establish a successful run game again, pass-rush opportunities could be very hard to come by for JTS and the Bucs.

START: Alex Anzalone, Detroit Lions, LB35

I might get kicked out of The IDP Show space for even suggesting this, but Anzalone seems in line for some great stats this coming Sunday. The Detroit Lions take on the Atlanta Falcons who have been very efficient moving the ball on the ground so far. They are middle of the back after 2 weeks in plays ran but they are 4th in total run plays this season. And their week 1 matchup, plays ran were skewed lower thanks to multiple turnovers in their opponents’ territory for a short field.

Detroit’s defense has not been anything special yet and is likely to allow Atlanta to pile up a good handful of plays again. If we take a look at the 2 primary LBs from those first matchups and what they did combined:

Week 1 – Panthers had 10 combined LB tackles on 51 snaps and Derrick Brown had an outlier 8 tackle game

Week 2 – Packers had 32 combined LB tackles on 82 snaps

The answer likely lies somewhere in the middle, but the game script, Anzalone’s usage, and Arthur Smith’s extreme penchant to run the ball, set nicely for the Detroit LBs and Alex Anzalone.

SIT: Nick Bolton, Kansas City Chiefs, LB10

Nick Bolton is a guy you likely spent high capital getting on your roster and might not be viable to sit him, but at least manage your expectations for this week.

The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Chicago Bears and the Bears have not been good on either side of the ball up to this point. This doesn’t bode well for the IDP opportunities and Nick Bolton. First, the low number of plays ran for the Bears since they cannot sustain drives as they are just averaging 60 plays per game so far this year. Then, you pair that with Nick Bolton’s usage of 96% in week 1 and then 79% in week 2! He was not coming off the field last year, and now all of a sudden we are seeing this, it makes me nervous about Bolton’s upside.

Additionally, the Chiefs’ offense should not struggle to move the ball against the Bears’ defense meaning even less time for the Bears to have the ball and run plays for Nick Bolton and the other Chiefs’ IDPs.

You can still start Bolton due to his ability to make plays around the ball and be efficient, but if you can pivot away this week or construct your lineup with a lower floor in mind, I highly recommend it.

START: Dax Hill, Cincinnati Bengals, DB52 (S47)

Dax Hill has had a nice start to this season for the Bengals. However, the Bengals haven’t had the best start to their season. And it has showed with their inability to keep opponents off the field. Hill has already played 99% of the snaps for a total of 147 snaps. Even with the volume, Hill has showed strong efficiency with 10.8% tackle efficiency. He has added an INT and a PBU as well. His sweet spot alignment of 40.8% is not elite, but it is enough to help give his floor in place for IDP production.

Now, enter the Los Angeles Rams who have surprised us with their performances this year and have gotten back some of that magic we saw during their title run in 2021 season. And in doing so, they are leading the NFL in plays ran with 156. This aligns with the Bengals performance this year and I expect more of the same for both the Rams’ offense and the Bengals defense. Even without the the strong efficiency, there is enough volume that Dax Hill should outplay DB52 by quite a bit this week.

SIT: Kyle Dugger, New England Patriots, DB12 (S12)

Kyle Dugger is one of my favorite IDP DBs this season, but you can only do so much in the DB role for IDP. And the opportunity for Dugger this week looks bleak facing off against the New York Jets. They have averaged just under 50 plays a game the first two weeks with Zach Wilson leading the offense. Even if Dugger is getting 100% of the snaps, 49 is not a great opportunity. Pair that with the offensive line of the Jets that is allowing plenty of pressures and sacks already, the chance the ball even gets close to Dugger is not looking great.

The Patriots defense also showed the willingness to play Dugger primarily deep, although, this was likely to help counter the deep routes of Tyreek Hill more than a desire to consistently play him there. He has played 61% either in the box, at DL, or in the slot, but even that ideal usage, might not be enough to see Dugger deliver a top 12 performance this week.

More Analysis by Jake

Week 3 Street FA Report

Updated: September 19th 2023

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Josh Reynolds, WR, DET (Owned 34%)

Week 2: 5 Rec/66 yards, 2 TDs

A modest increase in Josh Reynolds’ ownership between Week 1 and Week 2 hopefully propelled some to victory as he finished as the WR9 last week. With that performance he upgrades from the Sleeper section to the Add of the Week not only because of his performance but also because of the injury to Amon-Ra St. Brown. There is no news yet about expectations for St. Brown as to if he will miss any time or that he may be limited in the routes he can participate in but anyone who has played fantasy long enough knows that turf toe is a frustrating injury to try and predict production. Reynolds should be the primary receiver for any amount of snaps that St. Brown is off the field and goes from a bench flex to a plug and play WR3 under the current conditions.

Suggested Bid: $5,000,000

RB Add

Matt Breida, RB, NYG (Owned 12%)

Week 2: 1 Car/5 yards

There are other running backs that would be a higher priority if they are still available in your league, guys like Jeromy Ford (63%) or Zach Moss (68%), but I wanted to provide a more widely available option to cover most leagues. Tony Jones is another widely available running back who benefited from injuries around him in week 2 but with Kendre Miller and Alvin Kamara returning I figure Matt Breida will give you the best mileage for your waiver pickup. The Giants may be playing coy with the timeline for Saquon Barkley’s injury, saying that he might be able to play even this week, but in reality it should be expected as a 2-3 week injury. If you are already desperate at running back there are worse options on the wire than Breida.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

WR Add

Robert Woods, WR, HOU (Owned 57%)

Week 2: 6 Rec/74 yards

Sometimes it’s the steady pace that wins the race and while there have been several players old and new who have shown consistent results during the first two (2) weeks, one with surprisingly low ownership is Robert Woods. Woods has an even split in target share (20%) with Nico Collins and the Texans are likely to be a team that is throwing a lot this season. This should allow the consistency for both receivers to see a high volume of targets and be viable for weekly fantasy starts.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Zach Ertz, TE, ARZ (Owned 55%)

Week 2: 6 Rec/56 yards

Truthfully, as a Trey McBride believer, I thought that Zach Ertz was long past his fantasy relevancy and even if he had any productive games left the Cardinals, a rebuilding team, would have moved on from him. But alas Ertz has been a surprising tight end value the first two (2) weeks of the season and currently sits as the TE7 in PPR leagues. Like Houston, Arizona figures to be behind and throwing the ball consistently but unlike Houston who targets their wide receivers 70 percent of dropbacks (3rd most) the Cardinals target their tight ends 38 percent of the time which is the highest rate of any team for the tight end position during the first two (2) weeks. Translation, lots of targets means lots of consistency for Ertz to remain a near top 5 option each week.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Dyami Brown, WR, WAS (Owned 23%)

Week 2: 3 Rec/25 yards

The Washington Commanders operate out of the three (3) wide receiver set 7th most while also running the 2nd most snaps from shotgun with the 8th lowest aDOT on passes. What does this mean? A lot of short screens, drags, and slants expecting more yards after the catch than big over the top plays. Dyami Brown is not likely to break out with any major performances while being the fourth option on the depth chart but all it takes is one injury for Brown to slide right into a consistent three (3) receiver set. Consider him more of a speculative stash for now.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

IDP Start/Sit: Week 2

Updated: September 13th 2023

Your offensive side of the ball probably felt a little rough in week 1. But IDP as a whole looked great, and the choices from last week’s article weren’t too bad either. The process checked out for us at DL. LB looked OK, would have liked to see a bit more opportunity for Elliss in pass-rush. The Cowboy’s defense as a unit looked great, but with some big plays and a bad Giants offense, Kearse never did a whole lot. On to week 2!

Week 1 Recap


Start: Will Anderson Jr (4 solos, 2 assist, TFL, sack, 2 QB hits. 19.1 pts) 👍

Sit: Aidan Hutchinson (3 solos, assist, 3 QB hits. 10.5 pts) 👍


Start: Kaden Elliss (6 solos, 3 assists. 9.8 pts) 👎

Sit: Jamin Davis (4 solos, 2 assists, TFL. 9.5 pts) 👍


Start: Jayron Kearse (2 solos, 5 assists. 6.3 pts) 👎

Sit: Jeremy Chinn (3 solos, 4 assists. 6.8 pts) 👍

Week 1 Starts & Sits

START: Khalil Mack, Los Angeles Chargers, DL38 (Edge28)

Khalil Mack against the Titans is shaping up to be a very plus matchup overall. The Titans offensive live was a mess in week 1 with the third worst pressure rate allowed at 29%. The Titans also threw the ball 62.7% of the time last week despite being in a fairly neutral game script. If those things continue and Mack shows us more of what he did in week 1, a sack+ type of game is definitely in the cards. He generated 6 pressures on 35 pass-rush snaps for a whopping 17.1% pass-rush pressure rate. He did not convert any into a sack and his tackles were limited, but I am excited for a potential big game for him this week.

SIT: Quinnen Williams, New York Jets, DL19 (DT2)

“Blasphemy!”… I know. You might not have a better option than Quinnen and I am not saying you can’t start him. But definitely temper expectations this week, in my opinion. The Cowboys just faced a very strong front in the Giants and the Cowboys seemed to have a plan to get the ball out quickly with Dak at a league-low of 2.11 seconds in his time to throw. Pair that with a game script that is very much in question with the Jets offense and its identity without Aaron Rodgers.

I love Quinnen and his one of the top DL’s in the game today and will likely make a handful of plays, but I would reduce expectations, or if you are fortunate enough to have depth at the position, consider others in a better overall situation this week.

START: Azeez Al-Shaair, Tennessee Titans, LB23

On the other side of the Chargers and Titans matchup, Al-Shaair looks like a great play at LB with a Chargers offense that was efficient and able to run a whopping 76 plays last week but more amazingly, had 40 rush attempts. Kellen Moore seems to have a game plan to run the ball so far and Azeez should be able to do a lot of the work in the middle of that defense making plays. His initial performance of 5 total tackles should be an easy top with the upside of 9-10 tackles, assuming league average tackle efficiency of 12%.

I like Azeez as a high-end LB2 with the strong tackle floor and likely, positive game script for the Chargers offense.

SIT: De’Vondre Campbell, Green Bay Packers, LB16

Campbell and the Packers take on the Falcons in week 2 and what appears to be another year of the Arthur Smith “run the ball at all costs” show. The Falcons ran an impressively low 48 plays in their victory in week 1, some of this was due to short fields, and some of it, is just due to the nature of their gameplan.

Campbell did not play 100% of the snaps either, he was closer to 80%. And 80% of 50 snaps at 12% tackle efficiency, is not a great floor. Even if you boost the floor a bit because of a focus on RB targets, it still leaves us wanting more. So without more certainty around snap counts and a less-than-ideal matchup, I am fading Campbell this week.

START: Jevon Holland, Miami Dolphins, DB39 (S38)

Jevon Holland already had a great start in week 1 with 13 total tackles. A lot of this has to do with his strong alignment usage with 22 box snaps and 18 slot snaps; that’s 50% of his snaps in ideal alignment. He did this with a strong PFF performance too, 77+ across the board, and peaking at 86.4 for his overall grade. Now he takes a great week 1 performance into New England. With Bill O’ Brien as the new OC, the Patriots showed they aren’t afraid to air it out and against a strong offense in Miami, it is likely we see the Patriots throwing it a lot again. Holland has a good base with his alignment and this matchup looks like it will be a favorable one for the Dolphins secondary.

SIT: Marcus Maye, New Orleans Saints, DB28 (S27)

Marcus Maye generally plays the “deep safety” role and he played 69.8% of his snaps in that role in week 1 against the Titans. Now he takes on the Panthers and a rookie QB with limited weapons and that showed in how the passing attack looked in week 1. Bryce Young only attempted 2 passes beyond 20 yards and 8 passes beyond 10 yards. This means 28 of his attempts were less than yards downfield. The alignment and the matchup are not a favorable one, for a tackle floor or for the opportunity to make splash plays. Maye is not a great play for this week.

More Analysis by Jake

Week 2 Street FA Report

Updated: September 12th 2023

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Puka Nacua, WR, LAR (Owned 59%)

Week 1: 10 Rec/119 yards

When any player in their rookie year is highlighted next to Anquan Boldin’s 2003 rookie campaign we know that they have done something special. The fifth-round selection had ten (10) receptions for a record 15 targets in his first NFL game and looks like an established veteran in Sean McVay’s system already. What is more impressive is he accomplished this feat while only playing on 79 percent of the Rams offensive snaps; third behind Van Jefferson and Tutu Atwell. With Cooper Kupp on the sideline Nacua seems to have stepped right in his possession receiver role and should continue to have strong stat lines until Kupp’s return. Wally Pipp anyone?

Suggested Bid: $6,000,000-$9,000,000

RB Add

Kyren Williams, WR, LAR (Owned 58%)

Week 1: 15 Car/52 yards, 2 TDs

Nacua was not the only Rams backup to have a big open weekend as Kyren Williams outshined his backfield counterpart Cam Akers in the Rams thorough win in week one. Despite having seven (7) fewer carries Williams played double the offensive snaps (53:23) and was much more efficient than Akers’ paltry 1.3 yards per carry. We will see how much this backfield really breaks down in a more competitive game but it has to be assumed that Williams is a lot closer to being in a 50/50 split than Akers commanding the backfield like some were predicting in early training camp.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

Joshua Kelley, RB, LAC (Owned 48%)

Week 1: 16 Car/91 yards, 1 TD

The Chargers were able to do something that we have not seen since the height of Melvin Gordon’s time back in San Diego, run the ball. The Chargers ran for nearly 240 yards in week one while also splitting their time between star Austin Ekeler (51%) and Joshua Kelley (48%). There is also news that Ekeler is dealing with an injury to his knee already which adds even more speculation to Kelley’s role heading into week two. The Chargers expect to be one of the highest scoring teams in the league which means Kelley can stand to have his own flex appeal each week with the potential for monster RB1 upside if Ekeler was to miss/be reduced in any playing time.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

WR Add

Michael Wilson, WR, ARZ (Owned 60%)

Week 1: 2 Rec/19 yards

Rookie wide receivers were having showcase performances left and right in week one with Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua having elite performances and even players like Rashee Rice and Jordan Addison scoring their first career touchdowns. But of all the rookies in week one the one who had the highest snap share of all, Michael Wilson, the third-round selection for the Arizona Cardinals. Wilson played on 90 percent of the Cardinals’ offensive snaps and while the two (2) receptions are not an eye-catching stat, this likely means that in leagues where he is available he should be much more acquirable than say a player like Nacua. The Cardinals are likely going to be bad all season and their QB play will suffer until “if/when” Kyler Murray returns but Wilson leading his team in snaps week one bodes well for his opportunity shares moving forward.

Suggested Bid: $1,500,000

Kendrick Bourne, WR, NE (Owned 21%)

Week 1: 6 Rec/64 yards, 2 TDs

Beat writers in Massachusetts were discussing how Kendrick Bourne might have a bigger role in Bill O’Brien’s offense this season and when trade rumors involving Bourne at the end of the pre-season were quickly shot down by Bill Belichick it should have tipped the community off that maybe his involvement would not be just “coach speak”. Bourne played on 91 percent of the Patriots’ offensive snaps in week one and hauled in two (2) touchdowns to start the season as the WR5 in PPR formats. New England’s offense will not be as stagnant as last year’s so several players may be able to have more than bye week filler potential in 2023, Bourne included.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

TE Add

Hunter Henry, WR, NE (Owned 58%)

Week 1: 5 Rec/56 yards, 1 TD

As already mentioned the Patriots already looked more organized as an offense and after a rocky start ended up with Mac Jones passing for over 300 yards, a feat which he was only able to do twice in each of his first two (2) seasons. New England has always had a strong utilization of their tight ends so a productive offense means that Hunter Henry can finally return to his back end TE1 value each week. In a year of injured superstars and rookies still adjusting to the position, stallworths like Henry may be surprised top finishers by the end of the season at the tight end position.

Suggested Bid: $1,500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Josh Reynolds, WR, DET (Owned 14%)

Week 1: 4 Rec/80 yards

My annual recommendation of “Remember that Josh Reynolds is still good” comes right out of the gate this year as he posted four (4) receptions for 80 yards in what did not feel like the Lions’ best offensive output. Will it be hard to predict his big weeks and once Jameson Williams returns is there a likelihood that Reynolds’ role diminishes, sure, but Dan Campbell also seems like the “no-nonsense” coach who does not care about draft capital or media pressure if he feels that veterans like Reynolds will do more to help the offense overall than a player like Williams coming off of injury and suspension. At least for the next five (5) weeks Reynolds should continue to operate as the WR2 in an offense that finished sixth (6th) in passing last year.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews