Week 9 Street FA Report

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By Nick Andrews

Updated: October 31st 2023

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Demario Douglas, WR, NE (Owned 34%)

Week 8: 1 Car/4 yards, 5 Rec/25 yards

Demario Douglas becomes another graduate from positional add to Street FA’s AotW. Unfortunately it comes at the expense of Kendrick Bourne, who tore his ACL in week 8 and will miss the remainder of the season. Any time that Douglas has been available this season he has looked like the best receiver on the field outside of Bourne and without Bourne now off the field Douglas’ role should only expand into the second half of the season. The Patriots’ offense is brutal this season so do not blow your remaining cap room on Douglas but expect a better depth player than some of the other high priced receivers in your league over the last 6-9 games.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

RB Add

Leonard Fournette, RB, BUF (Owned 60%)

Week 8: N/A

Every season there seems to be one (1) “hired gun” offensive player that moves/is added to a new team nearing the trade deadline that might have the most impact of any free agent left in fantasy leagues. Leonard Fournette has come off the couch to join one of the better offenses in the league and fits well into the red-zone runner that the Bills were not getting with Latavius Murray. My biggest concern is that we have already seen this script with Dalvin Cook signing with the Jets before the season and that turning into a complete waste of a roster spot to this point. Is this signing just to keep more bodies in the rotation heading into the second half of the season or do the Bills see a significant role in play for Fournette?

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

WR Add

Khalil Shakir, WR, BUF (Owned 47%)

Week 8: 6 Rec/92 yards

Speaking of the Bills, second-year receiver Khalil Shakir has had what we would consider his first consecutive string of fantasy relevant games in his short career with at least four (4) receptions in his last two (2) games. The Boise State product was expected to take on the slot role when drafted in 2022 but with Isaiah McKenzie last year and Deonte Hardy in the early parts of this season blocking him from getting on the field there were not many opportunities to showcase his skills. It seems Shakir may finally be turning the corner though and could establish himself as the third option that Josh Allen desperately needs. Hopefully he can continue to develop into this offense to springboard him into a breakout 2024 season.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Cade Otton, TE, TB (Owned 48%)

Week 8: 4 Rec/27 yards

Cade Otton enjoyed a successful, albeit quiet rookie season last year with Tom Brady but once Brady left town it was expected that the offense would take a step back and would not offer much in the way of fantasy relevance. While the offense did take a step back with Baker Mayfield now under center, Otton has still played much more than any other tight end in Tampa and has 22 of the 25 receptions by a Bucs’ tight end thus far. All this to the tune of being the TE21 on the season averaging 6.8 PPR points. He is a player for teams that platoon a group of tight ends each week to consider adding as a serviceable option.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Justin Watson, WR, KC (Owned 9%)

Week 8: 2 Rec/42 yards

Kansas City did not end up making any moves at receiver which means what they have is what they will be working with for the rest of the season. None of the receivers have looked like a plug and play fantasy option thus far, with only Rashee Rice looking even remotely rosterable. The one player to keep an eye on though might be Justin Watson. He missed several weeks earlier in the season with an injury but when in the lineup he seems to be their big-play setup receiver. Maybe they look to get him more involved in the game plan since the rest of the receiving group does not seem to be seizing the opportunities.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

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IDP Start/Sit: Week 8

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By Jake

Updated: October 28th 2023

Week 7 was the first of the big “bye-magedon” weeks (we see you week 13 and your 6 teams on bye). However, I feel like we navigated those waters well enough to get us through to week 8 and full rosters again. Now, let’s find those best plays and matchups this week.

Week 7 Recap

DL:

Start: Dexter Lawrence (2 sacks, 2 solos, 4 assists, TFL, 4 QB hits, ) 👍

Sit: Leonard Floyd (0 sacks, 0 tackles) 👍

LB:

Start: Dorian Williams (3 solos, 2 assists) 👎- I have no idea who is going to lock in LB2 in Buffalo

Sit: Eric Kendricks (7 solos, 2 assists, TFL, FF) 👎

DB:

Start: Grant Delpit (7 solos, 3 assists, TFL) 👍

Sit: Rudy Ford (4 solos, 3 assists) 👎

Week 8 Starts & Sits

START: Bryce Huff, New York Jets, DL37 (ED28)

Bryce Huff has been on an absolute tear this year from an analytical standpoint. It starts with a top 25 win rates out pass rush set at 25%. Even crazier, his pass-rush pressure rate of 29.8%. 1 out of 4 pass rush snaps Huff is winning his rep, he is creating a pressure. His sample is smaller than others at 147 total snaps over 6 games (114 pass rush snaps), but the numbers look too good to pass up on. There is also talk of Carl Lawson trade rumors because he is “looking for more playing time” leads me to believe, Huff has earned his spot in this rotation and it is only trending up at this point. Also, over his last 3 games he is averaging 30 snaps per game and 7.6 pressures per game. Enter the New York Giants who have been experiencing 15.5 pressures per game over the last two weeks with Tyrod Taylor under center, and he is set to start his 3rd game this Sunday. Huff may be a bit “risky” due to lower volume, but the positive matchup and the torrid levels of success, I can’t help but be excited to play Bryce Huff this week!

SIT: Jonathan Allen, Washington Commanders, DL36 (DT09)

Jonathan Allen is one of the elite interior defenders of the NFL for sure, however for IDP, this isn’t an ideal week for him. Jonathan Allen could definitely make his week based on his talent and if you don’t have a better option, I understand that, but Allen has struggled over his last 2 games, only generating 3 pressures over 80 pass rush attempts. He has had a very good pass rush win percentage on the season, 19.6%. The recent down performances are not likely to be remedied in a matchup with arguably the best offensive line in the NFL on the other side of the ball. They are tied for the 11th-lowest pressure percentage allowed this year and the 4th-best in terms of pressures converted into sacks. Allen is looking for a bounce-back performance from two down weeks, but I don’t think this is the week for it.

START: Denzel Perryman, Houston Texans, LB33

Denzel Perryman was a “healthy scratch” in week 6, however, coach Demeco Ryans said this was due to the fact it wasn’t fair to try and have Perryman play with a cast. Pair that with the fact the following week was their bye week, I believe he wanted to get Perryman back to 100%. What does 100% Perryman look like? A highly efficient 16.9% tackle efficiency, near 100% snap count, and his career tackle efficiency supports this at 15.7% too. With both teams coming off their bye weeks, the Texans and Perryman take on the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers come in with an offense that runs the 5th most plays per week at 67.3 and are running 67 over the last three weeks. Now 64% of those plays are pass plays, but 63% of those pass plays are 9 yards or less down field and the zone-heavy scheme the Texans run, should allow Perryman to deliver strong value this week.

SIT: Cole Holcomb, Pittsburgh Steelers, LB30

Holcomb has been the LB1 for the Steelers all season. However, he has not been the LB1 that we like to see in that his snaps have fluctuated a bit, whereas our true LB1’s tend to play close to, if not all 100% of the snaps for their defense. His efficiency with those lower snap counts are quite average as well at 12.2%. Normally we can work through a player with average efficiency and/or even less than ideal utilization. But when we pair that with positional adjusting scoring and the player is facing one of the worst possible matchups for scoring for their position, that turns into a fade for me. Cole Holcomb against the Jacksonville Jaguars is exactly that. The Jaguars allow LB scoring against them at the 8th lowest rates for IDP scoring. Let’s lower our expectations for Holcomb this week.

START: Jamal Adams, Seattle Seahawks, DB40 (S34)

Jamal Adams was back last week and he was back in such a good way for IDP. He was 100% snaps, which is just the first part of this story. He took all but 3 snaps either in the box, on the DL, or in the slot. With snaps in the box. Now his efficiency was a bit average with only 6 tackles, we would have liked to see a slightly better performance. But in really only his true second game of playtime, I think we can expect a little bit of ramp-up. With his role seemingly more set now, the Seahawks take on the Cleveland Browns who lead the NFL in plays ran at 71.2 and an average of 69 over the last 3 games. The additional upside of the pass-rushing opportunities he saw last week of 4 chances is what really rounds out Jamal Adams’ value. He has elite alignment/utilization, a favorable matchup, and the usage for some potential big-play upside, too.

SIT: Richie Grant, Atlanta Falcons, DB38 (S33)

Richie Grant has been an average NFL safety. If you look across the board at his PFF grades, it supports this as well. This has been the case for his IDP performance up to this point for 2023 as well. 42 tackles across his 7 games for 6 tackles a game and a tackle efficiency of 9.4% is right in line of averages for safeties this season. He has provided a consistent floor for sure and can be played with that consideration, but he has provided limited upside with one splash play with an interception last week. He has played 100% of the snaps this year as well, which we can certainly appreciate. But with a fairly limited upside combined with a matchup this week against the Tennessee Titans whose offense was already the 2nd lowest plays ran this season at 55.5 plays per game. Now they are likely missing their QB1 with Tannehill out this week, the offense should likely get weaker and limit the ability of this offense even more, thus reducing Grant’s limited upside even more.

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Week 8 Street FA Report

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By Nick Andrews

Updated: October 24th 2023

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Pierre Strong Jr, RB, CLE (Owned 47%)

Week 7: 8 Car/25 yards

Find the weekly injury, add the next man up. That seems to be the theme for each AotW in 2023 as yet another running back injury adds to the already limited number of viable fantasy starters at the position in any given week. Jeromy Ford is expected to miss at least a couple of games and so Pierre Strong and Kareem Hunt will be the only two (2) ball carriers available for the Browns in his absence. Strong actually played more snaps than Hunt despite the higher fantasy production from Hunt in week 7 and was the planned option C going into the season. He is also available in more league right now so he gets the nod as the recommendation for Week 8.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

RB Add

Chase Edmonds, RB, TB (Owned 34%)

Week 7: N/A

This week more than any other this season we find ourselves taking a lot of speculative guesses on whether some players can assume more of/a better role than they previously have had during the first half of the season. Chase Edmonds has not played since Week 2 and did not look like much when he was on the field earlier this season. However, the Bucs backfield behind Raachad White has done nothing to suggest that they should be awarded more playing time than the veteran and as mentioned above it seems every week that a starting running back is going down for a couple games. Do I expect Edmonds to do much this season, not really, but I would rather be a week early and move on than have to pay up a week late in case of anything.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

WR Add

Demario Douglas, WR, NE (Owned 20%)

Week 7: 1 Car/20 yards, 4 Rec/54 yards

Outside of Kendrick Bourne the only receiver New England has had looked consistently explosive (when healthy) is Demario Douglas. The sixth-round selection from Liberty has been battling through injuries thus far this season but when on the field he appears to be more useful than DeVante Parker or the ghost of Juju Smith-Schuster. If the Patriots’ offense can look at least as competent as it did in Week 7, Douglas could have deep league appeal during the final six (6) weeks of the fantasy regular season.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

TE Add

Elijah Higgins, TE, ARZ (Owned 8%)

Week 7: 1 Rec/0 yards

Zach Ertz has been placed on the Injured Reserve meaning that the Cardinals will be left with Trey McBride, Geoff Swaim, and rookie Elijah Higgins as their three (3) tight ends for at least the next month. McBride probably (?) will be the most beneficial of Ertz’s absence but do not overlook Higgins potential increase in usage as well. The former Stanford wide receiver was drafted as a tight end by the Dolphins this pre-season and had been inactive up until this week when he caught his first career reception. Definitely look to other options if you need a startable tight end this week but if you are a dynasty player who likes to bargain bin your tight end depth, stash Higgins on your practice squad and see what he does over the month of November.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 (PS $100,000)

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, WR, TEN (Owned 22%)

Week 7: N/A

I am purely speculating that DeAndre Hopkins may be traded between now and next Tuesday’s trade deadline. The Titans have already shown to be sellers moving on from Kevin Byard and maybe a team is willing to offer a mid day three (3) pick to bolster their receiving room for Hopkins. In that case, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine becomes the de facto WR1 for Tennessee until Treylon Burks is fully healthy. NWI has proven in past seasons that he can be a fantasy WR5 option when his role is unchallenged so deeper leagues he can be added this week until the trade deadline.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

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