IDP Start/Sit: Week 12

Updated: November 24th 2022

It’s the holiday season and I hope we all have a ton to be thankful for this year. Let’s see if we can find a bit more to be thankful for with some great lineup decisions for all your IDP teams out there!
As a friendly reminder, the rankings I show for them are what is the ECR over from Fantasy Pros for this week.

WEEK 11 RECAP
DL:
Start: Alex Highsmith (1 sack, 2 QB hits)
Start: Denico Autry (27 snaps, QB hit. Injured in the 2nd half but a lower performance up to that point)

Sit: Khalil Mack (1 hit, 1 solo)


LB:

Start: Frankie Luvu (Sack, 6 solos, 4 assists)

Start: Jamin Davis (2 solos, 3 assists)

Sit: Zaven Collins (3 solos, 3 assists)

 

DB:
Start: Dane Belton (2 solos. 59% of snaps, unstable usage and limited production, I’d pivot away moving forward)

Start: Tyrann Mathieu (5 solos, PD)

Sit: Kyle Dugger (Sack, 3 solos, 2 assists, PD. 90% of snaps! Dugger season might be in full effect moving forward)

 

START: Michael DannaKansas City Chiefs, DL53

Michael Danna has spent most of the season as a rotational pass-rusher for the Chiefs and has seen 53% of the snaps this year for their defense. Normally, not an ideal target to start. However, he has found a respectable 10.9% pass-rush pressure rate in his limited snaps. This week he gets the Los Angeles Rams who have the highest sack conversion from pressures allowed. In such a positive matchup, he shouldn’t need as many opportunities to deliver big-play upside. Additionally, the Rams should be in a negative game script that involved more passing, only increasing the opportunities for Danna. This is a deeper play, but should be available in the vast majority of leagues and has solid upside this week as a low-end DL3!

START: Lorenzo CarterAtlanta Falcons, DL69

Lorenzo Carter has been a consistent figure in the Atlanta Falcons defensive front. He has seen 81% of the snaps so far this season, which is very strong usage for a DL position. Carter has a very favorable matchup against the Commanders who are allowing a 29% pressure rate and 17% sack conversion rate. Even though his pass-rush pressure rate is average at 7.8%. The nice bonus to his matchup this weekend as well, is his solid PFF run defense grade of 65.9 for the season. This paired with the Commanders focus on the run game (44% of plays are run) and are one of the higher plays ran per game over the last 3 weeks at 69.7. With these things considered, I like Lorenzo as a high-end DL3 candidate.

SIT: Aidan HutchinsonDetroit Lions, DL20

This pains me to even consider Hutch here, especially with such elite snap counts, 86% on the season. However, he has delivered some big performances this season (and I believe will be a strong dynasty asset) he doesn’t have an ideal matchup against the Buffalo Bills this weekend. The Bills have only allowed a 24% pressure rate, top third in the league, as well as 8% sack conversion, which is 2nd best. Hutchinson’s IDP performances have been brought up by some unlikely things to continue. He has 2 games with interceptions in the last 3 weeks as well as 3 of his 5.5 sacks coming in 1 game in week 2. Additionally, his tackle floor for snaps played his average at best, 2.3 tackles per game. You can always start Hutch if you need him, but if you got better DL2/3 options, I would fire them up instead.

START: Kaden EllissNew Orleans Saints, LB29

Kaden Elliss, the man behind the man. With Pete Werner experiencing an injury and having surgery, Kaden has stepped up into that role and has he thrived for IDP purposes. He is in week 3 of that recovery so if you or someone else hasn’t already grabbed Elliss, do so and fire him up. The Saints are optimistic that Werner will try and play again this year, but until then we will roll with Kaden. The last two weeks he has seen snap percentages of 96% and 92% and he used them to deliver 2.5 sacks, 18 tackles, 3 QB hits, PD, and FF. His sack production has been very efficient but he has done well this whole year with a very strong 77.8 pass-rush PFF grade on the season. Last week, he topped out at his pass-rush grade with a 91.2 performance and I think this is more of what is to come. A great tackle floor with big-play, sack upside. Now, against the 49ers and their stronger pass protection, you’d think its less than ideal, but they are running nearly 69 snaps per game and the increased opportunity should balance out for Elliss this week. You should be looking at Elliss as a top 20 LB this week with next week looking the same too.

START: Dre GreenlawSan Francisco 49ers, LB34

Dre Greenlaw has just consistently been an efficient tackler and continues to do so this season at 14.9% and only missed 6 tackles on the season so far. Greenlaw tends to take the coverage side of the RB in most situations between him and Fred Warner. The matchup with the Saints and Alvin Kamara means Greenlaw can take that tackle efficiency and increased opportunities facing off against the Saints and Kamara. This matchup favors his Greenlaw’s ability and playstyle. As a note, for LB we love to find someone with near 100% snaps and the last 3 weeks have been rough for Greenlaw, but don’t let that fool with you and ejection in week 10 and starters being pulled in a blowout in week 11. Don’t let those numbers shy you away from Greenlaw. He is a strong candidate for LB2 this week and most of the weeks going forward.

SIT: Alex SingletonDenver Broncos, LB27

Alex Singleton is Mr. Efficiency. He has a career tackle efficiency of 17.6% and this season is sitting at a cool 19.7% efficiency this season. While this is great, you still need the volume to make it count for overall production. Singleton has passed Jonas Griffith as LB2 on the depth chart, but he is still only seeing 59% of the snap count. While normally he can turn that into a usable week for IDP, his matchup against the Carolina Panthers is not ideal. Their offense has struggled all year and they are running the worst, 55.6 plays per game on the season. This does not bode well for a strong week for Alex and I would be looking elsewhere this week for an LB3.

START: Grant Delpit, Cleveland Browns, DB29

Grant Delpit has seen very close to 100% of the defense’s snaps for the entire season. Along with the elite usage, he has taken 56% of his total snaps from the “sweet spot” (DL, box, slot). This is great usage for any safety in IDP and as such he is a strong DB2/3 candidate on that alone. Combined with a matchup against the Buccaneers this weekend who run 67 plays per game and 72 over the last 3 means even more opportunities. And Tom Brady is leading the league in passing attempts from 0-9 yards this season, which lines up greatly with players in that “sweet spot”. Delpit should be a strong DB2 candidate DB1 upside.

START: Vonn BellCincinnati Bengals, DB32

Vonn Bell is another safety with elite snap usage, with 98% played for the entirety of the season. He is sitting at 56.1% of his total snaps as well from the “sweet spot”. His matchup this week, however, does not have a pass heavy team for him to feast upon for IDP production. He gets a run-heavy team that will continue to attack the middle of the field with their run game. This gives Bell a much stronger floor than his DB32 ranking justifies. It is a solid floor play this week, with a lower ceiling, but this still makes Bell a high-end DB3 to a low-end DB2.

SIT: Kerby JosephDetroit Lions, DB13

Kerby Joseph has been a pleasant surprise for the Detroit Lion’s defense this year as a rookie coming on due to injuries. Once given the opportunity he has seen almost a near perfect 100% snap count. And with those snaps, he has found a way to deliver big plays with 3 interceptions and 5 PDs. The INTs are not something we should rely on this point but take more into his upside. However, teams have been taking the cover-2, or two high safeties approach against the Bills offense this year, which leads to a lower tackle efficiency overall and creates a great dependency on big-plays, which Kerby has delivered at times this year. Joseph has strong usage and a matchup that should allow for a higher snap count this week, but his floor feels too low for me to confidently use him as a DB1/2 this week. His level sits as DB3 for me but if you want to plug him in focusing on big-play opportunities, it does exist.

More Analysis by Jake

IDP Sit/Start: Week 11

Updated: November 17th 2022

Week 11? That just feels weird to say! We are a few short weeks away from most fantasy football playoffs and hopefully, you are all either locked in for the playoffs or still alive in the hunt for it. Regardless, let’s try and get your IDP lineups set the best and maybe find some value for our rosters too!
As a friendly reminder, the rankings I show for them are what is the ECR over from Fantasy Pros for this week.

WEEK 10 RECAP
DL:
Start: Jeffery Simmons (3 solos, 1 assist, PD. Not bad for a non-sack game!)
Start: Josh Paschal (injured during the game, got a zero, played 17 snaps)

Sit: Uchenna Nwosu (1 assist. This isn’t a sell for the ROS, just wasn’t a good matchup)


LB:

Start: Blake Martinez / Luke Masterson (Masterson stats: 2 solos, 4 assists, TFL, 72% snaps. Not a great week but could have some value as an LB3/4 moving forward)

Start: Willie Gay Jr. (6 solos, 2 assists, sack, QB hit, PD)

Sit: Bobby Okereke (6 solos, 3 assists, PD. Bobby got 100% snaps with Leonard not suiting up.)

 

DB:
Start: Duron Harmon (2 solos, 2 assists)

Start: Jalen Ramsey (5 solos, assist)

Sit: Justin Simmons (Was inactive for the game late in the week)

 

START: Alex HighsmithPittsburgh Steelers, DL33

Alex Highsmith has been more of a volume play this season, delivering average numbers. 68.8 PFF pass-rush grade on the season, a 7.5% pressure rate over his last 3 games, but continues to see high snap numbers every week, 87% for the entire season! Last week, Highsmith had a strong week last week (2 sacks, 5 total tackles, QB hit) and we are not just chasing the points here. Highsmith gets a favorable matchup with the Bengals who are allowing a 24% pressure rate and a 21% sack conversion rate! These numbers are slightly inflated from week 1 (7 sacks) and week 2 (6 sacks), but the Bengals are still allowing 2.7 sacks per game since then. Along with Highsmith’s consistent effort and favorable matchup, TJ Watt is supposed to be back into action which should only allow Highsmith to operate with less attention and give him a better chance to deliver overall IDP production for us. He should be considered at a solid DL2 option this week.

START: Denico AutryTennessee Titans, DL34

Denico Autry has capitalized on injuries to his teammates and his increased role. He has delivered a whopping 23 pressures over the last 3 games along with his snap counts jumping up in week 9 (76 snaps) and week 10 (52 snaps), his two highest snap counts of the year so far. But his success is not just recent either, he has a 13.7% pressure rate on the year and a very good PFF pass-rush grade of 76.7. This week he gets the Green Bay Packers who are middle of the “pack” (dad joke achieved!) with their lower pressure rate at 22% but higher sack conversion rate at 18%. The Packers have begun to shift up their passing attack the last few weeks too which bodes well for the Titan’s pass rush. Rodgers has seen his time to throw be the highest 3 weeks out of their last 4. And his last two weeks Rodgers’ Average Depth of Target (ADOT) is the highest it’s been all season, by over a full yard from his previous high. These longer throws and longer time-to-throw give Autry a better chance to get home for some big plays this week. Autry should be a strong DL2 play this week.

SIT: Khalil Mack, Los Angeles Chargers, DL20

Khalil Mack has struggled to make a consistent impact for the Chargers defense recently outside of his big strip of the ball from Drake London against the Falcons. Khalil has managed only 3 pressures over the past three weeks, while maintaining a strong snap count. The IDP production in the run game that prime Mack would deliver is a ghost of its former self. He has only topped 3 combined tackles twice in his 9 full games this season. This week Mack gets the Kansas City Chiefs who have the lowest sack conversion rate in the NFL at 4%. This is due in large part to the play of Patrick Mahomes and his pocket presence and escapability, but this severely limits Macks already low upside. Play Mack feels like you are playing him based solely on past production and I wouldn’t consider him more than a low-end DL3 for this week.

START: Fankie LuvuCarolina Panthers, LB27

Frankie got back to IDP prominence last week with a big game! The big takeaway though is Frankie is back to 100% snap share alongside Shaq Thompson. This 2-LB look is what we want to watch and see if this really is the case for the rest of the season. This week, Frankie gets the Ravens and this is a plus matchup for him. The Ravens run the most plays per game in the NFL at 69.7 plays and the teams that have found success at slowing down the Ravens’ offense has been pressure/blitzing. Frankie has seen consistent pass-rush snaps and has been successful with a 70.3 PFF pass-rush grade. I anticipate this is how the Panthers will try to slow him down and Luvu will be a part of this. My biggest concern is Luvu does have 16 missed tackles on the season and getting after Lamar who is one of the most elusive runners in the NFL, might mean some missed opportunities too. But I would fire up Luvu as a high-end LB2 this week.

START: Jamin DavisWashington Commanders, LB32

This pick of Jamin Davis feels like the least “sexy” pick of a start that I have ever made. Jamin Davis was a first-round talent that hasn’t quite fully delivered or been able to climb past Cole Holcomb on the Commanders’ depth chart. With Holcomb out, however, Davis finds himself with 100% snap share now and Holcomb looks unlikely to play this week (he was a “Did Not Practice”, DNP, this Wednesday). His matchup against Houston this week finds him a run-heavy situation where Dameon Pierce has been seeing plenty of work with 15+ rushes the last 5 weeks, and 3 of those at 20+ even with 4 of those being losses and negative game scripts. Davis doesn’t feel like a strong play rest of the season, but for this week he is a solid LB2.

SIT: Zaven Collins, Arizona Cardinals, LB21

I am a huge Zaven Collins fan myself (NFL and IDP) but this week, I am struggling to see him as an LB2 this week even as a true 3-down LB with 100% snap share. However, not all snaps are created equal and Zaven is starting to get a small dose of the “Micah Parsons experience” and seeing more snaps from the DL position. Last week was 36% of his snaps at DL and week 8 was 31%. During those weeks he saw his lowest tackle production both weeks with 4 combined tackles in each of them. But if he is lining up at DL and taking pass-rush snaps, doesn’t he have more big play upside then? While that is a possibility, the matchup this week against San Francisco is less than ideal. They have the lowest pressure rate in the NFL and 7th best sack conversion rate allowed. I would steer away from Zaven unless you really need him in an LB3/4 spot due to his volume, but if you can afford to bench him for a week, I’d do it.

START: Dane BeltonNew York Giants, DB77

Dane Belton came into the season with some real promise as a rookie, but Belton experienced a broken collarbone, and Julian Love and Xavier McKinney ran with the starting safety jobs. In a strange turn of events, Xavier McKinney broke his hand and ended up on IR and Belton got the chance. The real surprise was Belton taking over the bulk of the “sweet spot” snaps (Box, DL, or Slot). He had 67% of them this last week. This only turned out to be 4 combined tackles, but with snap alignments like this, he could be a late-season steal off your waiver wire. This may only be for the next few weeks, but during that time Belton should be a high-end DB3 to maybe even a low-end DB2.

START: Tyrann MathieuNew Orleans Saints, DB26

Tyrann Mathieu has been one of the few IDPs that have been able to play every snap so far this season, which is impressive in its own rights. This last week changed we saw a heavy shift for Tyrann though with Pete Werner out there was a heavy shift to have Mathieu in the box. He saw 76% of his snaps in the “sweet spot”!! This is an extreme amount for any safety and as such, with Werner likely out again this week, we need to fire up Mathieu against the LA Rams. This usage led to his highest tackle output of the season and playing the Rams will lend to some strong opportunities for big-play upside as well. Tyrann is looking like a DB1 this week and smash start!!

SIT: Kyle Dugger, New England Patriots, DB27

Kyle Dugger had an amazing 2021 for IDP production and did so with strong efficiency numbers on lower snap numbers than other IDP producers around him. He had a strong tackle efficiency of 11.9% last year but this year he has seen a dip of almost 2 points down to 9.3%. The biggest concern though is he is still at a limited snap count though as well as battling injuries this year. With a heavy rotation at the safety spot for the Patriots between Dugger, Phillips, Peppers, and McCourty, and the return from his most recent ankle injury, Dugger needs to stay on our benches until he proves consistent production.

More Analysis by Jake

Week 11 Street FA Report

Updated: November 15th 2022

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

 

Add of the Week

Parris Campbell, WR, IND (Owned 64%)

Week 10: 7 Rec/76 yards, 1 TD

In a surprising, but not really, move the Colts switched back to Matt Ryan as their QB1 and it seemed to provide a spark to the offense. No player seemed to benefit from Ryan’s return more than Parris Campbell who had slumped the previous two (2) weeks with Sam Ehlinger. In the last three (3) games that Ryan has been the Colts quarterback Campbell has had 7+ catches on 9+ targets and a touchdown each game. Campbell is a risk/reward flex option for the remainder of the season while Matt Ryan continues to be the starting quarterback. 

Suggested Bid: $7,500,000

RB Adds

Keaontay Ingram, RB, ARZ (Owned 44%)

Week 10: 1 Car/5 yards

We will have to see what the real reasoning behind Eno Benjamin’s mid-season release was but in his absence and while Darrel Williams continues on injured reserve, Keaontay Ingram now inserts as the immediate handcuff to James Connor in Arizona. The sixth-round rookie has not been overly impressive in his limited action this year but volume is king in fantasy and James Connor has already missed games this season due to injury. If the Cardinals fall out of playoff contention for 2022 there is a chance that the staff gives more opportunities to Ingram down the stretch to see whether they need to address the position next offseason.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

WR Add

Randall Cobb, WR, GB (Owned 17%)

Week 10: N/A

It appears that the Packers coaching staff finally agreed with Aaron Rodgers’ stance on Amari Rodgers and he was released today. Along with that news, Randall Cobb was also designated for return from the injury reserve further explaining the release. The Packers play on a short week this week and so Cobb may not be ready in just two (2) days but moving forward it appears that the trio of Allen Lazard, Christian Watson, and Randall Cobb will be the primary options for Aaron Rodgers. Cobb was having success before his multi-week injury and there should be no missed step between him and Rodgers once he is back on the field.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Foster Moreau, TE, LV (Owned 34%)

Week 10: 3 Rec/43 yards, 1 TD

The real tight end add for this week, if available, should be Trey McBride, the second round selection for Arizona. He is only available in a fifth of leagues but with Zach Ertz’s season over McBride has the possibility of a late breakout if he is ready to step up. Anyways, another season ending injury at the position to Darren Waller leaves Foster Moreau as the only true pass catching tight end left in Las Vegas. Moreau had been a frequent last-minute starter for those who were relying on Waller’s availability but now with his availability more definite, fantasy managers can go ahead and roster Foster (Moreau). The Raiders have been terrible but behind Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs there has not been much for Derek Carr to rely on so the opportunities in garbage time and positive game script should provide plenty of opportunities for Derek Carr to pass the ball around.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Ben Skowronek, WR, LAR (Owned 22%)

Week 10: 2 Rec/14 yards

The possibility of Cooper Kupp missing most if not all of the remaining season likely leaves some fantasy managers really considering their chances of a championship without Kupp’s weekly production. The L.A. Rams meanwhile, will need to find a way for their offense to continue without Kupp and the likely candidate is that Ben Skowronek will fill at least the screen/slot role that Kupp leaves behind. There is no universe where Skowronek provides a one-for-one production replacement for Cooper Kupp but he was on the field for 98 (!) percent of the snaps last week. All four (4) receivers: Higbee, Robinson, Jefferson, and Skowronek are going to receive more opportunities over the remaining weeks.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

IDP Start/Sit: Week 10

Updated: November 10th 2022

Week 10 is upon us and we are in need of nailing those IDP lineups so that we can make our playoff push. Or maybe we are just trying to find a stash in our dynasty leagues for next year or some trade bait. Regardless, let’s see who is looking good for us in week 10 and see if we can either get them into a starting lineup or on your roster!

WEEK 9 RECAP
DL:
Start: Travon Walker (2 solos)
Start: Gregory Rousseau (1 solo, 1 TFL, injured and considered week-to-week)

Sit: Rasheem Green (1 PD)


LB:

Start: Nicholas Morrow (2 solos, 2 assists, 1 PD)

Start: David Long Jr. (6 solos, 4 assists, QB Hit)

Sit: Isaiah Simmons (6 solos, 2 assists, TFL, QB hit)

 

DB:
Start: Andre Cisco (2 solos, 3 assists, PD)

Start: Xavier Woods (4 solos, 3 assists)

Sit: Jessie Bates III (1 solo, 3 assists, 1 INT, PD)

 

START: Jeffery SimmonsTennessee Titans, DL24

Simmons has been talked about as an elite defensive linemen by plenty of analysts, but tends to lose some face value due the fact he plays as a interior defender primarily. Beyond the position, Simmons delivers all the baseline needs we want from a top DL option. 81% of the snaps for the season on an average of 55 snaps/game. He has turned that into stellar IDP production, his per game averages are: nearly 4 tackles, 0.7 sacks, 0.5 PD, 1.1 QB hits. Along with stellar year-to-date production, he has a positive matchup this week against Denver who has allowed a pressure rate 28% on the season and an 18% sack conversion rate too. Simmons has been on a tear the last 4 weeks with 19 pressures and 2 sacks. Additionally, if anyone in your league is valuing Simmons as low-end DL2, I would recommend trying to buy at that evaluation!

START: Josh Pascal, Detroit Lions, DL79

Josh Paschal has not had much of a chance to shine this season since he didn’t play his first game until 3 weeks ago. In those three games he has managed 8 pressures and 5 in his last game! In those games he has been a strong volume play getting nearly 85% of the snaps for the defense. These strong baseline give him a great chance to produce, now with a positive matchup against Chicago, he is high-end DL3 play. The Bears are allowing 30% pressure rate at a 14% sack conversion rate. Josh is a good play this week and as a rookie with limited overall production, he is someone you could look into buying low on him for your roster.

SIT: Uchenna Nwosu, Seattle Seahawks, DL12

Uchenna Nwosu has been delivering above off season expectations this year and normally has been a strong play. He has has a great baseline of 80% snaps and has had back-to-back weeks of 2-sack games. Normally I would advocate playing through poor matchups, however, Tampa Bay is less than ideal with the low pressure rate of 19% allowed by the offensive line, as well a 12% sack conversion rate. Nwosu still has a strong capability to produce with limited production, but Tom Brady has the fastest time to throw out of any QB this year of any QB with at least 100 attempts. This is not a hard “sit”, but definitely consider all options on your roster before just putting Nwosu in right away.

START: Blake Martinez, Las Vegas Raiders, LB42

Blake Martinez was a name that everyone knew and loved for IDP production, however, after suffering his ACL injury. He went from top IDP performer, to major injury, no team, another chance with his former defensive coordinator with the Raiders and now, ironically enough, an injury to Divine Deablo is giving him another chance for IDP (and NFL) relevance. Last week he saw 91% of the snaps and he saw the same amount of 3rd down snaps and was the leader on 1st and 2nd down snaps too. This is even though he is not the defensive play caller on the defense (that guy is coming up later!), and showed above average tackle efficiency at 17.7% this last week. Deablo expects to be out a minimum of 4 weeks with being placed on injured reserve so let’s keep firing up Martinez as he will continue his old habits working with Patrick Graham (former defensive coordinator).

UPDATE: 11/10/2022, 2:19 PM
Blake Martinez has retired from the NFL! Obviously, not a great addition to your starting lineup. Luke Masterson would be the 2nd LB to consider as a stash at this time or if you truly have a need to get a body into your lineup. Sorry to those who have made moves or efforts around this!

START: Willie Gay Jr., Kansas City Chiefs, LB34

Willie Gay Jr. a strong start to the season and really showed out in week 2. However, he was suspended for PEDs and missed 4 games and is working to find his full-time spot back on the field. He has seen his snap percentage slowly creep back up to regular numbers over the last two weeks and I believe this is going to continue as we move forward. With a week 10 matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars, they are running the 11th most plays per this year with slight uptick of that over the previous 3. During the time he has been back on the field his tackle efficiency has been quite strong at 14.7% this last week he is trending towards a strong play as a high-end LB3.

SIT: Bobby Okereke, Indianapolis Colts, LB41

At the start of this season, many viewed Bobby O as an LB2/3 for sure. However, this season has brought forward a new LB in this group, Zaire Franklin. Zaire has taken the opportunity and ran with it. Earning the captain patch from his teammates and eventually given the green dot eventually by the coaching staff as the defensive play-caller. This along with the other big name, Shaquille (Darius) Leonard, is making it difficult for all of them to find time on the field. Bobby Okereke has seen his snaps dip the last two weeks as Leonard has made his way back onto the field (61% to 46%). This is not stable and should leave us from want to start him our lineups unless it is LB4 or deeper.

START: Duron Harmon, Las Vegas Raiders, DB46

Earlier we talked about Martinez and his return to the field for the Raiders. He is not wearing the green dot because Duron Harmon is the defensive play-caller and this is the strongest indicator of playing time. Harmon saw 100% of the snaps last week as the play-caller and that will hold true for this week. He has taken the opportunity and turned it into solid production this last week with 5 solos and 3 assists. This week against Indianapolis will see a new coach in place for them but still an ideal matchup for a defense. And with 42% of his snaps in the “sweet spot”, against a struggling Colts roster, there should be plenty of opportunity to succeed. This is a strong role moving forward for Harmon now that Abram has been cut (and claimed off waivers by the Packers) and you should consider Harmon a capable starter as a high-end DB3 rest of season.

START: Jalen Ramsey, Los Angeles Rams, DB29

Jalen Ramsey is known for his shut down play as an outside corner by a lot of people around the NFL landscape. He should also be known as a cornerback who provides a solid IDP production from the CB position, even to the point of being a viable DB option in combined position leagues. He has delivered a per game stat line: 4.5 tackles, 0.5 TFL, 1.1 PD. A viable stat line for most weeks, but this is because as an “outside” corner, he still finds 33% of his snaps between the slot and the box alignment. Partnered with his overall snaps he has seen, 98% on the season, he should be considered a low-end DB2 for the rest of the season.

SIT: Justin Simmons, Denver Broncos, DB26

Justin Simmons has been back playing the last 3 weeks, but has been spending a good amount of time on the injury report the last few weeks and as such he has some concern about playing time and performance baked in. Along with that, Justin Simmons is a safety that plays most of his snaps (55%) in the deep safety role. Now this week, the Broncos are playing the Titans who run the 2nd fewest plays per game, and the of those plays, the 3rd most of them are run plays. Which combined with where he plays on the field, this is a negative matchup for Simmons IDP production. Simmons is big name for NFL reasons and has contributed IDP relevance in the past, but this is a matchup to pivot away from.

More Analysis by Jake

Week 10 Street FA Report

Updated: November 8th 2022

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

 

Add of the Week

Kalif Raymond, WR, DET (Owned 32%)

Week 9: 3 Rec/17 yards

The Lions have been in a number of shootouts this season which means plenty of scoring opportunities. We have yet to receive a definitive timeline on if/when rookie Jameson Williams will be available to play and D.J. Chark has been out since week 4. Meanwhile, Kalif Raymond has played on 85 percent of the Lions’ snaps since week 5 and was having solid, double digit PPR production till last week’s snooze-fest against Green Bay. Expect that the Lions will return to their high scoring ways moving forward and Raymond should continue to produce as an under the radar WR4 while acting as the WR2 for Detroit.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

RB Adds

Jerick McKinnon, RB, KC (Owned 47%)

Week 9: 3 Car/4 yards, 6 Rec/40 yards

Sixty-eight (68) pass attempts is a lot, even for Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, which is likely why Jerrick McKinnon saw 62 percent of the snaps in week 9. Still, with two (2) consecutive weeks now of Isaiah Pacheo eating away at Clyde Edwards-Helaire’s carries the more consistent option, especially in PPR leagues, might just be McKinnon week-to-week now. He has worked primarily as the passing down option and for a team that likes to throw the ball as much in the red-zone as any other, if you are starving for running back support in the final month of the fantasy season see if McKinnon is still out there.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

WR Add

DeAndre Carter, WR, LAC (Owned 38%)

Week 9: 5 Rec/53 yards

DeAndre Carter’s value is directly linked to the availability of both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams to the Chargers. In both of their absence last week Carter put up a season best five (5) receptions and played on over 80 percent of the Chargers’ offensive snaps. If both continue to be out, which could be very likely, Carter offers deep WR4/5 appeal in the meantime.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

TE Add

Cade Otton, TE, TB (Owned 44%)

Week 9: 5 Rec/68 yards, 1 TD

Similar to Isaiah Likely last week there were many managers who may have moved on from Cade Otton when he was not providing much consistency. Frankly, it was looking like another bust performance last week before exploding on the final drive for three (3) receptions and his first career touchdown. Trust has a funny way of building momentum though and we know that Tom Brady looks to those he trusts the most in big moments. While the rest of the receivers were dropping open passes last week, Brady looked for Otton on consistently on the final drive. Could this be building to a fantasy postseason breakout? How much Cameron Brate really factors into the offense if/when he is healthy would be the big concern for Otton the rest of the season.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Phillip Dorsett, WR, HOU (Owned 9%)

Week 9: 3 Rec/69 yards

There is obvious turmoil between the Texans organization and Brandin Cooks which led to him being absent from last week’s game. We have no indication if he will sit out the remainder of the season or not but with Nico Collins also nursing an injury this presents an opportunity for other receivers to see more targets. Phillip Dorsett and Chris Moore benefited from these opportunities last week and Dorsett especially could benefit from the “garbage time” points phenomenon as the Texans run through a gauntlet of opponents to end the season.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

IDP Start/Sit: Week 9

Updated: November 3rd 2022

Here we are going into week 9 after the trade deadline and with some players on new team, let’s take a look at some of those streamers or players who could be joining your team this week! Additionally, week 8 was a doozy for last week’s start/sit with players being too hurt to play, others as a healthy scratch, and even an ejection!

WEEK 8 RECAP
DL:
Start: Kayvon Thibodeaux (1 QB Hit. Saw lots of snaps, just didn’t produce)
Start: Rasheem Green (1 solo, Titans only had 14 drop backs all game!)

Sit: Chandler Jones (1 solo)


LB:

Start: Quay Walker (4 solos, 1 assist, FF. On 15 snaps! If not for the ejection, this was looking like a top 10 week, but at least he didn’t kill your week)

Start: Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (Inactive Monday Night)

Sit: Tae Crowder (2 solos, 34% of snaps. Jaylon Smith looks like the new LB1 for NYG)

 

DB:
Start: Adrian Amos (4 solos, 1 assist. Had 3 more solos negated due to penalties. A borderline performance)

Start: Eric Rowe (Healthy scratch! Big miss and stay away for the rest of the season!)

Sit: Kyle Dugger (Ankle injury ended up keeping him out of the game)

 

START: Travon Walker, Jacksonville Jaguars, DL28

Travon Walker has been playing an elite level of snaps for a DL position, 58 snaps / game. He has posted solid tackle floor numbers this year as well with 4+ tackles in 6 of 8 weeks. His pass rush pressure rate is not ideal at just above 6%, but this week he has a favorable matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders who have allowed a 26% pass rush pressure rate and a 13% sack conversion rate. He has also made a couple of plays and not looked lost when in coverage, which does give him some additional big play upside (he already has 1 INT and 2 PDs as well). Walker may not be delivering FULL number one overall numbers quite yet in the NFL, but he has enough to be a DL2 this week for our IDP lineups.

START: Gregory Rousseau, Buffalo Bills, DL24

Gregory Rousseau has looked good on this Bills top defense and he has a strong defensive PFF and pass rush grade (81.9 and 83.6 respectively). The biggest problem (for IDP) is that Gregory does not get ideal snap count numbers to support overall IDP production. He is seeing just under 35 snaps / game which is good, but not where we’d like to see it. However, with the limited work, we have still seen 5 sacks already, consistent pressures, and the ability to make other plays too (2 PDs this season and an INT on self deflected pass last year). This ability with a favorable matchup against the New York Jets who have allowed a high 26% pressure rate, but a lower 10% sack conversion rate. Rousseau has the ability to take advantage of the pressures allowed and convert them into a sack (or two?) this week.

SIT: Rasheem Green, Houston Texans, DL29

Rasheem Green was a start for us last week and the process still seems sounds for him. He is still a viable place in most other weeks, however, his matchup this week against the Philadelphia Eagles is one of the worst matchups for any defensive lineman as the Eagles have one of the strongest overall offensive lines. They have the lowest pressure rate allowed in the league at 19% and 3rd best sack conversion rate at 8%. Green is someone to keep on your bench but look to another possible start for this week.

START: Nicholas Morrow, Chicago Bears, LB31

Mr. Morrow is in a situation where he was already seeing 100% snaps but was doing that with a very talented producer in Roquan Smith. With Roquan Smith moving on to the Baltimore Ravens Morrow is the guy in the middle of the defense and they should still be taking plenty of snaps as one of the lower tier defense this year. 82 tackles and 3 sacks made by Smith are now available for the rest of that Bears defense. Now, realistically, Morrow will not absorb most of the this, but even a significant portion will move Morrow up into the a consistent LB2 range week-to-week. If Morrow is not available, Jack Sanborn is a deeper look.

START: David Long Jr., Tennessee Titans, LB20

David Long Jr. continues to be the linebacker you want from the Titans as he delivers top-tier numbers week in and week out. Of the 7 games he’s played this year, he’s had at least 8 tackles in 5 of them. He’s also contributed 2 INTs and 4 PDs. He has no serious competition for snaps and with this level of production, he should be a top 15 LB or better moving forward. This level of production combined with his high quality of play (his PFF defensive grade of 74.7 is 13th among LBs) bodes well for his chances of getting a new deal from the Titans, which makes him a more stable asset in dynasty leagues. No matter what format you play, though, he’s a top option.

SIT: Isaiah Simmons, Arizona Cardinals, LB35

Isaiah Simmons went from playing over 90% of the snap last season to being sub-70% snap count this season. This kind of usage for a player that is designated as an LB but plays a large amount of slot corner (47% of total snaps) is less than ideal. Pair that with limited IDP production of just over 4 tackles / game. He has found ways to make some splash plays at least to make him relevant in some weeks with 1 INT (returned for TD), 1 sack, 2 FFs, and a FR. Isaiah has looked suspect in run defense at best but has shown some capability in pass coverage, this does not bode well for his usage as a LB. His boom weeks are only going to be something you can get by playing him week in and and week out, which means you will experience the down weeks too. Sad to think about a top 20 NFL draft pick be so under-utilized, but this might just be the Isaiah Simmons experience going forward.

 

START: Andre Cisco, Jacksonville Jaguars, DB45

Andre Cisco has come into his 2nd year and delivered some strong performance so far this year. He is playing 99% of the snaps so far this season and he is doing this primarily from a deep safety role, which tends to have less consistency but some find a way to be very relevant for IDP. So far this year, Cisco has been able to be a viable starter. His production of 4.75 tackles / game and 2 INTs on the year have given him a baseline that keeps him from killing you weekly. This week he has a matchup with the Las Vegas Raiders, they are top half of the league in intermediate and deep throws and Carr and Carr is top 10 in turnover worthy plays on those deep throws and with Cisco playing primarily deep, this is a matchup that should have some big-play upside for Cisco and a nice floor to balance it out.

START: Xavier Woods, Carolina Panthers, DB41

Xavier Woods had the distinction of being one of the very few defenders to have played 100% of all their snaps last season (1,208 total) and so far this year, he has played a strong 99% of the snaps this season. Xavier has played a strong number of snaps in the “IDP Sweet Spot” with a 51% total there. His production hasn’t matched the injured Jeremy Chinn’s production in years past while Chinn has been injured, but the process is sound and with a matchup against the Bengals this week who have feed Mixon the ball but have struggled to produce bigger plays with him, those in the sweet spot should be able to capitalize on this matchup this week and Woods should be one of those benefiting.

SIT: Jessie Bates III, Cincinnati Bengals, DB26

On the flip side of that IDP matchup, we have Jessie Bates III. Bates has been an IDP stalwart since coming into the league in 2018 and he has averaged 6.5 tackles per / game over that 4-year span, which is quite impressive in it’s right for any safety, but paired with the fact that he has consistently played as a deep safety, even better! However, this season he is averaging 4.5 tackles / game, a full two less per game! Panthers offense has looked revitalized (somehow?) ever since moving on from CMC and Matt Rhule, but the Falcons are not exactly a tough matchup and I am willing to give them one game due to the shakeup against the Bucs. However, there is a reason the QBs leading this team have not been highly sought after by others. Halloween has past and the Panthers offense will turn back into the pumpkin again. With a lower tier of production overall this year, the matchup against Carolina, it is time to find a different option for that DB2/3 role in your lineup.

More Analysis by Jake