Week 14 Street FA Report

Updated: December 7th 2021

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

K.J. Osborn, WR – MIN (Owned 49%)

Week 13: 4 Rec/41 yards, 1 TD

The news from Minnesota is that Adam Thielen avoided a season-ending ankle injury but it is likely that he misses multiple weeks because of said injury. For fantasy purposes, that might as well read as season-ending with only one (1) more week regular season week for most leagues. K.J. Osborn has already shown that he can have a high ceiling, scoring over 14 PPR points in three (3) weeks while Thielen was still in the lineup so his ascendance to the WR2 role should elevate his weekly floor over the final month of 2021. If you were planning on Thielen being a part of your playoff roster, Osborn is an obvious pickup this week.

Suggested Bid: $6,000,000

RB Adds

Carlos Hyde, RB – JAX (Owned 43%)

Week 13: 9 Car/24 yards, 1 TD, 1 Rec/-1 yard

For two (2) straight weeks James Robinson has fumbled and then been forced to split snaps with Carlos Hyde, much to fantasy managers’ chagrin. Nevertheless, when a coaching staff does not trust a player to execute they are not as likely to hold a large snap share so Hyde should continue to see his usage in the 40-50% range. At this point in the season it also makes sense to start “cuffing” any and all of the running backs that possesses a clear role in the case of injury to another starter. Hyde does not have much startability right now but any injury to Robinson, or another trip to Meyer’s dog house, could open up RB3 level production for him in December.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Adrian Peterson, RB – SEA (Owned 42%)

Week 13: 11 Car/16 yards, 1 TD

Full disclosure I do not think Peterson has much of anything left in the tank and I am surprised that he was able to join a second club in 2021 after his extremely pedestrian production in three (3) games with Tennessee. However, in just half a week of practice with Pete Carroll the team gave him a co-lead for the number of touches in Week 13 and the Seahawks have three (3) of their next four (4) games against rushing defenses in the bottom 10 in yards allowed. The broadcast crew said that Carroll was giddy to have Peterson in the building and his style fits what the Seahawks want to be doing. It should be Rashaad Penny who leads the backfield down the stretch but do not be surprised if the coaching staff gives Peterson more work than we all expect.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

WR Adds

Breshad Perriman, WR – TB (Owned 16%)

Week 13: 1 Rec/5 yards

Remember in 2019 when Breshad Perriman came out of nowhere in the fantasy playoffs to score 34 and 17 fantasy points? Antonio Brown is suspended two (2) more games and there are questions about if the Buccaneers will welcome him back with open arms even after he finishes his served time. I do not think that the level of scoring will be happening in 2021 that happened in 2019, both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin were out with injuries, but it does mean that Perriman continues as the WR3 in Tampa. He played on 84 percent of the snaps last week; Tyler Johnson was the WR4 with 13 percent, so once he has more practices with Tom Brady he may begin to see more targets. This is an offense that can throw 50 times a game winning or losing and thus there should be plenty of targets to go around.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

Josh Reynolds, WR – DET (Owned 38%)

Week 13: 4 Rec/69 yards

Lost in the theatrics of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s game winning touchdown was the fact that Josh Reynolds quietly put up double digit fantasy points for the second straight game since being claimed off waivers by Detroit. The Lions will continue to be in positive passing game script for the remainder of the season and thus Reynolds will continue to present a higher floor than most free agent wide receivers. Add him and start with confidence if your league is deep with flex/WR position.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Ricky Seals-Jones, TE – WAS (Owned 21%)

Week 13: N/A

Washington was likely slow playing the return of Ricky Seals-Jones as he practiced in limited capacity ahead of Week 13 but ultimately the coaching staff kept him out with Logan Thomas back. They will not have that luxury this week unfortunately as Thomas suffered what should be a season-ending knee injury. This means that Ricky Seals-Jones will immediately return to the TE1 role he had before being injured. In his first three (3) games as the starter for Thomas, Seals-Jones scored 9, 15, and 11 PPR points which is a solid floor for the free agent tight end position. If he is healthy enough to be in the lineup Week 14 and beyond he should present low TE1/consistent TE2 value in most matchups.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Laquon Treadwell, WR – JAX (Owned 2.5%)

Week 13: 4 Rec/62 yards

It seems like a faint memory when in 2017 Laquon Treadwell was the rookie WR1 in drafts before falling further into obscurity each season from there. Over the last two (2) weeks in Jacksonville though, he has operated as the secondary option behind Laviska Shenault Jr. while averaging just shy of 10 PPR PPG. The coaching staff may be searching for answers as to what they can build around heading into next off-season and a soon-to-be 32 year old Marvin Jones likely is not in those plans. Treadwell is worth a stash for the remainder of the season and could be a low flex play some weeks.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 13 Street FA Report

Updated: November 30th 2021

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Matt Breida, RB – BUF (Owned 35%)

Week 12: 9 Car/26 yards, 2 Rec/29 yards, 1 TD

The longest NFL regular season has taken its toll on the running back position and teams making the playoffs will be starting interesting options during the final weeks of the season. One of those options that may still be available is Matt Breida, who built upon his performance in week 11 to score 13.5 PPR points on Thanksgiving last week. His recent development as a weapon in the Bills’ offense also allowed for Zach Moss to be a healthy scratch in week 12, suggesting there might be more to come from Breida to end the regular season. The Bills play the Patriots next week who just gave up two big performances to Dontrell Hilliard and D’Onta Foreman.

Suggested Bid: $8,000,000

WR Add

Josh Reynolds, WR – DET (Owned 25%)

Week 12: 3 Rec/70 yards, 1 TD

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If only the Titans had another veteran receiver to lean on with Julio Jones and A.J. Brown out last week. Tennessee released Josh Reynolds earlier this season after he was buried on their depth chart but he has reemerged in Detroit as arguably their best wide receiver. Claimed less than three (3) weeks ago, Reynolds is already playing on 90 percent of the Lions’ offensive snaps which bodes well for both his floor and his ceiling in fantasy the rest of the season. We will do well to remember that this is still the Lions who are averaging only 15.8 points per game. Still, an NFL team’s WR1 should at least be rostered in every league and a reasonable starter in many.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

Devin Duvernay, WR – BAL (Owned 34%)

Week 12: 1 Rec/2 yards, 1 Car/13 yards

It seemed like during Sammy Watkins’ injury absence that Devin Duvernay was carving out a role for himself as the gadget, WR3 in Baltimore. He took a step back last week with only two (2) touches but the game was sloppy all around limiting the number of touches for everyone. Lamar Jackson should bounce back and one way to help a QB under pressure is to use plenty of smoke plays to get the defense going side-to-side. Duvernay has the big play ability to run reverses, screens, and deep shot plays. While his week-to-week value is boom or bust he has the opportunity over the next month to have his moments.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

TE Add

James O’Shaughnessy, TE – JAX (Owned 4%)

Week 12: 3 Rec/29 yards

James O’Shaughnessy played on 81 percent of the snaps and had five (5) targets in week 12 due to Dan Arnold exiting with an injury that likely ends his season. During the Jaguars’ previous three (3) games Arnold was seeing 7+ targets and scoring at least 10 PPR points in each game, which is a solid back-end TE1 option to Team Stream. O’Shaughnessy should slide right into the same role with the same level of incognito that Arnold had to the rest of the fantasy community. He can be added to most deep leagues now and is a viable streaming option the rest of the season.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Jauan Jennings, WR – SF (Owned 2%)

Week 12: 2 Rec/14 yards, 1 TD

The extent of Deebo Samuel’s injury is up to interpretation but the clear #2 option behind Brandon Aiyuk is Jauan Jennings at this point if Samuel’s injury keeps him out for multiple games. Jennings does not have the versatility to be an all-around weapon like Samuel but there are always scoring opportunities, like he did last week, in a 49ers offense that has put up at least 30 points in four (4) of their last five (5) games. Watch the injury reports this week and if Samuel does not make any improvements, Jennings is a worthy while stash going into week 13.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Strength of Schedule Targets

Updated: November 25th 2021

With the fantasy regular season nearing the end in most RSO leagues, owners with competitive teams need to begin thinking about reinforcing their squads for the final push into the playoffs.  Below I lay out a few NFL teams with particularly favorable offensive schedules for the rest of season or in the fantasy playoffs (weeks 15-17).  Many of the players on these teams may not be considered must start options at this point.  Not all teams have notably great offenses, but RSO owners should at least entertain obtaining certain players from each team based on the schedule ahead.  Players in the final year of the contract make easier trade targets from teams out of the playoff picture.

Efficiency Strength of Schedule

The following graph shows projected strength of schedule ranks of passing vs rushing for weeks 11 to 17 from Sharp Football Stats.  Upward and toward the right indicate easier projected schedules.

High-End Passing Offenses

Dallas has put up the fourth most passing yards per game with third highest yards per attempt so far this year and get Michael Gallup back soon.  They have a great end of season schedule featuring three great matchups from week 14 to 16 against fellow NFC East Washington (twice) and the Giants.  Prescott, Lamb, and Cooper all have enormous potential to end the league year.

The Bengals don’t have the high end matchups to finish the year but also don’t have much in the way of “avoid” games either.  Cincinnati is one of the highest volume passing offenses in the NFL ranking 7th in attempts despite playing only 9 games.  Burrow, Chase, and Higgins make for high-cost acquisition targets while Boyd and Uzomah could be nice cheaper pieces for weekly matchups.

Lower-Tier Passing Options

Philadelphia’s end of year schedule is spectacular with two games against Washington and the Giants plus another game against bottom-feeder Jets.  The Eagles transformed into a run-heavy offense but with a passing-attack that should highly concentrate targets between rookie wide receiver Smith and newly-extended Dallas Goedert at tight end.

Las Vegas’ year turned to complete turmoil the last few weeks with loss of head coach Jon Gruden and speedster Henry Ruggs but have one of the best schedules from weeks 13 to 17 and many games which could turn into shootouts.  There is considerable volatility with the potential for many shoot-out games or complete dysfunction on the part of the Raiders.  The loss of Ruggs should firm up target share for tight Darren Waller and slot specialist Hunter Renfrow down the stretch.

San Francisco exists at the polar opposite ends of the volume/efficiency passing metrics for a run-heavy offense.  The 49ers average the fifth highest yards per attempt with the fourth fewest passing attempts.  The next five weeks include games against Jacksonville, Seattle, and Atlanta.  Set the wheels up for George Kittle and Deebo Samuel while Jimmy Garoppolo sits as a weekly streaming option for as long as San Francisco is in contention.  Rookie quarterback Trey Lance would instantly become a starting fantasy quarterback option if he eventually starts but would be scary for the pass catchers.

While Houston and Cleveland have excellent end of year schedules, the state of both offenses make it difficult to trust many of the players.  Brandin Cooks should continue garnering a boatload of targets and Tyrod Taylor has superflex streaming appeal for Houston.

Rushing Offenses

We should note running back fantasy production, in particular, is massively volume –driven and efficiency only plays a minor part.  That means game script and roles mean a lot more than the quality of run defenses faced.

The Denver Broncos play a host of games down the stretch against defenses susceptible to the run and prefer a run-heavy approach instead of Teddy Bridgewater leading the way.  Melvin Gordon and rookie Javonte Williams have both shown well this season with a near 50-50 split in touches but it is the rookie shining, breaking tackles at a ridiculous pace.  The real question is if they are able to maintain the run-script playing the likes of Los Angeles, Kansas City, and Arizona.  Either way, big games are possible for each against these poor rushing defenses. Gordon or Williams instantly becomes an RB1 if the other is injured or other-wise unable to go at some point down the stretch.

Chicago similarly has an outstanding schedule for running backs with games against each of the NFC North teams and the Giants in week 17.  The switch to Justin Fields may help the rushing game as mobile quarterbacks have been shown to increase the output of running backs.  David Montgomery could play a big role over the next two months for fantasy players.


Bio:  Bernard Faller has degrees in engineering and economics.  He currently lives in Las Vegas and enjoys athletics, poker, and fantasy football in his free time.  Send your questions and comments (both good and bad) on Twitter @BernardFaller1.

More Analysis by Bernard Faller

Week 12 Street FA Report

Updated: November 23rd 2021

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Cedrick Wilson, WR – DAL (Owned 24%)

Week 11: 4 Rec/36 yards

Six (6) teams are playing on Thanksgiving which leads to fewer opportunities for injured players to be available on a short week. Amari Cooper has already been ruled out and CeeDee Lamb has a long way to go for clearing the concussion protocol on just 4 days’ rest. That leaves Cedrick Wilson to potentially be the WR2 for Dallas against a Raiders team that has not looked strong during their three-game slide. If both Cooper and Lamb are out, Wilson holds immediate WR3 potential and could be the front-runner for the annual “comes out of nowhere on Thanksgiving” performance.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

RB Add

DeeJay Dallas, RB – SEA (Owned 33%)

Week 11: 4 Car/25 yards, 1 TD, 1 Rec/2 yards

Chris Carson was declared out for the season after missing the last month with a serious neck injury and Pete Carroll said it would be a running back by committee approach the rest of the season. This left Alex Collins, Rashaad Penny, and DeeJay Dallas as the likely contributors to Seattle’s game plans for the remainder of 2021. Rashaad Penny, however, was one and done with a hamstring injury in week 11 that leaves him out of the lineup for an undisclosed amount of time. Only Collins and Dallas now remain as the two-headed backfield for Seattle. The two split their snaps evenly in week 11, 18 each, in an otherwise terrible game from the Seahawks’ offense. Collins is likely owned in most leagues at this point but DeeJay is another RB to add to the platoon of bench options and he could be used in rotation at the flex position any given week.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

WR Add

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, WR – TEN (Owned 9.5%)

Week 11: 7 Rec/107 yards

From Week 4 sleeper to Week 12 add, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine shined in an otherwise awful Titans’ game last week. Julio Jones was inactive and A.J. Brown was in and out of the game with various ailments allowing Westbrook-Ikhine to have his best statistical game of the season. With an upcoming matchup against the Patriots, it will be assured that Bill Belichick will be forcing the Titans to rely on someone else other than Brown to beat them. Look for Westbrook-Ikhine to have another decent shot at being a WR3/4 this week in fantasy.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Jack Doyle, TE – IND (Owned 20%)

Week 11: 3 Rec/30 yards

It is a testament to the position of the tight end when I say that consistently scoring at least six (6) PPR points over the last four (4) weeks should be considered a good quality but that is where the state of the position is right now. Jack Doyle has been the more utilized tight end for Indianapolis since my Week 8 recommendation of Mo Alie-Cox and while not necessarily an option that you would feel confident starting week to week, might be a manageable replacement still available for remaining bye weeks to guys like Travis Kelce, Dallas Goedert, Hunter Henry, etc. in the coming weeks.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Rex Burkhead, RB – HOU (Owned 7%)

Week 11: 18 Car/40 yards

In one of the biggest surprises of Week 11, Rex Burkhead received 18(!) carries in a big win over the Titans. While he only managed 40 yards on those carries it seems to have done enough for the coaching staff to declare Phillip Lindsay as disposable since they then surprisingly cut him on Tuesday. This leaves just Burkhead and David Johnson as the only two (2) realistic options to be in the backfield for the final seven (7) weeks of the season. Burkhead was one of the Patriots’ most versatile weapons in New England as both a runner and receiver so his opportunities are looking much better compared to a week ago. He can be stashed for now to see what David Culley and the Texans’ real plans are going forward with him.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 11 Street FA Report

Updated: November 16th 2021

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

D’Onta Foreman, RB – TEN (Owned 21%)

Week 10: 11 Car/30 yards, 2 Rec/48 yards

Much like Atlanta at the beginning of the season, it appears that we were once again bamboozled by a team signing a (perceived) better option at the running back position and assuming they were going to be taking over the backfield. In reality, coaches always trust the in-house option more, at least in the short term as they are more familiar with their capabilities and comprehension of the playbook. D’Onta Foreman has not done much of anything since being drafted in the third round by Houston in 2017 and his Achilles injury in 2018 seemed like the end before the beginning. But he has hung around the league and now has the opportunity in front of him to audition for a bigger role with another team in 2022. Foreman led the Titans in carries in week 10 with eleven (11) and we know that the Titans’ offense centers around a strong runner with a focus on a strong running game. He will never present Derrick Henry’s level of upside but a team that expects to be in or leading most games this season should see a steady floor of touches.

Suggested Bid: $5,500,000

RB Add

Wayne Gallman, RB – ATL (Owned 19%)

Week 10: 15 Car/55 yards, 1 Rec/21 yards

Speaking of Atlanta, the absence of Cordarelle Patterson from much of week 10’s game, coupled with an upcoming week 11 Thursday night game presents the spot start opportunity for Wayne Gallman if Patterson is unable to go. Despite not seeing more than 10 snaps in any previous week, Arthur Smith gave Gallman more opportunities, 43% snap share and 16 touches, than Mike Davis. Davis’ usage was dwarfed by Gallman as he only had four (4) touches. Patterson’s injury will likely not keep him out for long if he did miss Thursday so do not break the bank for Gallman. But he has flex appeal in week 10 and is worth monitoring till we find out more about Patterson.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

WR Add

DeAndre Carter, WR – WAS (Owned 9%)

Week 10: 3 Rec/56 yards, 1 TD

DeAndre Carter made the most of his opportunity with Curtis Samuel and Dyami Brown out for week 10’s game. He scored a touchdown for a second consecutive week while playing on 70 percent of the snaps for Washington. Carter’s value is directly tied to the health and availability of those two (2) players above him on the depth chart as either being the lineup has cut his snap rate below 20 percent in five (5) of Washington’s other eight (8) games this season. He is not more than a last-minute WR5/6 option if either is declared out on game day but in very deep leagues Carter is one to monitor.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

TE Add

Jack Stoll, TE – PHI (Owned 1%)

Week 10: 2 Rec/6 yards

The Holiest of Hail Mary options at the tight end position in week 11 but if Dallas Goedert is forced to miss this week’s game for Philadelphia next man up is undrafted rookie Jack Stoll out of Nebraska. The rookie saw 66 percent of the snaps in week 10 and other than fellow rookie DeVonta Smith there is no other target hog in this Philadelphia offense that would command an increase in their target volume. Goedert’s share of 4-6  targets would likely be the same with whoever his replacement is. The team will continue to focus on the running game but who says Stoll is any worse than some of the other options we have had to start at the tight end position this season?

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Patrick Taylor, RB – GB (Owned <1%)

Week 10: 2 Car/7 yards

The fantasy community knows that whether it’s Mike McCarthy or Matt LaFleur the Green Bay coaching staff wants to include multiple running backs in their offense. AJ Dillon looked good with Aaron Jones out of the game and he is likely to continue to see a strong amount of touches over the next couple of weeks. Fellow rookie Kylin Hill is already unavailable due to his own injury which leaves Patrick Taylor as the only other available option for the Packers right now at running back behind Dillon. Taylor is the quintessential sleeper addition being available in virtually every league (<99%) this week. We will see what role he can play as the second option once the coaching staff builds a game plan for this week. He could be a cheap sign now before he shows anything that could increase his value heading into Thanksgiving week.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 10 Street FA Report

Updated: November 9th 2021

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Eno Benjamin, RB – ARZ (Owned 23%)
Week 9: 9 Car/39 yards, 1 TD

Another big week for backup running back’s value as Chase Edmonds went down immediately in week 9 opening up a massive opportunity for James Connor’s fantasy production to increase as the regular (fantasy) season winds down. The third-string running back, Eno Benjamin, also worked his way into the end zone to bring attention to his value moving forward. The Cardinals are one the more explosive offenses in the league this season and with Kyler Murray occupying much of the attention during zone-read plays, yards per carry should be available to Benjamin during Edmonds’ absence. Benjamin should be added to most leagues’ benches this week and could have solid flex appeal over the next month if working with a rotation of other starting RBs in your lineup.

Suggested Bid: $4,000,000

WR Add

Tre’Quan Smith, WR – NO (Owned 38.5%)

Week 9: 3 Rec/53 yards

It would not be surprising if Tre’Quan Smith become even more available by Wednesday morning as he has not put up stellar stats his first few weeks back from injury and has often been outshined on the highlight reel by other Saints’ receivers. The snaps are there, second-most by a Saints’ receiver since his return in week 7, Smith is just still working his way back into sync with the rotation of quarterbacks that the Saints have at their disposal. The past Drew Brees led offenses that would put up 300 passing yards weekly are gone, but there is still enough for Smith to be a WR5/6 for deeper leagues.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

James Washington, WR – PIT (Owned 28%)

Week 9: 2 Car/13 yards, 1 Rec/42 yards

Many may have missed Chase Claypool limping off the field on the final Pittsburgh drive on Monday Night but his status will be one to monitor heading into week 10. Any diagnosis that costs him practice opens the door for third-year receiver James Washington to see an increased role. The Steelers also have a great matchup against the Lions coming up in week 10 that could result in several players getting a chance to get in the endzone.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

TE Add

Geoff Swaim, TE – TEN (Owned 3%)

Week 9: 4 Rec/29yards, 1 TD

These were back-to-back weeks that Geoff Swaim had four (4) receptions and a touchdown. That immediately puts him on the radar for tight-end streamers looking for red zone opportunities. With Derek Henry gone the Titans are looking at alternative options around the goal line to get the ball to and in the last two (2) weeks, Swaim has been the forgotten man by the defense. With Julio Jones and A.J. Brown taking up much of the defense’s attention this season, that will likely continue to be the situation for Swaim. He is nearly doubling other Titans’ tight ends for positional snaps thus far which bodes well for target opportunities as well.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<25%)

Tajae Sharpe, WR – ATL (Owned 19%)
Week 9: 1 Rec/12 yards

It seems like forever ago that Tajae Sharpe was the pre-season darling that was blowing up with the Titans in 2016. He has found a bit of fantasy relevance this season in Atlanta again with Julio Jones leaving in the offseason and Calvin Ridley stepping away from the team recently. Sharpe is coming off a poor performance in week 9 with only one (1) catch but he did have 11 over the previous three (3) weeks. He has also played on 74 percent of snaps since Ridley has been out of the lineup so his opportunities should return to the mean. More of a Hail Mary option week to week, Sharpe is at least bench material to see how the Falcons’ second half to the season transpires.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews