Super Bowl Predictions

Updated: February 3rd 2019

Welcome to Super Bowl weekend. As I mentioned on Twitter right after the game, what Tom Brady & Bill Belichick have accomplished over the last two decades will go down as the greatest achievement in modern sports. The parity in the NFL is second to none when compared to other leagues and sustained success is extremely rare, and since becoming the everyday starter in 2001 (and not including 2008 when he was injured), Brady has missed the playoffs once (in 2002 despite finishing in a tie at 9-7 with the Dolphins/Jets in the AFC East), and he has made the AFC Championship game 13 times…to give you some context, during this same time span, the Steelers (a widely successful franchise over the past 20 years) only made the playoffs 12 times. Now entering his 9th Super Bowl, Brady will have played in more Super Bowls than any other NFL franchise. So, what a story for Super Bowl 53. Perhaps the greatest storyline is that Brady (41) and Belichick (66) are up against Jared Goff (24) and Sean McVay (33)…who knows, maybe McVay and Goff are about to start a dynasty of their own (McVay seems to have all the skills of a young Belichick even if Goff seems far off from a young Tom Brady). Brady and Goff will get much of the pregame attention, but the running backs will be critical to the outcome of the game, which should be a classic.

After the first three rounds of the playoffs, here is how our writers stand with their respective predictions:

  1. Stephen Wendell: 6-4 ML & 6-4 ATS
  2. Matt Papson: 7-3 ML & 7-3 ATS
  3. Kyle English: 6-4 ML & 3-7 ATS
  4. Matt Goodwin: 6-4 ML & 5-5 ATS
  5. Nick Andrews: 6-4 ML & 5-5 ATS
  6. Bernard Faller: 6-4 ML & 7-3 ATS

Super Bowl Predictions below (we have four guys on the Pats and two guys on the Rams). Enjoy the game!

New England Patriots vs. @ Los Angeles Rams [Line: NE -2.5]

Stephen Wendell: There is no way Tom Brady loses this game. Something could get crazy with the spread at the end of the game I feel, but I think Tom gets it done in convincing fashion and Pats win by seven. Projected Score: Patriots 31 – Rams 24.

Matt Papson: Tom Brady FTW. Projected Score: Patriots 31 – Rams 27.

Kyle English: No analysis, just predictions. Projected Score: Rams 24 – Patriots 23.

Matt Goodwin: Since I’ve picked against the Patriots since the divisional round, why not do it once more? While I hate to doubt the GOAT Tom Brady in the clutch and it seems unlikely he’d let the Patriots lose two Super Bowl games in a row, the Rams getting points as an underdog is appealing yet again. What a chess match this will be between Sean McVay and Bill Belichick who will be trying to neutralize the Rams offense. I fully expect Todd Gurley to bounce back big time in this game and have a dominant performance after a puzzling one in the NFC Championship.  The Patriots offensive line has been lights out in the playoffs and battles a tough front for the Rams. While Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski made big plays against the Chiefs and the Rams secondary is grossly overrated, I do think Nickell Robey Coleman is actually underrated as a slot corner. Sure, Edelman finds ways to make plays in big moments and the Patriots have looked very solid in the backfield with rookie Sony Michel (a likely 2019 fantasy stud) grinding, James White catching passes and Rex Burkhead doing a little bit of the rest. In the end, I think Jared Goff just figures out a way to carve up the Patriots defense and Greg the Leg gets it done in the dome. Maybe it’s wishful thinking that my son Jory will be happy after this game in that his Rams won, but that’s who I’m going with in what I think will be an incredibly entertaining game. Projected Score: Rams 30 – Patriots 27.

Nick Andrews: As much as the players will determine the outcome of this game the best matchups may be wearing the headsets on the sideline. Sean McVay vs. Bill Belichick is getting a lot of discussion but Josh McDaniels vs. Wade Phillips might be equally as masterful to watch this Sunday. Rarely is the coaching so evenly matched on both sides of the ball. In a close game the tie goes to the G.O.A.T. wearing number 12. Projected Score: Patriots 27 – Rams 23.

Bernard Faller: Simple formula so far for New England offense in playoffs.  Consistently cram Michel down the defense’s throat to suck them in.  Throw to Edelman or check down to White when other receivers not open.  Keep marching down the field.  I see no reason to change now.   Projected Score: Patriots 34 – Rams 27.

 

More Analysis by Stephen Wendell