Week 14 Street FA Report – Playoff Edition

Updated: December 4th 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Jaylen Samuels, RB – PIT (Owned 47%)

Week 13: 2 Car/5 yards, 3 Rec/20 yards, 1 TD

I said last week to add you stud RB handcuffs and on cue, both Kareem Hunt and James Conner are now shelved for many playoff-bound teams. In the case of James Conner and the Pittsburgh Steelers, it will be Jaylen Samuels who will be stepping into the starting role for at least week 14. Samuels hasn’t shown much in the running game yet (12 carries for 31 yards) but he has been more effective as a receiver with two (2) receiving touchdowns. Therefore, it is likely for veteran Stevan Ridley to have a role in Conner’s absence as well. He fits a more traditional ground game runner to use around the goal line. The Steelers have been passing 67% this season and a league-high 78% the last three weeks so it will be interesting to see how the offense functions without its two best runners. Still, if you have made it this far with RB problems this may be your saving grace for the final three weeks. At a minimum, you should be putting in a high bid to keep poach from Samuels from other contenders.

Suggested Bid: 95% remaining cap space

RB Add

Jeff Wilson, RB – SF (Owned 3%)

Week 13: 15 Car/61 yards, 8 Rec/73 yards

If you lose out on the sweepstakes to grab the obvious Jaylen Samuels make sure to put in a second bid for 49ers backup Jeff Wilson. Similarly to Conner’s situation, it isn’t clear yet whether Matt Breida will only be absent for one week or if his ankle injury will force him to miss multiple games. Either way, a starter is available and needs to be added. The schedule isn’t kind to the 49ers for the playoffs (Denver, Seattle, and Chicago) but Wilson proved himself valuable in the passing game with eight (8) receptions in garbage time last week. With only fullback Kyle Juszczyk as competition for touches, there should be a safe floor to Wilson in PPR leagues. Wilson may be a nice consolation prize for those with less cap available.

Suggested Bid: 60% remaining cap space

WR Adds

Bruce Ellington, WR – DET (Owned 15.5%)

Week 13: 7 Rec/35 yards

Thank you to everyone who finally got Adam Humphries’ ownership above the 50% threshold finally. Now, we need to give Bruce Ellington the same treatment this week. Ellington has been targeted 26 times in the last three (3) games which has given him a tremendously safe floor in PPR leagues despite his low yard total. The Lions have a slightly easier schedule throughout the playoffs (Arizona, Buffalo, and Minnesota) in which the number one corner will continue to be matched up against Kenny Golladay. The Lions are ninth in the pass-run ratio at 63% so there shouldn’t be much change in their game plan and Ellington will continue to receive a large number of targets. Hopefully, he is able to increase his yard totals and maybe sprinkle in a touchdown or two. That would push Ellington in the WR3 category.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000 or 40% remaining cap space

 

Chris Conley, WR – KC (Owned 27%)

Week 13: 3 Rec/25 yards, 1 TD

Another recommendation from week 12 Chris Conley has shown he is valuable with Sammy Watkins out of the lineup. Conley actually out targeted Tyreek Hill last week seven (7) to six (6) and scored his third touchdown in the last two games. The Chiefs have a tough matchup this week against the Ravens who have been notorious for killing fantasy production of opposing offenses, just as Julio Jones last week. If you can make it through this week though, Conley may be a sneaky flex play for the final two weeks if Watkins remains out.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 or 20% remaining cap space

TE Add

Ian Thomas, TE – CAR (Owned 24%)

Week 13: 5 Rec/20 yards

Another injury has finally put an end to Greg Olsen’s season and therefore another starting tight end is lost for the season. It will be difficult to find startable options this late in the season but Ian Thomas has about as good as any for being added to a team’s TE rotation. The target shares have become monopolized by Christian McCaffrey in Carolina but we know that Cam Newton likes to involve the TE if he is comfortable with him. Thomas had five (5) receptions after Olsen left the game suggesting that Newton at least won’t be ignoring the position, unlike last year when Olsen was out.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 or 20% remaining cap space

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Auden Tate, WR – CIN (Owned 8.4%)

Week 13: N/A

This is a complete shot in the dark but with A.J. Green out in week 12 Auden Tate surprisingly had seven (7) targets but was a surprise inactive last week with Green back. With Green now out for the rest of the season, Tate should be activated again and have a chance to be the number two behind Tyler Boyd. His 6’5” frame should also give Tate opportunities to see red zone targets. With backup QB Jeff Driskel being the starting QB now this may give Tate an inside track to early and important targets. We often see backups thrust into starting roles favor their practice squad and backup receivers due to their familiarities.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 12 Street FA Report

Updated: November 22nd 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Byes: Kansas City, Los Angeles Rams

Add of the Week

Gus Edwards, RB – BAL (Owned 2%)

Week 11: 17 Car/115 yards, 1 TD

Surprise, Gus Edwards has become the lead runner in Baltimore coming out of their bye week. He and Lamar Jackson combined for over 230 yards on the ground last week and he out carried Alex Collins 17-7. It was even more shocking as Collins had three (3) attempts on the opening drive, scoring a touchdown, but then had only four (4) the remainder of the game. Either way, Edwards is likely to be involved more moving forward which means that he is a must add while Lamar Jackson is the Ravens’ QB. Jackson’s running ability makes defenses have to give him full attention which should give Gus Edwards plenty of space on read-option plays.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000 – $5,000,000

WR Add

Chris Conley, WR – KC (Owned 12.4%)

Week 11: 7 Rec/74 yards, 2 TD

Let’s preface this by saying Monday night’s game likely would have resulted in you or me having close to 10 PPR points due to the sheer volume of scoring that occurred. Having said that, Chris Conley has been the primary benefactor of plays and games in which Sammy Watkins has been absent, which on an offense as explosive as KC’s that warrants being at least “end of the roster” material. Watkins will have two weeks to heal himself while on their bye week but there’s no guarantee that his foot injury won’t flare up again. KC coaches may look to use Conley down the stretch more if they feel he can be more reliable in the lineup. That’s no guarantee but any uptick in usage would be huge to his fantasy value.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

 

Marcell Ateman, WR – OAK (Owned 18%)

Week 11: 4 Rec/50 yards

I was going to put Marcell Ateman as my sleeper this week but was surprised to see that savvy RSO owners had already bumped up his ownership to almost a fifth of leagues. Good on you guys and gals. My take last week with Brandon LaFell being a viable waiver add that you could plug and play if in dire need worked out pretty well, just ask RSO podcast host Matt Goody. Unfortunately, he too has been caught by the injury bug and is now out of the lineup. This means that the previously mentioned Marcell Ateman and veteran Seth Roberts are the only two healthy receivers that have any rapport with Derek Carr. Ateman had four (4) catches last week against a fairly strong secondary in Arizona. The Raiders are unlikely to keep up with many of their final six opponents (Baltimore, KC x2, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Denver) which should mean plenty of passing and lots of garbage time points. Treat Ateman like you would have LaFell, a receiver that may have boom/bust value week-to-week but should have a safer target value than other WR2/3s on other teams.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Lance Kendricks, TE – GB (Owned 1.3%)

Week 11: 2 Rec/12 yards

I can’t imagine breaking a thumb and then having to both catch fastballs from Aaron Rodgers as well as block the occasional 250 lbs. linebacker. That’s why I would keep an eye on Packers’ backup tight end Lance Kendricks as a sleeper tight end for the remainder of the season. Jimmy Graham says he will gut out his injury but all it takes is an increase in pain to force him to miss snaps or even future games. Tight end has always been a boom/bust all year for all but a handful of owners and for those hurt by the O.J. Howard news this could be a cheap option to replace some of his production. If Richard Rodgers can have an eight (8) touchdown season in Green Bay, Lance Kendricks can have some upside in the Packers offense.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Bruce Ellington, WR – DET (Owned 6%)

Week 11: 6 Rec/52 yards

After Kenny Golladay, it wasn’t obvious who the number two option in the passing game was going to be for the Lions without Marvin Jones. We got our answer Sunday with Bruce Ellington who saw nine (9) targets and made six (6) catches. The Lions have a quick turnaround with a Thanksgiving matchup on Thursday which might not give enough time for Marvin Jones to get healthy. What’s more is Kerryon Johnson is expected to miss a couple of weeks which means that Theo Riddick may be needed more in the backfield as a traditional runner. This all lends itself to Bruce Ellington being a sneaky play for those missing the production of their Chiefs or Rams receivers. It’s a real risk to start Ellington but the reward could be better than that of some bench receivers you may have available.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 4 Waiver Report

Updated: September 27th 2017

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE – NYJ (Owned 39%)

Week 3: 5 Rec/31 yards

Seferian-Jenkins (ASJ) joined his new team after serving his two-game suspension and looked like he hadn’t missed a beat. While 30 yards isn’t a lot this offers the perfect opportunity to still get him off the waivers without breaking the bank. The game was well in hand for most of the afternoon so the Jets ran the ball 30 times, limiting the passing game. But ASJ did tie Robby Anderson for the most targets (6) and brought in 5 catches. The Jets figure to be playing from behind more than they were this week which means that there is a definite upside to ASJ’s target volume. Along with this, Matt Forte injured his toe and left early in the game. If he misses any amount of time this only means more dump-off targets will be available. The Jets haven’t had a fantasy relevant TE since the days of Dustin Keller but if ASJ is truly over his personal demons this could be a great turnaround season for him.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,500,000

RB Add

Orleans Darkwa, RB – NYG (Owned 18%)

Week 3: 7 Car/22 yards, 1 Rec/11 yards

The Giants looked absolutely terrible on offense for the first two games and two-quarters of the season but then they scored three 4th quarter touchdowns and quieted at least some of their detractors. The overall state of the Giants run game is brutal, 48.7 yards/game and isn’t one to get excited about. I still prefer Shane Vereen (who I listed as a waiver add two weeks ago) since he has the greatest upside as the primary receiving back but it appears that Ben McAdoo is still trying to find a traditional way to use the running game in his offense. McAdoo does appear, however, to be losing faith in Paul Perkins since he only had 2 more carries than Darkwa. It’s not an unrealistic expectation for him to try and create a spark in the offense by switching up his lead back. Darkwa isn’t someone that you would add to start but with bye weeks coming soon and injuries to RBs piling up he might be a usable option in weeks to come.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

WR Add

Ryan Grant, WR – WAS (Owned 4%)

Week 3: 3 Rec/75 yards

I wanted to add Grant to this column last week but needed to see more from him and his 1 catch performance in week 2. Finally getting a chance to watch a full game on Sunday Night showed me that he is definitely involved in Kirk Cousin’s target list and is an add in every league right now. The best part of the week 3 game was that Josh Doctson had a highlight reel catch that will make everyone think that he is ready to be a big part of the offense. In reality, Doctson had only that one catch on two targets in the game. Cousins might be looking to Chris Thompson in the dump pass more often but I also expect opposing teams to scheme for this moving forward. Hopefully, this opens up more play action screens giving Grant and other receivers separation downfield.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Bruce Ellington, WR – HOU (Owned 4%)

Week 3: 4 Rec/59 yards, 1 TD

Bruce Ellington was a player that I rostered throughout the preseason due to a number of receiver injuries that the Texans had. Unfortunately, he didn’t make the final cut for most of my fantasy teams and wasn’t used by the Texans for the first two weeks of the season. He showed up in week 3 however and looked like the second option behind DeAndre Hopkins playing on 70 of 71 offensive snap. He also caught his first touchdown of the season. There was plenty of optimism surrounding Ellington’s potential while in San Francisco so maybe it will be with this change of scenery that he will start to see fantasy value again. There has been recent news that Will Fuller could play in week 4 but between his one-dimensional usage as a speed receiver and frequent drops, the staff may want to see what Ellington can do first.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,000,000

TE Adds

Vernon Davis, TE – WAS (Owned 15%)

Week 3: 5 Rec/58 yards, 1 TD

Surprise, surprise Jordan Reed is injured and missed another game. If it walks like an injured duck and squawks like an injured duck then it’s probably an injury-prone duck. As I mentioned in the Grant piece above, Kirk Cousin’s is likely going to be throwing a high number of passes this season and likes to use his TE in the passing game each week. Vernon Davis may not be the player he was San Francisco years ago but there’s a reason Washington values him enough to have behind Jordan Reed. He’s a player who knows how to play fundamental football and gets open with his route running and quickness. Reed will likely be out for other games throughout the season so Davis will have his days. Tight End production can be hard to predict outside of a handful of players but if Reed is out Davis should be started in all leagues.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $1,500,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Corey Clement, RB – PHI (Owned 5%)

Week 3: 6 Car/22 yards, 1 TD

Another preseason player that both fellow RSO writer Bob Cowper (@RobertFCowper) and I liked this preseason was undrafted rookie running back, Corey Clement. I spoke about his potential in this offense in my preseason watch list article here. After Darren Sproles was injured last week he finally got see some action and he showed flashes of his ability with limited reps, scoring a late touchdown. Remember, during the preseason there were rumors about LeGarrette Blount not fitting well with the Eagles run scheme and Wendell Smallwood looked sluggish. Both were considered plausible cut candidates. Now that Sproles is done for the season (ACL tear and broken arm) Clement may have his shot to prove that he can be a part of this offense. It may not be immediate but I would expect Doug Pederson to play the guy that gives him the best chance to win the game; which I think could be Corey Clement.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $1,500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews