Week 14 Street FA Report

Updated: December 7th 2017

For the playoffs, we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 70% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <20% of leagues as our Sleeper add. All of these players have flexible upside during the 3-week playoff span.

Add of the Week

Jermaine Kearse, WR – NYJ (Owned 69%)

Week 13: 9 Rec/157 yards

Jermaine Kearse was my week 1 WR add and if you picked him up you have enjoyed a nice bye week player with great upside throughout the season. While he has had some dud weeks, for the most part, he has been a solid flex option. Heading into the playoffs if he’s not already on a roster he needs to be added. The Jets play the Broncos, Saints, and Chargers over the next three weeks which might seem like a daunting group of defenses to face. However, looking at how the Jets have played over the last month it is clear that they trust Josh McCown and this group of receivers to be the identity of this team and are not afraid of being in a shootout. McCown has attempted over 36 passes in each of his last three games and that trend should continue in games that will range from competitive (Broncos, Chargers) to playing keep up (Saints). From a PPR standpoint, 10 points should be Kearse’s floor.

Suggested Bid: $4,000,000 – $10,000,000

RB Adds

Mike Davis, RB – SEA (Owned 19%)

Week 13: 16 Car/64 yards, 4 Rec/37 yards

The Seahawks have been trying to find a runner to take control of the backfield and it appears that Mike Davis has separated himself from Eddie Lacy or Thomas Rawls. Watching SNF it was clear that Pete Carroll and Darrell Bevell have made Davis their RB1 in terms of traditional carries. The Seahawks rank tied for 8th in red zone trips with 41 but only 18th (53.7%) in conversions. With Russell Wilson’s ability to run the ball defenses have to be more honest around the goal line which should give Davis the opportunities to score more. If he continues to hold 82% of the carries and 73% of the snap counts like he did in week 13 Davis could be a sneaky RB2 for the playoffs.

Suggested Bid: $4,000,000 – $8,000,000

Andre Ellington, RB – HOU (Owned 46%)

Week 13: 2 Car/-4 yards, 5 Rec/56 yards

Hardly anybody noticed Andre Ellington being waived by the Cardinals and subsequently claimed by the Houston Texans but he was active for last week’s game and hauled in 5 of his 6 targets. Alfred Blue also left the game with a concussion and at this point, his status is uncertain for week 14. Ellington could end up being what I thought Tyler Ervin’s role was going to be in the preseason, an RB by name that is used more out of the slot as a receiver, while also receiving a couple of carries per game. He won’t have a consistent workload with Lamar Miller and D’Onta Foreman ahead of him but for PPR formats Ellington could see a serious amount of targets as a receiver. Both Braxton Miller and Bruce Ellington suffered injuries last week that also could open up a receiver spot for him.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

WR Add

Marquise Goodwin, WR – SF (Owned 53%)

Week 13: 8 Rec/99 yards

The 49ers showed a spark with Jimmy Garoppolo behind center resulting in two receivers having over 90 yards receiving last week. Marquise Goodwin has filled in quite week nice Pierre Garcon was lost for the season and has had a safe WR3/4 floor in the past month. The 49ers have two even matchups coming up against the Texans and Titans that rank 7th and 9th in WR fantasy points allowed which should mean that Goodwin’s value will continue. Goodwin still has a stigma as being a boom/bust player but with a strong 8 catch showing in Jimmy G’s first game, he could be a great matchup flex for the next two week.

Suggested Bid: $3,000,000 – $5,000,000

TE Add

Stephen Anderson, TE – HOU (Owned 1.5%)

Week 13: 5 Rec/79 yards, 1 TD

For all the same reasons that I like the opportunity for targets with Andre Ellington I also like Stephen Anderson. I thought that C.J. Fiedorowicz was going to come back from his injury and totally reclaim the TE targets in Houston to be a second-half steal. Not only has that not happened but for the most part, he has been an afterthought to Anderson who played on 84% of the downs and had 12(!) targets last week. Tom Savage is not an aggressive QB and as mentioned previously with several other receivers being injured last week Anderson is earning more targets. Houston plays San Francisco and Jacksonville who are average to above average in TE points allowed. If you have been matchup-based with your TEs this season Anderson could be another option to seriously consider.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

Sleeper Add (<20%)

Ryan Grant, WR – WAS (Owned 16%)

Week 13: 5 Rec/76 yards, 1 TD

This is my last chance to plead with every RSO manager to please go add Ryan Grant to your roster. He’s been featured 3 times already in this report and he is still unclaimed in over 4/5th of all leagues. In an offense where he is often single covered because he isn’t as talented as Josh Doctson or Jameson Crowder, he continues to makes plays and finds the end zone (2 TD in his last 3 games). Unless you play in an 8 to 10 team league that doesn’t have a lot of roster spots he needs to be owned. The teams that Washington play in the playoffs (LAC, Arizona, and Denver) all have good secondaries but Grant is one of those guys that could have a big game or two because of how game planning and matchups take away other options.

Suggested Bid: $3,000,000 – $6,000,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 2 Waiver Report

Updated: September 12th 2017

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Tarik Cohen, RB – CHI (owned 45%) 5 Car/66 yards, 8 Rec/47 yards, 1 TD

Surely the biggest surprise of the week 1 was how much rookie runner Tarik Cohen was involved in the Bears’ offense. Yes, he did have 40% of his total yards on one big reverse field run play but overall he was heavily involved in the passing game with 8 catches on 12 targets (led team) and almost led the Bears to an upset win over the reigning NFC Champs. It’s not like Jordan Howard wasn’t involved (13-51-1) as he also had 3 catches but this could definitely decrease Howard’s role on passing downs. The Bears look like they could be joining the rest of the NFL on the RBBC bus now. For owners that think the Bears will be down in games and forced into passing formations, Cohen should see his share of targets each week, especially with news that Kevin White is being placed on IR now with a scapula injury. Give a bump in PPR leagues.

Suggested Bid: $1,00,000 – $4,000,000

RB Replacements

Shane Vereen, RB – NYG (owned 45%) 9 Rec/51 yards

Javorius Allen, RB – BAL (owned 19%) 21 Car/71 yards

Both of these running backs benefited from positive game script in week 1 but they did showcase what their role is in their respective offenses. For Vereen, he had 9 catches (5 on the final meaningless drive) but he was clearly the Giants passing down back. Perkins and Darkwa couldn’t get any run game going (36 yards) and the offensive line looked mediocre at best. If the Giants offense is unable to open holes for the running game they will be forced to use the dump passes as a substitute. This was the role Vereen had in New England and as long as he stays healthy it’s the role he will have this season in New York. With games against the AFC and NFC West, it’s probable that the Giants find themselves behind in games, unable to run the ball and relying on Vereen with screens and dump passes to keep the offense moving.

Javorius “Buck” Allen had 21 carries, 4th most in the opening week against the Bengals which should symbolize a bell cow role in an offense. Unfortunately, fellow back Terrance West also had 19 carries (7th most) and Joe Flacco only had 17 pass attempts in a total defensive domination by the Ravens. With Danny Woodhead going out with a hamstring injury early it did show, however, that Allen will be the secondary runner in case of a West injury or regression. This makes him an add if you have either of the other two Raven runners or a lack of depth at the position. Depending on the severity of the injury to Woodhead the Ravens do need to show which of West or Allen would be the pass catching back when games are closer. This could be Allen’s role with the upside of increased carries should West falter.

Suggested Bids: $500,000 – $1,000,000

WR Replacements

Jermaine Kearse, WR – NYJ (owned 26%) 7 Rec/59 yards

Danny Amendola, WR – NE (owned 26%) 6 Rec/ 100 yards

Many were shocked when the Jets shipped Sheldon Richardson to Seattle for some picks and Jermaine Kearse but to everyone’s surprise, Kearse led the Jets in both catches (7) and yards (59) in week 1. Sometimes volume trumps talent and despite previous reservations against Kearse’s talent when he is being fed #1 target numbers he has to be rostered. If Kearse maintains the target volume that he saw in week 1 and can offer a touchdown every 2 or 3 games he will be a nice option to have for bye weeks or when injuries start piling up.

The Patriots looked like a 16-0 team for the first half and a 0-16 team for the second half. It showed that they missed having Julian Edelman as a reliable target for crossing routes, bubble screens and 3rd down quick slants. Brandin Cooks and Chris Hogan were used more on the play action and deeper routes which leaves Danny Amendola and the RBs to be the underneath pass catchers. It’s unlikely that any of the backs are available but Amendola is available in 74% of RSO leagues which needs to be changed. The Patriots are changing offensive schemes weekly but the one constant for Tom Brady is to find the quick-hit routes to move the chains. Despite Bill Belichick saying that everyone will be picking up Edelman’s contributions, it is likely Amendola who will most replicate his usage.

Suggested Bids: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

TE Substitute

Charles Clay, TE – BUF (owned 40%) 4 Rec/53 yards, 1 TD

Similar to my Jermaine Kearse analysis sometimes a guy just needs to be rostered for his volume alone. The Bills lost Robert Woods and Sammy Watkins to the Rams this offseason and Jordan Matthews hasn’t been a spectacular fantasy option since his rookie season. While they do have Shady McCoy to run the ball someone still needs to catch passes and touchdowns. Clay should be averaging a touchdown at least every other game this season and be a reliable target for Tyrod Taylor to have between the 20s and on 3rd down. While he’s not as sexy a name as Gronk or Kelce, Clay should be a low-end TE1 for most matchups this season.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,500,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Kerwynn Williams, RB – ARZ (Owned 9.7%) 5 Car/10 yards, 1 Rec/2 yards, 1 TD

This is pure speculation and may have no use by the end of the week but anytime a bell cow is injured you have to take a shot in the dark. When David Johnson went out after a big hit in the 3rd quarter it was Williams who took the goal line carry for a touchdown. After Johnson went out indefinitely with a wrist injury later in the game it was Williams who played the bulk of the snaps behind Carson Palmer. If Johnson’s injury is anything that keeps him out of next week’s game and beyond (which is a real possibility if reports are true) Williams will see his share of touches and targets. If you are playing the David Johnson owner and his RB depth is thin Williams is worth a minimum bid just to limit your opponent’s options heading into week 2.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews