Week 13 Street FA Report

Updated: November 28th 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Justin Jackson, RB – LAC (Owned 18%)

Week 12: 7 Car/57 yards

It was a tough week for Melvin Gordon owners who were happy to see him play in what was likely a crucial week 12 game and even put up two touchdowns to help out their weekly scoring. Unfortunately, he injured his MCL and despite his “week-to-week” designation he’s realistically going to miss most if not all of the fantasy playoffs. In his place, Austin Ekeler is the likely next man up but he has mostly been used as a receiving back so it is not guaranteed that he becomes a bell-cow. Once Gordon went out rookie running back Justin Jackson had seven (7) carries for almost 60 and fits a more tradition RB role. With a full week of preparation, the Chargers may be able to figure out how they will incorporate Jackson into the offense. He should see his share of carries so he needs to be added in all leagues. It would also be a disservice if I didn’t remind you to add any obvious backup RBs too in case of a similar situation on another team.

Suggested Bid: $10,000,000 (or 80% of your remaining 2018 cap)

WR Adds

Trey Quinn, WR – WAS (Owned 14%)

Week 12: 5 Rec/26 yards, 1 TD

We will have to wait and see the injury report for Washington but either way, Trey Quinn should likely have a role going forward. Colt McCoy is going to be the starting quarterback for the remainder of the season and he is not an aggressive, down the field gunslinger; not that Alex Smith would have been either. This can benefit Quinn who appears to be the primary underneath WR right now in Washington. As a team that is in the middle of a playoff/division race the remaining games for Washington should all be competitive. With the injuries to their offensive line as well it will likely be harder for Adrian Peterson and Kapri Bibbs to gain much in the run game. Quinn should have a safe floor in PPR leagues.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000

 

Jermaine Kearse, WR – NYJ (Owned 27%)

Week 12: 6 Rec/66 yards, 1 TD

Quincy Enunwa had more receiving yards but Jermaine Kearse was actually the most targeted receiver on the Jets last week with twelve (12). The remaining schedule for the Jets is a difficult one (Tennessee, Buffalo, Houston, Green Bay, New England) which means that it might be hard for them to generate scoring opportunities. Luckily, there’s always garbage time if any of these games become a blowout.  If Sam Darnold comes back this week things may change but for now, Kearse is the primary target in New Jersey and could be a WR5 option for deep leagues.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

TE Add

Jonnu Smith, TE – TEN (Owned 44%)

Week 12: 2 Rec/63 yards, 1 TD

First O.J. Howard goes down and now Jack Doyle is out for the season. As someone who had both and thought he was good at the TE position heading into the playoffs, I’m sure scrambling now. If you are like me or have been using a revolving door of tight ends, then check to see if Jonnu Smith is still available. Since Marcus Mariota’s return from injury, the Tennessee offense has vastly improved making players like Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, and Dion Lewis much more steady fantasy producers. Smith himself has scored a touchdown in three of the past four games making him a staple for Tennessee’s red zone plan. He’s not elite but at least he’s reliable.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Ryan Switzer, WR – PIT (Owned 9%)

Week 12: 6 Rec/ 67 yards, 1 Car/4 yards

The Broncos gave an interesting bit of advice to future opponents of the Pittsburgh Steelers after their upset victory on Sunday. They said that the game plan was to double cover both Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster and let someone else beat them. Now, they did give up a 97-yard touchdown to Juju so clearly it wasn’t a plan that was executed to perfection but still they forced Ben Roethlisberger to look elsewhere which caused several turnovers. If future teams are thinking of using a similar strategy there may be a chance for slot man Ryan Switzer to carve out a role. With games against the Chargers, Patriots, and Saints it likely means that the passing game will continue to be the focal point of Pittsburgh offense as well. Switzer had a season-high six (6) receptions and 67 yards on Sunday because of the coverage and may be needed going forward.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 2 Street FA Report

Updated: September 12th 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Phillip Lindsay, RB – DEN (Owned 10.5%)

Week 1: 15 Car/71 yards, 2 Rec/31 yards, 1 TD

All offseason it was thought that Devontae Booker was the only obstacle standing between Royce Freeman and a bell-cow workload. After week 1 however, it was fellow rookie running back Phillip Lindsay who seems to have pushed his way into the backfield rotation. Both he and Freeman had 15 attempts but Lindsay was also targeted 3 times in the passing game, catch two passes and scoring once. Booker also received two targets so it will be interesting to see if all three will be involved in both the rushing and receiving game moving forward. Regardless, it is clear that Lindsay is more than just a dynasty stash moving forward and will continue to have a role within the Broncos’ offense. If an injury was to occur to either Freeman or Booker it may lead to Lindsay being a consistent option.

Suggested Bid: $2,000,000 – $5,000,000

RB Add

Darren Sproles, RB – PHI (Owned 15.4%)

Week 1: 5 Car/10 yards, 4 Rec/22 yards

Darren Sproles was an afterthought with fantasy fans expecting Corey Clement to take over the receiving back role after a strong finish to 2017. It appears, however, that Sproles isn’t done just yet as he received 7 targets in the opener last Thursday. Neither Clement nor Jay Ajayi received a single target. With many of Philly’s games likely to be competitive this season, it is fair to assume that Sproles will continue to have value in PPR leagues as an emergency option at RB.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,500,000

WR Add

Phillip Dorsett, WR – NE (Owned 27%)

Week 1: 7 Rec/66 yards, 1 TD

So Chris Hogan isn’t the only receiver worth owning in New England? Phillip Dorsett led all wideouts with 7 targets (excluding Gronkowski) converting all of them and adding a touchdown. We will see what the Patriots’ game plan is week-to-week but we know when Tom Brady trusts a receiver he is going to get the ball, a lot. Julian Edelman is still suspended for three more games which will give Dorsett three more opportunities to build a rapport with Brady before he returns. Even when Edelman is back it is likely that Dorsett fills the Brandin Cooks role from a year ago as an intermediate option that can take the lid off with his speed when asked. He’s a fringe WR4/5 that can be someone to hold in deeper leagues.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

Ryan Grant, WR – IND (Owned 23.2%)

Week 1: 8 Rec/59 yards

I didn’t realize that I liked Grant as much as I did but after featuring him twice last year and in week 1 leading the Colts with eight receptions he needs to be owned in leagues with 3+ starting receivers. The Colts are still passing more than anyone else (53 attempts) and their running game is still incompetent which means that they are only going to win games by moving the ball through the air. T.Y. Hilton will always garner the number one coverage from the other team which should leave lots of 1-on-1 matchups for Grant. If he can add a touchdown once or twice a month on top of last week’s stat line he’s going to be a starter for most deep leagues on a weekly basis. As of now he a great matchup flex option.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $3,000,000

Geronimo Allison, WR – GB (Owned 39%)

Week 1: 5 Rec/69 yards, 1 TD

Green Bay was in pass mode for most of the second half which may have contributed to Allison receiving eight targets in Sunday night’s game. Still, the biggest question was who was going to be the third receiver in this offense after they kept seven at roster cut downs. The Packers are frequently in the top percentile for running 3WR sets which means that Allison will have more opportunities to see open coverage with defenses primarily focused on Davante Adams, Jimmy Graham, and even Randall Cobb. He’s more of a stash at this point but could be an injury away from a big workload.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,000,000

TE Add

Jonnu Smith – TE, TEN (Owned 38%)

Week 1: 1 Rec/12 yards

It was a tough week for tight ends as both Greg Olsen and Delaine Walker went down with significant injuries. While Olsen may have a chance to come back at some point this season Walker has already been ruled out for the year which leaves sophomore Jonnu Smith to fill his role in Tennessee. Smith was already a player many fantasy players targeted as the next breakout tight end and with Walker cleared from the depth chart this will likely be the season we see if he can handle the responsibility. The Titans week 1 game was a mess with multiple rain delays and an injury to Marcus Mariota disrupting all momentum so it is difficult to gauge new coordinator Matt LaFleur’s offense. In week 2 hopefully, it will feature Smith as much as it did Walker.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Austin Carr, WR – NO (5.4%)

Week 1: 2 Rec/20 yards

An interesting week 1 active roster player, Austin Carr was able to get in on the high scoring game by catching both of his targets. While Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara will always be the primary options for Drew Brees, 29 targets between the two, the Saints only have journeyman Ted Ginn Jr. and rookie Trey’Quan Smith as real threats to Carr as the number two receiver. It may not be an immediate thing but by midseason Carr could become the third option that we thought Willie Snead was going to be last year. If their defense is as bad as it was in week one it means that there should be plenty of opportunities at least due to the positive game script.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,000,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 7 Street FA Report

Updated: October 19th 2017

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Byes: LIONS, TEXANS

Add of the Week

Orleans Darkwa, RB – NYG (Owned 28%)

Week 6: 21 Car/117 yards, 1 Rec/13 yards

An RB target a couple of weeks ago I felt that Darkwa needed to be featured again due to his low increase in ownership. The Giants are hurting at WR, as evident by Eli Manning only attempting 19 passes on Sunday Night, which means they will be using the run game more throughout the season. There was a spike in interest for Wayne Gallman when he had a decent game in week 5 but Darkwa more than doubled his touches last week (21:9) suggesting that he will, in fact, be the primary option. Though there may not be another 100 yard game for Darkwa he should continue to see the bulk of run plays and offers a goal-line touchdown upside.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $3,000,000

QB Add

C.J. Beathard, QB – SF (Owned 9%)

Week 6: 19 for 36, 245 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 Car/14 yards

If you lost Aaron Rodgers you definitely are experiencing the Monday blues.  But the season goes on and you may need to find a new QB to either start or have as your bye week filler. If you were uninspired by Brett Hundley and his three-interception game last week here is a fresh new face to acquire. C.J. Beathard, a 3rd round rookie from Iowa, took over for Brian Hoyer last week and had an okay game in relief with almost 250 yards passing along with a touchdown and an interception. Similar to Hoyer, Beathard doesn’t possess a cannon arm but rather uses short, quick timing routes for high completion percentages to move the ball. Having a player like Pierre Garcon who is a target monster along with Matt Breida out of the backfield should give Beathard a strong security blanket for these types of passes. With all young QBs there will likely be a capped upside but if he can be mobile enough to add a couple of runs each week (he had 14 yards rushing last week) he could be a comfortable QB2.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 ($1,500,000 in Superflex/2QB)

WR Add

Bennie Fowler, WR – DEN (Owned 20%)

Week 6: 3 Rec/21 yards

Like the Giants, the Broncos have recently been ravaged by injuries to their receiver’s group. While we don’t know the full extent of each players’ injury Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, and rookie Isaiah McKenzie all left week 6’s game for at least a period of time. In the case of the latter two, they did not return and their injuries could be more serious. This means that Bennie Fowler could be in line to step into the WR2 role next week and beyond. He has had opportunities in the offense with 17 targets the last three weeks even with Thomas and Sanders playing ahead of him. He also scored two touchdowns in the season opener. At worst he should be added till we learn more about how severe the injuries those around him have. He could become a valuable flex option for desperate teams.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

TE Adds

Jonnu Smith, TE – TEN (Owned 31%)

Week 6: 1 Rec/10 yards

Jonnu Smith has quietly had a decent start to his career and is pushing forward this year’s class of superb rookie tight ends. Unfortunately for him and the Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota missed the last game and a half, limiting the offense’s production. Mariota will be back healthier for week 7 which should boost the appeal of Smith moving forward. Similar to some of my previous listings this could be an even better pickup if you don’t have a clear candidate for your resign as Smith is likely to overtake Delaine Walker as the featured TE sooner rather than later. For the remainder of 2017, he has a touchdown opportunity upside each week and could see his target numbers increase as he becomes more familiar with the offense.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Aldrick Robinson, WR – SF (Owned 3%)

Week 6: 2 Rec/66 yards, 1 TD

Sometimes it just feels better to bet on the 9:1 horse because when they hit it’s just oh so sweet. That would be the case with adding Aldrick Robinson who has only played 38% of snaps this season for the 49ers. Still, with the backup QB starting now sometimes it’s the second-team receivers that have the better rapport with them. While already discussed that C.J. Beathard is more of a short, quick route passer it doesn’t mean that he won’t have a few opportunities to look deep, especially if defenses are focusing more on stopping Carlos Hyde and the underneath routes. In no given week will Robinson be a safe play but if you liked to have DeSean Jackson back in the day when he was going for a 60-yard touchdown every other week this might be your type of boom/bust sleeper.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Slicing ’17 Rookie Class into 12 Tiers

Updated: July 23rd 2017

According to a recent poll on our RSO Twitter feed, about 50% of RSO leagues have not yet conducted their rookie drafts.  As you’re continuing your preparation, I’m here to provide my tiered rankings of the top 50 rookies.  Navigating three to four rounds of a rookie draft isn’t easy.  My tiers are designed to help you know when to buy or sell so you can accumulate the best possible rookie class, at great value!

So let’s begin…

Tier 1

1. Corey Davis WR TEN

While Corey Davis may not be quite the same level of prospect as recent 1.01/1.02 picks Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, and Todd Gurley, he’s undoubtedly the best prospect in this class and the only receiver I’m willing to bet will be a true NFL #1.  Putting my money where my mouth is, I already have 3 shares and am aiming for more.

Tier 2

2. Joe Mixon RB CIN
3. Christian McCaffrey RB CAR
4. Leonard Fournette RB JAX

To say you can’t go wrong with picks 2, 3, and 4 would be inaccurate. In a few years, all three will have differing values. But at this point, the margins between each are razor-thin.

Consistent with my general strategy, I’m going to often choose the most talented player regardless of their potential non-talent-related downfalls such as injury history, off-the-field issues, etc. I’ll take Joe Mixon at 2.  He’s the only RB in this class that I believe truly has an elite RB1 ceiling. My rankings 3rd and 4th ranked players differ depending on your scoring system. PPR -> Christian McCaffrey. Standard -> Leonard Fournette.

Tier 3

5. Dalvin Cook RB MIN

While a sub-10th percentile SPARQ score terrifies me, Dalvin Cook‘s college tape tells a different story. I firmly believe that he’s the most talented back on the Minnesota Vikings and it isn’t remotely close. How soon he will earn playing time may be another story. He will need to improve drastically in pass-protection and ball security to earn playing time.

After the 1.05 pick, this draft class falls off a cliff. If you’re slated to pick 6th or later in the first round of a rookie draft this year, I’d advise shopping that pick for help now or 2018/2019 picks.

Tier 4

6. Mike Williams WR LAC

Back injuries are scary. Back injuries are especially scary when learning a NFL playbook for this first time, getting acclimated to a NFL playbook, and completing for playing time among a crowded group of talented receivers. Even if he fully recovers from this injury in time for the season, he’s unlikely to contribute in a meaningful way this season. Still my 1.06, I’d only make that pick if I’ve exhausted every trade possible without coming to an agreement. If Mike Williams struggles for playing time, but appears healthy when on the field, he might be a buy-low target at the trade deadline or during the 2018 off-season

For more info on his injury and the potential need for surgery if the non-surgical route doesn’t work, I’d recommend listening to the AUDIBLE LIVE! Podcast from June 8th as Jene Bramel (@JeneBramel on Twitter) provides great insight.

Tier 5

7. Alvin Kamara RB NO
8. John Ross WR CIN
9. David Njoku TE CLE
10. Evan Engram TE NYG
11. Samaje Perine RB WAS
12. O.J. Howard TE TB
13. Kareem Hunt RB KC

Even if he doesn’t develop as an inside runner, Alvin Kamara will still be a very productive pass-catching back in the NFL. The Saints offense is very RB friendly and neither Adrian Peterson or Mark Ingram are locks for the Saints’ 2018 roster.

Love John Ross‘ talent, but hate the landing spot. Andy Dalton isn’t the ideal QB for him, especially behind a poor offensive line that may force them to focus on getting the ball out of his hands quickly.

My tight end rankings are based on my belief in their long-term upside. Love David Njoku‘s talent and his situation isn’t as bad as many believe, especially with the release of Gary Barnidge. Evan Engram should settle in as a big slot receiver, though classified as a TE, for the Giants once they release he can’t handle the typical blocking duties of an in-line TE.

O.J. Howard likely will end up as the best NFL TE, but I’m worried that his talent as a blocker may limit his fantasy potential.

Samaje Perine doesn’t feel like a 1st rounder to me.  I would do everything possible to trade the 1.11 pick for a random 2018 1st. He was graded by many as a late 2nd or early 3rd round pick dynasty rookie pick, but has catapulted into the 1st round due to his promising landing spot in Washington. Betting on him to the next Jordan Howard is dangerous. Barring that type of breakout, I expect Washington to be in play for signing a free agent or drafting a top RB prospect in 2018.

Rounding out this tier is Kareem Hunt – a running back who dazzled on tape, but disappointed at the NFL combine. Joining a Spencer Ware in the Kansas City backfield, many believe Hunt will overtake Ware for the majority of carries by mid-season. I believe this is far from a lock and would expect Ware to lead KC in carries this year, by a 2:1 ratio.

Tier 6

14. JuJu Smith-Schuster WR PIT
15. Chris Godwin WR TB
16. Carlos Henderson WR DEN
17. James Conner RB PIT
18. Zay Jones WR BUF
19. Curtis Samuel WR CAR

Higher on Carlos Henderson than most, I love his ability after the catch. It’s also worth mentioning that aging receivers Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders aren’t long-term barriers to playing time in Denver.

Tier 7

20. Taywan Taylor WR TEN
21. D’Onte Foreman RB HOU
22. Jeremy McNichols RB TB

Loved Taywan Taylor pre-draft and couldn’t have hoped for a much better landing spot.  Great target in the late 2nd or early 3rd round of your draft.

Tier 8

23. Melvin Mack RB IND
24. Kenny Galladay WR DET
25. ArDarius Stewart WR NYJ
26. Gerald Everett TE LAR
27. Joe Williams RB SF
28. Josh Reynolds WR LAR
29. Chad Williams WR ARI

This group includes several recent ADP risers: Kenny Galladay, ArDarius Stewart, Joe Williams, and Chad Williams. In each of my drafts, I want to land several players from this tier.

Tier 10

30. Jamaal Williams RB GB
31. Aaron Jones RB GB
32. Patrick Mahomes QB KC

In both redraft and dynasty, Ty Montgomery is the back I want in Green Bay though it’s hard to ignore the fact that the Packers drafted 3 running backs. If everything breaks right for either rookie back, Williams and Jones could be featured in one of the NFL’s best offenses. That alone makes them solid values in the 3rd round.

If early rookie drafts are any indication, I’m going to be heavily invested in Patrick Mahomes. While he’ll need to be more consistent to succeed at the next level, I can’t help but drool at his raw ability. His landing spot, under Andy Reid’s tutelage, could not be better. Let’s not forget that Andy Reid used to be criticized during his Eagles days for passing too much.  Mahomes will be put into position to not only succeed, but also develop into a QB1 in fantasy.

Tier 11

33. Cooper Kupp WR LAR
34. Wayne Gallman RB NYG
35. Amara Dorboh WR SEA
36. Deshaun Watson QB HOU
37. Adam Shaheen TE CHI
38. DeShone Kizer QB CLE
39. Mitchell Trubisky QB CHI

Tier 12

40. Ishmael Zamora WR OAK
41. Jonnu Smith TE TEN
42. Josh Malone WR CIN
43. Jehu Chessen WR KC
44. Chad Kelly QB DEN
45. Dede Westbrook WR JAX

Tier 13

46. Shelton Gibson WR PHI
47. Jake Butt TE DEN

48. Elijah McGuire RB NYJ
49. Brian Hill RB ATL
50. Donnel Pumphrey RB PHI


Bio: An avid fan of all things NFL, Dave has been playing fantasy football since 1999.  Though Dave participates in all types of fantasy football including redraft and daily, he prefers dynasty and keeper leagues as talent evaluation and scouting are integral components of each.  Follow him on Twitter @DaveSanders_RSO

More Analysis by Dave Sanders