Week 3 Street FA Report

Updated: September 22nd 2020

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 75% of RSO leagues that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer one (1) player that is owned in <25% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Add of the Week

Mike Davis, RB – CAR (Owned 16%)

Week 2: 1 Car/1 yard, 8 Rec/74 yards

Destruction to your fantasy lineups was the big story for week 2. Christian McCaffrey didn’t look all that injured when he went out and up until late Monday morning was expected to survive the injury wave. Then the news comes out that he will be out for at least a month and it now leaves a huge hole in everyone’s roster. Mike Davis came in for the fourth quarter and caught eight passes in a blowout. It remains to be seen what his usage will be once he becomes the starter but he is everyone’s must add if you lost McCaffrey, Saquon Barkley, or Raheem Mostert this week. He should see the bulk of the Panthers’ carries as there is no depth behind him without McCaffrey. We have already seen his usage in the passing game which should give him the edge over another prospective running back that they may add in terms of snap count.

Suggested Bid: $10,000,000 – $14,000,000 or 60-75% of your remaining cap

RB Adds

Jerick McKinnon, RB – SF (Owned 73%)

Week 2: 3 Car/77 yards

While you are putting in a claim for Davis make sure to check and see if Jerick McKinnon is still available on waivers. He is available in about a quarter of RSO leagues and his path to touches has also greatly expanded after week 2. Both Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman suffered knee injuries last week, likely resulting in them both missing multiple games. McKinnon and fullback Kyle Juszczyk are the only experienced running backs available to the 49ers at this point so his workload should be substantial compared to the three (3) carries he had last week. Especially with Nick Mullens being a potential multi-game starter in replace of Jimmy Garoppolo, Kyle Shannahan may lean more on the run against the Giants, Eagles, and Dolphins in coming weeks.

Suggested Bid: $5,000,000 – $8,000,000

Giovani Bernard, RB – CIN (Owned 39%)

Week 2: 1 Car/3 yards, 5 Rec/22 yards

Sometimes you just can’t quit on a person. The Bengals seem to be doing that with Giovanni Bernard who despite being the starting running back in only eight (8) games over the last three (3) seasons still want to get him involved in their offense. His seven (7) targets were third among all Bengals players in week 2 and he nearly split snaps (42:46) with Joe Mixon. Second-year head coach Zac Taylor wants to get Giovanni Bernard involved in the passing game and even mix in (bad pun) a couple carries. With the rash of injuries, Gio may be a really deep flex option at this point and if anything was to happen to Mixon his value would skyrocket to 2016 levels. If you miss out on Davis, Gio is a nice consolation.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000

WR Add

Russell Gage, WR – ATL (Owned 61%)

Week 2: 6 Rec/46 yards, 1 TD

Repeat after me, 90 percent ownership of Russell Gage to start week 3. I recommended him last week and while he didn’t have another 100-yard game, Gage still had nine (9) targets. With how the Falcons are looking after two games Matt Ryan should continue to pass the ball 40 times a game mean plenty of targets to go around each week. On top of that, Julio Jones was dealing with a hamstring injury coming into week 2 and did not look healthy as he tried to gut it out. He may sit out a game to try and get things healthy or even if he tries to go who knows how effective he may be. All this tells us that Gage should continue to be used in this offense and likely will continue to be a WR3/Flex each week. Seriously, 90 percent ownership, let’s make it happen.

Suggested Bid: $5,000,000

Keelan Cole, WR – JAX (Owned 29%)

Week 2: 6 Rec/58 yards, 1 TD

Keelan Cole has quietly had two solid games to start the season and is seriously undervalued when it comes to his fantasy value. Everyone loves the rookie Laviska Shenault Jr. but Cole has out-snapped him the first two games of the season and has more targets than both he and D.J. Chark. The Jaguars can be a hot and cold offense so it is a risk to consider starting him but for bye weeks and through injuries Cole is probably out there on the wire and is better than basically everyone else available. Add him for depth now and be happy mid-season when you can start him comfortably without worrying about putting up a donut.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $3,000,000

TE Add

Mo Alie-Cox, TE – IND (Owned 10%)

Week 2: 5 Rec/111 yards

For a couple of years, Mo Alie-Cox has been the thorn in fantasy owners’ sides as he stole touchdowns from past Colts’ tight ends. With Jack Doyle out for week 2, Alie-Cox took advantage by posting career highs in targets (6) and receptions (5). Those are not huge breakout numbers but rather a sign that maybe he can become a bigger part of this offense as the season progresses. Parris Campbell is likely out for the season with a knee injury and it is being suggested that Doyle could remain out for multiple weeks. It would be purely a speculative add at this point but maybe this could be his third-year breakout.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

Sleeper Add <25%

Darnell Mooney, WR – CHI (Owned 11%)

Week 2: 3 Rec/36 yards, 1 TD

Pop quiz, which wide receiver has the most PPR fantasy points for the Bears? Guessing Darnell Mooney probably wasn’t at the top of your list but it is true. Mooney has been incredibly efficient catching all of his targets (6) thus far and had a touchdown in week 2. He was actually on the field for 10 more snaps than Anthony Miller to be the WR2 for the Bears last week which may suggest that he is earning more playing time as this young season goes along. The Bears offense may not be potent enough to have more than one receiver be fantasy relevant but maybe Mooney will have his days if there was ever an injury to either Robinson or Miller to open up more targets.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 5 Street FA Report

Updated: October 3rd 2018

Each week we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 50% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <10% of leagues as our Sleeper add.

Byes: Chicago, Tampa Bay

Add of the Week

Taylor Gabriel, WR – CHI (Owned 24.5%)

Week 4: 7 Rec/ 104 yards, 2 TDs, 1 Car/10 yards

Gabriel was a player I featured two weeks ago but his ownership levels barely rose. After a 30 point PPR performance last week it is unlikely that he will remain this low. Unfortunately, he and the rest of the Bears are on the bye in week 5 after having a huge offensive showing in week 4 but maybe that will keep some from putting in a claim. Gabriel isn’t going to be getting many multi-touchdown games going forward but he has established himself as a clear target that Mitchell Trubisky is looking for in the passing game. If Anthony Miller misses any additional games coming out the bye that just means more targets for Gabriel going forward.

Suggested Bid: $3,000,000 – $5,000,000

RB Add

Mike Davis, RB – SEA (Owned 2.8%)

Week 4: 21 Car/101 yards, 2 TDs, 4 Rec/23 yards

Bill Belichick may get a lot of flak for being ruthless with his deployment of running backs in his offensive game plan but at least when he takes an RB in the first round (Sony Michel) he actually uses him. Pete Carroll took Rashaad Penny in the first but he and offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer have sparingly used him, instead favoring Chris Carson and now Mike Davis more. After Davis’ 100-yard game last week Carroll has said that he will remain in the rotation even when Carson returns to the line-up. It is tough to see all of these runners being consistent contributors in a given week but with injuries being a real problem it’s worth a shot to see if Davis has some more decent games ahead of him.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,000,000

Wendell Smallwood, RB – PHI (Owned 31%)

Week 4: 5 Car/39 yards, 3 Rec/15 yards

 

Sproles and Clement were out this past week which allowed for Wendell Smallwood to operate as the second option behind Jay Ajayi. He didn’t have a huge stat line but he provided enough that if Ajayi’s own injury flares up mid-game he could be a deep play in some leagues hurting for RBs. At a minimum, if Sproles and/or Clement are held out for games moving forward Smallwood should have some PPR value based on how he was used against the Titans last week. He had more targets than Ajayi in the receiving game despite being on the field for significantly fewer plays.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

WR Add

Keke Coutee, WR – HOU (Owned 48.5%)

Week 4: 11 Rec/109 yards, 2 Car/-2 yards

Keke Coutee was a frequent third-round selection in rookie drafts this offseason but had been invisible due to injury for the first three weeks. He had quite the first showing though as he tied for the most targets in week 4 with fifteen, catching eleven! At 5’10” Coutee is the prototypical slot receiver that will gobble up the underneath targets. With Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins garnering all the attention of defenses deep and on the outside, Coutee will continue to find open areas underneath the coverage and should have a stable target share each week. Maybe not fifteen targets stable but enough that in leagues that start 4+ WR/Flex he might become a starting staple in a week or two. If he wasn’t draft in your league now is the time to grab him and see how he develops. As for trading, while buying after a big week is always a tough thing to do it may be advantageous to get in before he has another couple of solid games and becomes too expensive.

 Suggested Bid: $3,000,000 – $6,000,000 or a 2nd round

TE Add

Geoff Swaim, TE – DAL (Owned 7%)

Week 4: 3 Rec/39 yards, 1 TD

Dallas’ offense is brutal this season outside of Zeke Elliot. Still, like my take on Deonte Thompson last week someone has to catch the ball outside of Cole Beasley. Geoff Swaim has been the second most targeted Dallas receiver (16) through the first month. He also has five times more targets than the rest of the TEs combined so he doesn’t have much coming up behind him to steal targets. Swaim is no Jason Witten and this offense is not going to score as they did two years ago but in a league where week-to-week production at the TE position is limited to a handful of players, it doesn’t hurt to have a team’s clear number one. Especially for teams that had Eifert/Walker lost for the season, you could do worse than Swaim.

Suggested Bid: $500,000 – $1,000,000

Sleeper Add (<10%)

Chester Rogers, WR – IND (Owned 4.6%)

Week 4: 8 Rec/85 yards

Chester Rogers is a name that many have likely cursed as a player that has stolen relevant points from other Colts receivers in past seasons but he could have standalone value, at least for a couple of weeks with T.Y. Hilton injured. At least with having to play on the short week on Thursday Rogers will be the number two receiver for one game which means if you’re in a jam he could be a Hail Mary option for week 5 and any future weeks that T.Y. is inactive. The Colts are a pass first, second, and third down team so there should be plenty of looks from Andrew Luck, especially if they find themselves trailing like they have through much of this season.

Suggested Bid: $500,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews

Week 15 Deep Lineup Considerations

Updated: December 14th 2017

We are in that time of year where lineup decisions might literally determine if you win a championship or not.  Many teams need help finding replacements for flex spots due to a variety of reasons including injuries.  Below you will find a list of names which provides deep starting options and likely have not been consistently used for your RSO team throughout the year.   None of these players are “league winners” but each has good matchups over the next two weeks and the opportunity to be a quality start for your desperate team.

Quarterback

Blake Bortles

The game plan worked very well in Jacksonville this season with the team primarily relying on their defense and emphasizing running the ball to minimize Bortles’ involvement.  The results have been solid as Bortles improved across the board this season compared to last year’s debacle.  He played very well the last two weeks, albeit against a Seattle defense decimated by injuries on the backend and an awful Indianapolis pass defense.  Bortles also gets nice matchups against a beat-up Houston defense and San Francisco in weeks 15 and 16.

We should still proceed with caution using the Jaguars QB.  He is still a bottom half of the league starter in the NFL.  The Jaguars rank only 24th in pass attempts and Bortles only has two games with 300+ yards passing (both against the Indianapolis Colts) and three games with multiple passing touchdowns.  Jacksonville will continue limiting Bortles’ throws and game script against teams with a combined 7 wins over the next two weeks might force the volume even lower.  Do not expect Bortles to carry your RSO team to a championship but he can be a useful piece for those suffering a late injury at QB or needing help in a superflex league.

Joe Flacco

Flacco is a pure schedule target for those in need of a desperation second quarterback play.  Baltimore plays Cleveland and Indianapolis the final two weeks which is the softest remaining schedule for any passing offense.  While Flacco has played better the past two weeks, do not go overboard here as you likely have better streaming options available.  Flacco has been among the worst quarterbacks in the league this season ranking 33rd in Football Outsiders’ DVOA, 29th in ESPN’s QBR, and dead last in yards per attempt among qualified quarterbacks.  He also does not receive the necessary passing volume to make up for his abysmal inefficiency.

Running Back

Mike Davis

Davis assumed primary back duties for the Seattle Seahawks gathering at least 16 touches and 65 yards in each of the last two games.  He looks to extend his solid play in plus matchups versus the Rams and Cowboys over the next two weeks.  You certainly could do worse than the primary running back on a Russell Wilson-led team in your flex.  Be sure to keep an eye on the injury report to confirm Davis’ availability.

Kerwynn Williams

Another starter emerging over the last two weeks is Arizona Cardinals running back Kerwynn Williams.  He amassed at least 16 touches and 88 yards each of the last two games.  The remaining contests should be competitive as Arizona plays two teams, Washington and New York, with 5 or less wins each.  The Redskins and Giants have also both struggled against the run this season.  The Cardinals have no reason to rush Adrian Peterson back from a neck injury with Arizona almost certainly out of the playoffs.

Wide Receiver

Mike Wallace

See the upcoming schedule for Baltimore above in the Joe Flacco section.  This is a juicy finish for Wallace as the Cleveland and Indianapolis pass defenses are in shambles.  Wallace has also seen more consistent usage over the last five weeks including more downfield throws from Flacco.  Feel somewhat confident (at least as confident as you can with Flacco at quarterback) firing up Wallace in your flex spot.

Dede Westbrook

Westbrook fell in the NFL draft to the 4th round primarily due to character concerns after an explosive senior season.  He then suffered a core injury which prevented him from seeing the field until the second half of the year.  Westbrook quietly produced good results since his return averaging 5 catches and over 8 targets per game in four contests.  Game script could hurt volume against two bottom-end teams (see above) but Westbrook is a solid start going forward (even with Bortles at quarterback and the Jags run-heavy script).

Travis Benjamin

Sometimes you simply want to take gambles on top offenses.  Right now consider the Chargers Phillip Rivers-led passing attack among the top offenses.  Rivers threw for over 300 yards in three straight games and has not thrown an interception for five weeks.  The Chargers also get pass-deficient defenses in Kansas City and the New York Jets coming up.  Volume remains an issue for Benjamin as trying to figure out who receives significant targets (if anyone) outside of Keenan Allen remains a mystery on a weekly basis for San Diego.  Benjamin represents an extremely fast boom-bust player for those in need of a big week out of your flex spot and is someone possibly available on your waiver wire.

Tight End

Jared Cook

The tight end position remains a maddeningly inconsistent group for fantasy purposes with many questionable options.  Oakland’s Jared Cook qualifies as one of the few tight ends receiving consistent usage having garnered at least 5 targets in all but one game this season.  The athletic tight end finishes the fantasy season with Dallas and Philadelphia, two exploitable matchups for tight ends.  Game script likely dictates Oakland throwing a bunch in these contests.  Cook is 6th in receiving yards at the position and a solid start moving forward.


Bio:  Bernard Faller has degrees in engineering and economics.  He currently lives in Las Vegas and enjoys athletics, poker, and fantasy football in his free time.  Send your questions and comments (both good and bad) on Twitter @BernardFaller1.

More Analysis by Bernard Faller

Week 14 Street FA Report

Updated: December 7th 2017

For the playoffs, we will recommend a group of players that are owned in less than 70% of RSO league that should be rostered. Depending on roster and league sizes not all of these players may be available. For that, we will offer 1 player that is owned in <20% of leagues as our Sleeper add. All of these players have flexible upside during the 3-week playoff span.

Add of the Week

Jermaine Kearse, WR – NYJ (Owned 69%)

Week 13: 9 Rec/157 yards

Jermaine Kearse was my week 1 WR add and if you picked him up you have enjoyed a nice bye week player with great upside throughout the season. While he has had some dud weeks, for the most part, he has been a solid flex option. Heading into the playoffs if he’s not already on a roster he needs to be added. The Jets play the Broncos, Saints, and Chargers over the next three weeks which might seem like a daunting group of defenses to face. However, looking at how the Jets have played over the last month it is clear that they trust Josh McCown and this group of receivers to be the identity of this team and are not afraid of being in a shootout. McCown has attempted over 36 passes in each of his last three games and that trend should continue in games that will range from competitive (Broncos, Chargers) to playing keep up (Saints). From a PPR standpoint, 10 points should be Kearse’s floor.

Suggested Bid: $4,000,000 – $10,000,000

RB Adds

Mike Davis, RB – SEA (Owned 19%)

Week 13: 16 Car/64 yards, 4 Rec/37 yards

The Seahawks have been trying to find a runner to take control of the backfield and it appears that Mike Davis has separated himself from Eddie Lacy or Thomas Rawls. Watching SNF it was clear that Pete Carroll and Darrell Bevell have made Davis their RB1 in terms of traditional carries. The Seahawks rank tied for 8th in red zone trips with 41 but only 18th (53.7%) in conversions. With Russell Wilson’s ability to run the ball defenses have to be more honest around the goal line which should give Davis the opportunities to score more. If he continues to hold 82% of the carries and 73% of the snap counts like he did in week 13 Davis could be a sneaky RB2 for the playoffs.

Suggested Bid: $4,000,000 – $8,000,000

Andre Ellington, RB – HOU (Owned 46%)

Week 13: 2 Car/-4 yards, 5 Rec/56 yards

Hardly anybody noticed Andre Ellington being waived by the Cardinals and subsequently claimed by the Houston Texans but he was active for last week’s game and hauled in 5 of his 6 targets. Alfred Blue also left the game with a concussion and at this point, his status is uncertain for week 14. Ellington could end up being what I thought Tyler Ervin’s role was going to be in the preseason, an RB by name that is used more out of the slot as a receiver, while also receiving a couple of carries per game. He won’t have a consistent workload with Lamar Miller and D’Onta Foreman ahead of him but for PPR formats Ellington could see a serious amount of targets as a receiver. Both Braxton Miller and Bruce Ellington suffered injuries last week that also could open up a receiver spot for him.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

WR Add

Marquise Goodwin, WR – SF (Owned 53%)

Week 13: 8 Rec/99 yards

The 49ers showed a spark with Jimmy Garoppolo behind center resulting in two receivers having over 90 yards receiving last week. Marquise Goodwin has filled in quite week nice Pierre Garcon was lost for the season and has had a safe WR3/4 floor in the past month. The 49ers have two even matchups coming up against the Texans and Titans that rank 7th and 9th in WR fantasy points allowed which should mean that Goodwin’s value will continue. Goodwin still has a stigma as being a boom/bust player but with a strong 8 catch showing in Jimmy G’s first game, he could be a great matchup flex for the next two week.

Suggested Bid: $3,000,000 – $5,000,000

TE Add

Stephen Anderson, TE – HOU (Owned 1.5%)

Week 13: 5 Rec/79 yards, 1 TD

For all the same reasons that I like the opportunity for targets with Andre Ellington I also like Stephen Anderson. I thought that C.J. Fiedorowicz was going to come back from his injury and totally reclaim the TE targets in Houston to be a second-half steal. Not only has that not happened but for the most part, he has been an afterthought to Anderson who played on 84% of the downs and had 12(!) targets last week. Tom Savage is not an aggressive QB and as mentioned previously with several other receivers being injured last week Anderson is earning more targets. Houston plays San Francisco and Jacksonville who are average to above average in TE points allowed. If you have been matchup-based with your TEs this season Anderson could be another option to seriously consider.

Suggested Bid: $1,000,000 – $2,000,000

Sleeper Add (<20%)

Ryan Grant, WR – WAS (Owned 16%)

Week 13: 5 Rec/76 yards, 1 TD

This is my last chance to plead with every RSO manager to please go add Ryan Grant to your roster. He’s been featured 3 times already in this report and he is still unclaimed in over 4/5th of all leagues. In an offense where he is often single covered because he isn’t as talented as Josh Doctson or Jameson Crowder, he continues to makes plays and finds the end zone (2 TD in his last 3 games). Unless you play in an 8 to 10 team league that doesn’t have a lot of roster spots he needs to be owned. The teams that Washington play in the playoffs (LAC, Arizona, and Denver) all have good secondaries but Grant is one of those guys that could have a big game or two because of how game planning and matchups take away other options.

Suggested Bid: $3,000,000 – $6,000,000

More Analysis by Nick Andrews